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Neptunas vs Radnicki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-101
22-27 29-22 20-28 26-24
Position#35
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#33
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Radnicki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H01/10
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A06/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H09/10
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
H13/10
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A16/10
Eurocup
Minsk
#18
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A20/10
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H23/10
Eurocup
Khimki M.
#2
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/10
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H02/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-4
23-23
25-21
16-14
9-17
18-14
20-26
27-20
19-21
18-22
20-16
17-23
19-13
20-21
23-22
16-15
9-15
19-17
18-16
23-24
15-23
24-26
28-18
16-22
21-23
18-14
15-13
7-15
12-20
21-17
16-21
21-18
23-25
21-29
26-14
24-18
17-10
19-21
27-33
156.2Avg total
78.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.373.7148.0+0.733%
Season at home (1)70.072.0142.0-2.00%
Season away (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.078.2156.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)78.880.8159.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.583.1160.6-5.643%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.776.0150.7-1.317%
vs Weaker (10)89.677.7167.3+11.990%
This opponent (Radnicki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadnickiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/05
Super League
Cibona
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A05/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#14
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H08/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A12/10
ABA League
Panionios
#40
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#6
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A20/10
ABA League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H23/10
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H26/10
ABA League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H29/10
Eurocup
Szolnoki Olaj
#12
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A02/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
13-29
21-21
19-21
22-15
21-13
23-27
16-11
29-14
13-17
16-15
17-9
11-22
10-22
10-20
20-24
15-12
10-16
23-16
24-33
28-20
21-24
15-17
24-30
27-24
20-15
20-29
25-21
15-14
23-20
22-13
21-19
26-15
19-18
21-23
31-24
26-21
20-28
18-27
28-25
161.3Avg total
80.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.082.0169.0+5.067%
Season at home (2)94.584.5179.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.980.4161.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)90.085.4175.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.877.8152.6-3.060%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.779.1159.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (11)84.474.6159.0+9.773%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
NeptunasRadnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H01/10
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A06/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/10
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/10
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A16/10
Eurocup
Minsk
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/10
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H23/10
Eurocup
Khimki M.
#2
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A27/10
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H02/11
VTB United League
71.5Avg total
35.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.678.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.338.480.7+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.677.1-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.171.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.342.280.5-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.337.070.3-3.717%-
vs Weaker (10)44.037.481.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Radnicki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A25/05
Super League
Cibona
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A05/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H08/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A12/10
ABA League
Panionios
#40
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A20/10
ABA League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/10
ABA League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
Eurocup
Szolnoki Olaj
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A02/11
ABA League
77.4Avg total
39.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.677.6+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.435.476.8+5.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.839.678.4-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.977.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.884.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.438.579.9+2.950%-
vs Weaker (11)39.835.575.4+4.336%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Radnicki wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/13HZenit Petersburg87-82
30/10/13APanionios91-86
27/10/13AKhimki M.56-73
23/10/13HBesiktas70-72
20/10/13AMinsk90-91
16/10/13ABisons Loimaa62-63
13/10/13HAzovmash Mariupol86-96 OT
09/10/13HLietkabelis84-79
06/10/13ASkycop63-71
01/10/13HSiauliai91-69
Radnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/13ASzolnoki Olaj92-101
29/10/13HSpartak St. Petersburg97-80
26/10/13HPetrol Olimpija81-66
23/10/13HBisons Loimaa92-89
20/10/13AIgokea88-91
16/10/13APanionios72-77
12/10/13ACrvena zvezda51-88
08/10/13HSiroki Brijeg75-55
05/10/13ACibona82-66
25/05/13APartizan79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.370.076.5
Allowed / game73.772.074.5
Point differential+0.7-2.0+2.0
Avg total148.0142.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Radnicki
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.094.572.0
Allowed / game82.084.577.0
Point differential+5.0+10.0-5.0
Avg total169.0179.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cantu330100%82.769.7+13.0
2 Khimik330100%83.370.3+13.0
3 Bilbao440100%89.277.2+12.0
4 Unics Kazan330100%76.070.0+6.0
5 Karsiyaka43175%80.070.2+9.8
6 Nizhny Novgorod43175%78.569.0+9.5
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque43175%70.864.2+6.5
8 Alba Berlin43175%74.569.2+5.2
9 Khimki M.43175%85.280.5+4.8
10 Le Mans43175%75.873.5+2.2
11 Banvit32167%80.764.3+16.3
12 Sassari32167%97.388.0+9.3
13 Valencia32167%79.069.7+9.3
14 Virtus Roma32167%80.774.0+6.7
15 Maccabi Haifa32167%82.377.0+5.3
16 Radnicki32167%87.082.0+5.0
17 Hapoel M. Jerusalem32167%79.376.7+2.7
18 CSU Ploiesti32167%84.382.0+2.3
19 Petrol Olimpija32167%63.362.3+1.0
20 Ulm32167%79.378.7+0.7
21 Panionios32167%77.377.0+0.3
22 PAOK32167%83.083.0+0.0
23 Besiktas32167%63.764.0-0.3
24 Oostende32167%77.378.3-1.0
25 Oldenburg32167%83.785.7-2.0
26 VEF Riga32167%73.375.7-2.3
27 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%73.575.8-2.2
28 Tecnyconta Zaragoza31233%81.778.3+3.3
29 Cedevita31233%85.083.0+2.0
30 Neptunas31233%74.373.7+0.7
31 Bisons Loimaa31233%70.771.7-1.0
32 Nymburk31233%80.382.3-2.0
33 Varese31233%71.374.3-3.0
34 Spartak St. Petersburg31233%70.074.7-4.7
35 Buducnost31233%75.380.3-5.0
36 Bonn31233%79.788.0-8.3
37 Chalon/Saone41325%77.080.0-3.0
38 Levallois41325%72.576.2-3.8
39 Artland41325%77.282.0-4.8
40 Ankara Kolejliler41325%70.578.0-7.5
41 Igokea41325%68.577.2-8.8
42 Cibona3030%76.383.0-6.7
43 Academic4040%71.280.8-9.5
44 Alba Fehervar3030%75.786.3-10.7
45 MZT Skopje3030%71.783.7-12.0
46 BC Kalev/Cramo3030%64.778.0-13.3
47 Belfius Mons3030%61.378.7-17.3
48 Spirou Charleroi3030%68.389.7-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2229202697
Radnicki27222824101
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