Sakalai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 66-78

23-21 12-24 21-17 10-16

Position#11

Record4-12

FormLWLWL

Points / game67.2

Allowed / game77.4

Sakalai

Neptunas 🏆

Position#3

Record12-3

FormWLWLL

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game79.9

LKL

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Sakalai v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sakalai winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sakalai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

60-103

103

-43

A10/01

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

#11

57-62

-5

A11/01

Baltic League

Nevezis

55-78

-23

A19/01

LKL

Siauliai

73-90

-17

A22/01

Baltic League

Juventus

62-84

-22

H02/02

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

55-81

-26

H08/02

Baltic League

LSU Atletas

#12

69-67

H14/02

LKL

Siauliai

74-92

-18

H20/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

#11

61-55

H22/02

Baltic League

Siauliai

69-89

-20

A02/03

LKL

10-25

11-24

22-23

17-31

13-24

21-11

13-15

10-12

7-20

12-18

20-20

16-20

18-25

13-13

19-28

23-24

12-25

21-24

15-23

14-12

17-19

14-20

15-17

9-25

13-15

22-17

22-20

12-15

16-27

16-25

21-17

21-23

14-21

13-4

24-15

10-15

16-21

15-21

24-20

14-27

143.6Avg total

63.5Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	67.2	77.4	144.6	-10.2	25%
Season at home (9)	68.3	71.0	139.3	-2.7	44%
Season away (7)	65.7	85.7	151.4	-20.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	63.5	80.1	143.6	-16.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	76.8	142.4	-11.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	68.8	86.3	155.1	-17.5	12%
vs Similar (9)	70.7	70.8	141.4	-0.1	44%
vs Weaker (5)	80.4	63.4	143.8	+17.0	80%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

#10

81-65

+16

A16/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

87-111

111

-24

A20/01

VTB United League

Nymburk

#15

96-86

+10

H01/02

VTB United League

Siauliai

82-81

A06/02

LKL

Minsk

#19

71-93

-22

A10/02

VTB United League

Skycop

85-81

H14/02

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#10

72-90

-18

H17/02

VTB United League

LSU Atletas

#12

102-80

102

+22

A26/02

LKL

Lokomotiv Kuban

48-84

-36

A03/03

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

#12

88-97

-9

H10/03

VTB United League

17-22

27-16

13-10

24-17

17-27

23-33

31-23

16-28

28-20

24-20

24-17

20-29

21-22

22-20

18-18

21-21

17-24

19-24

18-20

17-25

22-19

20-25

16-19

27-18

29-23

12-21

21-26

10-20

26-26

26-13

19-21

31-20

15-24

7-27

18-12

8-21

20-36

17-17

24-20

27-24

168.0Avg total

81.2Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	88.3	79.9	168.3	+8.4	80%
Season at home (8)	89.8	80.0	169.8	+9.8	88%
Season away (7)	86.7	79.9	166.6	+6.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	86.8	168.0	-5.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	86.4	165.4	-7.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.5	89.2	161.7	-16.7	7%
vs Similar (8)	89.0	88.1	177.1	+0.9	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	92.4	74.2	166.6	+18.1	100%

This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SakalaiNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	21.6	36.1	-7.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	22.2	35.8	-8.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.1	20.4	36.5	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.3	20.4	35.8	-5.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.8	15.4	31.2	+0.4	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.4	41.9	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.3	45.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.6	48.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.7	33.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.4	33.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	14.0	32.2	+4.2	78%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.7	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	26.5	15.4	41.9	+11.1	100%	-

SakalaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tartu Ulikool

21-49

-28

A10/01

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

#11

34-35

-1

A11/01

Baltic League

Nevezis

19-38

-19

A19/01

LKL

Siauliai

31-38

-7

A22/01

Baltic League

Juventus

33-49

-16

H02/02

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

31-39

-8

H08/02

Baltic League

LSU Atletas

#12

35-32

H14/02

LKL

Siauliai

32-52

-20

H20/02

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

#11

27-25

H22/02

Baltic League

Siauliai

31-42

-11

A02/03

LKL

69.3Avg total

29.4Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	38.7	73.6	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+0.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.8	42.1	74.9	-9.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.4	39.9	69.3	-10.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	38.0	69.2	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.6	43.1	77.6	-8.5	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	33.6	34.4	68.0	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.4	32.6	71.0	+5.8	60%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

