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Neptunas vs BC Olimpas Palanga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2013
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-86
20-17 29-21 22-21 17-27
Position#3
Record13-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#13
Record0-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game89.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Olimpas Palanga
20 Mar 2013
NEP88
OPA86
10 Apr 2012
NEP109
OPA101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Olimpas Palanga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A20/01
VTB United League
Nymburk
#15
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H01/02
VTB United League
Siauliai
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A06/02
LKL
Minsk
#19
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A10/02
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/02
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H17/02
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
A26/02
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
48-84
48
84
-36
A03/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#12
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H10/03
VTB United League
Sakalai
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A13/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
23-33
31-23
16-28
28-20
24-20
24-17
20-29
21-22
22-20
18-18
21-21
17-24
19-24
18-20
17-25
22-19
20-25
16-19
27-18
29-23
12-21
21-26
10-20
26-26
26-13
19-21
31-20
15-24
7-27
18-12
8-21
20-36
17-17
24-20
27-24
21-23
24-12
17-21
16-10
167.8Avg total
80.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.779.1166.8+8.681%
Season at home (8)89.880.0169.8+9.888%
Season away (8)85.678.1163.8+7.575%
Last 10 (10)80.986.9167.8-6.050%
Last 5 (5)77.683.4161.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.589.2161.7-16.77%
vs Similar (8)89.088.1177.1+0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.672.8164.4+18.9100%
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jelgava
#14
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H26/01
Baltic League
Rytas
#4
L
52-87
52
87
-35
H28/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H02/02
LKL
Jelgava
#14
L
93-114
93
114
-21
A05/02
Baltic League
Skycop
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H09/02
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H15/02
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H21/02
Baltic League
Nevezis
#9
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A02/03
LKL
LSU Atletas
#12
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A15/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
21-26
29-15
26-34
12-20
9-20
13-21
18-26
19-29
18-22
25-19
8-15
18-31
22-26
25-32
28-25
14-18
16-24
18-17
29-29
19-19
15-24
25-19
17-29
10-20
17-20
14-13
10-24
18-18
15-20
23-16
12-15
12-18
13-24
17-28
30-12
27-24
16-22
18-26
24-20
163.8Avg total
74.6Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.489.5157.9-21.10%
Season at home (10)70.089.4159.4-19.40%
Season away (8)66.589.6156.1-23.10%
Last 10 (10)74.689.2163.8-14.60%
Last 5 (5)70.482.2152.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.087.2154.3-20.20%
vs Similar (5)82.088.0170.0-6.040%
vs Weaker (2)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
NeptunasBC Olimpas Palanga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/01
VTB United League
Nymburk
#15
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H01/02
VTB United League
Siauliai
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/02
LKL
Minsk
#19
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
VTB United League
Skycop
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/02
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/02
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A26/02
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A03/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H10/03
VTB United League
Sakalai
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/03
LKL
86.6Avg total
41.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.884.7-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.641.985.5+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.783.9-3.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.686.6-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.483.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.846.983.7-10.114%-
vs Similar (8)43.541.084.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.437.286.6+12.1100%-
This opponent (BC Olimpas Palanga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Olimpas PalangaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jelgava
#14
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H26/01
Baltic League
Rytas
#4
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H28/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H02/02
LKL
Jelgava
#14
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A05/02
Baltic League
Skycop
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/02
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/02
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H21/02
Baltic League
Nevezis
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A02/03
LKL
LSU Atletas
#12
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/03
LKL
79.4Avg total
33.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.744.278.8-9.513%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.843.076.8-9.212%-
Last 30 away (14)35.645.581.1-9.914%-
Last 10 (10)33.745.779.4-12.00%-
Last 5 (5)32.441.874.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.644.678.1-11.09%-
vs Similar (5)38.444.683.0-6.220%-
vs Weaker (2)38.038.576.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
0
BC Olimpas Palanga wins
DateGameScore
22/11/12BC Olimpas Palanga v Neptunas81-111
10/04/12Neptunas v BC Olimpas Palanga109-101
17/12/11BC Olimpas Palanga v Neptunas73-81 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/13ASakalai78-66
10/03/13HZenit Petersburg88-97
03/03/13ALokomotiv Kuban48-84
26/02/13ALSU Atletas102-80
17/02/13HNizhny Novgorod72-90
14/02/13HSkycop85-81
10/02/13AMinsk71-93
06/02/13ASiauliai82-81
01/02/13HNymburk96-86
20/01/13AZalgiris Kaunas87-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/13ALietkabelis85-92
13/03/13HLSU Atletas72-82
02/03/13ANevezis68-69
21/02/13HBC Kalev/Cramo51-77
15/02/13HJuventus76-91
09/02/13HSkycop77-88
05/02/13AJelgava93-114
02/02/13HPieno Zvaigzdes70-85
28/01/13HRytas52-87
26/01/13HJelgava102-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%88%75%
Points / game87.789.885.6
Allowed / game79.180.078.1
Point differential+8.6+9.8+7.5
Avg total166.8169.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Olimpas Palanga
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.470.066.5
Allowed / game89.589.489.6
Point differential-21.1-19.4-23.1
Avg total157.9159.4156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%92.860.3+32.4
2 Lithuania Stars110100%140.0113.0+27.0
3 Skycop1613381%92.975.1+17.8
4 Neptunas1613381%87.779.1+8.6
5 Rytas97278%93.268.4+24.8
6 Juventus1710759%81.777.8+3.9
7 Siauliai169756%82.278.7+3.5
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes158753%76.777.1-0.4
9 Nevezis178947%71.478.4-6.9
10 Lietkabelis1761135%75.884.2-8.4
11 LSU Atletas1751229%69.983.9-14.1
12 Sakalai1741324%67.177.5-10.4
13 BC Olimpas Palanga180180%68.489.5-21.1
14 Rest Of The World1010%113.0140.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2029221788
BC Olimpas Palanga1721212786
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