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Neptunas vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2014
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-87
24-17 29-25 20-21 21-24
Position#17
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#21
Record1-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2014
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A09/10
LKL
Baskonia
#13
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A15/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
H20/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H23/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H26/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H28/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#5
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
H31/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-86
48
86
-38
A02/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#23
L
68-94
68
94
-26
A07/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A10/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
11-17
23-21
26-11
15-20
15-17
20-24
19-27
31-19
30-18
28-19
21-28
25-20
22-17
20-24
16-20
18-24
8-9
14-18
25-22
19-13
16-8
24-21
11-26
15-17
15-21
25-17
21-21
13-22
10-33
11-10
14-21
15-23
17-23
12-31
24-17
19-18
22-13
17-18
23-20
154.6Avg total
75.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.287.0162.2-11.825%
Season at home (2)82.083.0165.0-1.050%
Season away (2)68.591.0159.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)75.379.3154.6-4.050%
Last 5 (5)69.680.4150.0-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.984.4159.3-9.533%
vs Similar (5)74.081.8155.8-7.840%
vs Weaker (10)90.272.7162.9+17.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A05/10
ACB
Real Betis
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H16/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#7
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A19/10
ACB
Galatasaray
#23
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H26/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#15
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A30/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H09/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
18-26
13-29
18-12
23-24
28-16
21-18
24-15
18-20
18-18
18-18
14-15
18-18
21-18
18-13
20-20
12-25
12-22
26-15
14-9
20-16
26-22
20-14
18-15
16-21
10-18
16-26
21-11
12-25
16-26
27-20
16-19
15-22
23-14
27-20
14-13
15-23
24-10
25-17
17-14
149.4Avg total
75.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.571.8140.2-3.225%
Season at home (2)73.570.0143.5+3.550%
Season away (2)63.573.5137.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)75.973.5149.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)75.673.2148.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
vs Similar (11)75.673.5149.1+2.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.672.8156.4+10.876%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
NeptunasValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/10
LKL
Baskonia
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A15/10
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#4
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H20/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#15
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H26/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H28/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H31/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A02/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#23
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/11
LKL
72.2Avg total
35.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.980.2+4.550%-
Last 30 away (14)36.143.179.3-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.270.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.444.080.4-7.627%-
vs Similar (5)33.839.873.6-6.020%-
vs Weaker (10)46.935.182.0+11.870%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A05/10
ACB
Real Betis
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A19/10
ACB
Galatasaray
#23
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A23/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#15
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A30/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A02/11
ACB
Baskonia
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/11
ACB
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.576.4+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.976.3+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.176.5+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.474.8-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.051.079.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.033.771.7+4.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.737.178.8+4.676%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Valencia wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/14AMazeikiai81-69
07/11/14AGalatasaray68-94
02/11/14AZalgiris Kaunas48-86
31/10/14HOlympiacos81-85 OT
28/10/14HSiauliai70-68
26/10/14HRytas65-73
23/10/14HCrvena zvezda83-81
20/10/14HPieno Zvaigzdes110-84
15/10/14ABaskonia69-88
09/10/14ALietkabelis78-65
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/14HObradoiro CAB81-64
07/11/14HBaskonia79-69
02/11/14AReal Madrid71-90
30/10/14ACrvena zvezda63-76
26/10/14HEstudiantes84-67
23/10/14AGalatasaray64-71
19/10/14ATecnyconta Zaragoza77-69
16/10/14HOlympiacos68-71
11/10/14HReal Betis96-73
05/10/14AMurcia76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Euroleague 2014
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.282.068.5
Allowed / game87.083.091.0
Point differential-11.8-1.0-22.5
Avg total162.2165.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2014
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.573.563.5
Allowed / game71.870.073.5
Point differential-3.2+3.5-10.0
Avg total140.2143.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%95.880.8+15.0
2 CSKA Moscow440100%88.576.2+12.2
3 Barcelona440100%81.872.2+9.5
4 Olympiacos440100%70.265.8+4.5
5 Panathinaikos43175%85.073.5+11.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%77.569.0+8.5
7 Anadolu Efes43175%75.570.5+5.0
8 Unicaja43175%81.277.8+3.5
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne32167%79.776.7+3.0
10 Strasbourg21150%73.563.5+10.0
11 Galatasaray42250%80.874.8+6.0
12 Crvena zvezda42250%72.569.0+3.5
13 Unics Kazan84450%80.076.5+3.5
14 Baskonia42250%76.275.2+1.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%82.281.8+0.5
16 Fenerbahce42250%79.880.2-0.5
17 Hapoel M. Jerusalem21150%82.583.0-0.5
18 Nizhny Novgorod52340%75.888.8-13.0
19 Alba Berlin41325%77.580.2-2.8
20 Valencia41325%68.571.8-3.2
21 Bayern41325%78.582.0-3.5
22 Cedevita41325%69.574.5-5.0
23 Turow Zgorzelec41325%77.284.8-7.5
24 Limoges41325%70.579.0-8.5
25 Olimpia Milano41325%70.279.8-9.5
26 Neptunas41325%75.287.0-11.8
27 Zielona Gora1010%86.090.0-4.0
28 Oostende1010%77.086.0-9.0
29 Nymburk1010%84.094.0-10.0
30 Sassari4040%79.292.5-13.2
31 VEF Riga1010%53.082.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2429202194
Valencia1725212487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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