#10

44-38

A16/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-60

-20

A20/01

VTB United League

Nymburk

#15

52-40

+12

H01/02

VTB United League

Siauliai

43-42

A06/02

LKL

Minsk

#19

36-48

-12

A10/02

VTB United League

Skycop

42-44

-2

H14/02

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#10

41-44

-3

H17/02

VTB United League

LSU Atletas

#12

52-39

+13

A26/02

LKL

Lokomotiv Kuban

22-51

-29

A03/03

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

#12

37-53

-16

H10/03

VTB United League

86.8Avg total

40.9Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	41.5	85.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	44.3	84.2	-4.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	45.9	86.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	46.2	85.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.8	46.9	83.7	-10.1	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	41.0	84.5	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	50.2	37.4	87.6	+12.9	100%	-

This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.6	37.1	-2.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	17.4	36.7	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	14.4	36.2	+7.4	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.9	38.7	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	20.4	35.0	-5.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	21.0	34.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.6	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.2	17.1	34.3	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	22.4	40.2	-4.5	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	24.6	46.2	-3.0	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.1	19.2	41.4	+2.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	38.1	74.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	36.1	72.7	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	40.4	75.9	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	40.2	74.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.8	73.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.9	42.4	76.4	-8.5	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.4	34.6	71.0	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	30.8	72.8	+11.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.1	80.0	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.9	77.9	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.9	81.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.7	42.3	78.0	-6.6	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.2	43.2	84.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.1	36.9	79.0	+5.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sakalai wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/12	Neptunas v Sakalai	106-80
13/04/12	Sakalai v Neptunas	97-98 OT
16/12/11	Neptunas v Sakalai	96-95

Sakalailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/13	A	Siauliai	69-89
22/02/13	H	Valmiera/ORDO	61-55
20/02/13	H	Siauliai	74-92
14/02/13	H	LSU Atletas	69-67
08/02/13	H	Tartu Ulikool	55-81
02/02/13	H	Juventus	62-84
22/01/13	A	Siauliai	73-90
19/01/13	A	Nevezis	55-78
11/01/13	A	Valmiera/ORDO	57-62
10/01/13	A	Tartu Ulikool	60-103

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/13	H	Zenit Petersburg	88-97
03/03/13	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	48-84
26/02/13	A	LSU Atletas	102-80
17/02/13	H	Nizhny Novgorod	72-90
14/02/13	H	Skycop	85-81
10/02/13	A	Minsk	71-93
06/02/13	A	Siauliai	82-81
01/02/13	H	Nymburk	96-86
20/01/13	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	87-111
16/01/13	A	Lietkabelis	81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sakalai

LKL 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	25%
Home	WLLLW	44%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	25%	44%	0%
Points / game	67.2	68.3	65.7
Allowed / game	77.4	71.0	85.7
Point differential	-10.2	-2.7	-20.0
Avg total	144.6	139.3	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Neptunas

LKL 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	80%	88%	71%
Points / game	88.3	89.8	86.7
Allowed / game	79.9	80.0	79.9
Point differential	+8.4	+9.8	+6.9
Avg total	168.3	169.8	166.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	9	9	0	100%	92.8	60.3	+32.4
2	Skycop	16	13	3	81%	92.9	75.1	+17.8
3	Neptunas	15	12	3	80%	88.3	79.9	+8.4
4	Rytas	8	6	2	75%	91.0	69.4	+21.6
5	Juventus	17	10	7	59%	81.7	77.8	+3.9
6	Siauliai	16	9	7	56%	82.2	78.7	+3.5
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	15	8	7	53%	76.7	77.1	-0.4
8	Nevezis	17	8	9	47%	71.4	78.4	-6.9
9	Lietkabelis	16	5	11	31%	74.8	84.1	-9.3
10	LSU Atletas	16	5	11	31%	70.4	82.2	-11.8
11	Sakalai	16	4	12	25%	67.2	77.4	-10.2
12	BC Olimpas Palanga	17	0	17	0%	67.5	89.4	-21.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sakalai	23	12	21	10	66
Neptunas	21	24	17	16	78

← all games of the day

Sakalai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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