Crvena zvezda vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 76-63

21-16 18-10 26-16 11-21

Position#15

Record1-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game75.5

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Valencia

Position#21

Record0-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game66.0

Allowed / game71.0

EuroleagueRound 3

European cup2014

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

62-82

-20

H16/06

Super League

Partizan

67-77

-10

A19/06

Super League

Partizan

87-95 OT

-8

H21/06

Super League

Lukoil Levski

#14

85-55

+30

H03/10

ABA League

Cibona

#11

88-64

+24

A07/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

73-65

H11/10

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

76-68

H16/10

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

#10

93-77

+16

H19/10

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

81-83

-2

A23/10

Euroleague

Zadar

79-63

+16

A26/10

ABA League

11-23

18-17

21-19

12-23

19-17

18-27

15-19

15-14

22-21

13-15

17-15

20-21

17-17

25-18

23-12

20-8

26-11

25-17

27-19

10-17

14-17

19-11

28-10

12-27

17-20

29-10

17-18

13-20

26-29

25-15

17-17

25-16

20-25

17-22

24-20

20-16

15-10

22-20

28-18

14-15

152.0Avg total

79.1Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	78.5	75.5	154.0	+3.0	50%
Season at home (1)	76.0	68.0	144.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (1)	81.0	83.0	164.0	-2.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	72.9	152.0	+6.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	71.2	151.6	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	65.0	68.0	133.0	-3.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	77.7	82.7	160.3	-5.0	33%
vs Weaker (22)	84.6	70.4	155.0	+14.2	82%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

74-70

A10/06

ACB

Barcelona

81-63

+18

A12/06

ACB

Barcelona

75-77

-2

H15/06

ACB

Real Madrid

76-89

-13

A26/09

Supercopa ACB

Murcia

#10

76-85

-9

A05/10

ACB

Real Betis

#15

96-73

+23

H11/10

ACB

Olympiacos

68-71

-3

H16/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

77-69

A19/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

64-71

-7

A23/10

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#13

84-67

+17

H26/10

ACB

20-25

12-17

21-17

21-11

20-16

17-9

24-16

20-22

20-18

23-16

14-27

18-16

26-19

17-24

15-17

18-29

27-18

18-26

13-29

18-12

23-24

28-16

21-18

24-15

18-20

18-18

14-15

18-18

21-18

18-13

20-20

12-25

12-22

26-15

14-9

20-16

26-22

20-14

18-15

150.6Avg total

77.1Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	66.0	71.0	137.0	-5.0	0%
Season at home (1)	68.0	71.0	139.0	-3.0	0%
Season away (1)	64.0	71.0	135.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	73.5	150.6	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	70.2	148.0	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	76.7	73.7	150.3	+3.0	56%
vs Weaker (20)	82.6	73.6	156.2	+9.0	75%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	16.5	31.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.5	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.2	39.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.6	39.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.6	38.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.5	16.2	37.7	+5.2	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	60%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

29-40

-11

H16/06

Super League

Partizan

37-44

-7

A19/06

Super League

Partizan

35-36

-1

H21/06

Super League

Lukoil Levski

#14

42-35

H03/10

ABA League

Cibona

#11

51-28

+23

A07/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

33-28

H11/10

ABA League

Galatasaray

#23

46-30

+16

H16/10

Euroleague

Mega Bemax

#10

51-44

H19/10

ABA League

Neptunas

#17

37-47

-10

A23/10

Euroleague

Zadar

37-30

A26/10

ABA League

76.0Avg total

39.8Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.2	76.9	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	35.1	74.4	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	37.5	79.8	+4.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.8	76.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	37.5	73.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	33.8	39.2	73.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (22)	43.0	35.3	78.3	+7.7	73%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

32-42

-10

A10/06

ACB

Barcelona

37-25

+12

A12/06

ACB

Barcelona

43-34

H15/06

ACB

Real Madrid

43-43

A26/09

Supercopa ACB

Murcia

#10

45-44

A05/10

ACB

Real Betis

#15

51-40

+11

H11/10

ACB

Olympiacos

36-38

-2

H16/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

39-36

A19/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#23

24-47

-23

A23/10

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#13

46-38

H26/10

ACB

78.3Avg total

39.6Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.3	77.3	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	34.8	76.3	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	37.9	78.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.7	78.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.3	32.9	72.2	+6.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.6	37.5	79.2	+4.1	70%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	16.5	37.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	14.8	36.2	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	16.7	38.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.0	16.2	38.1	+5.8	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.5	36.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.7	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.7	33.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	11.5	27.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	20.7	41.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.6	37.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.4	34.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.8	32.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	35.2	75.2	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	33.0	73.3	+7.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	34.4	72.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.4	75.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	30.5	60.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.0	37.7	77.7	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	41.0	34.9	76.0	+6.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.6	76.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	35.1	72.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	40.1	81.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	34.8	72.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	30.4	69.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.3	40.8	78.1	-3.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (20)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/09	Valencia v Crvena zvezda	82-80
27/01/09	Crvena zvezda v Valencia	73-85

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/14	A	Zadar	79-63
23/10/14	A	Neptunas	81-83
19/10/14	H	Mega Bemax	93-77
16/10/14	H	Galatasaray	76-68
11/10/14	H	Petrol Olimpija	73-65
07/10/14	A	Cibona	88-64
03/10/14	H	Lukoil Levski	85-55
21/06/14	H	Partizan	87-95 OT
19/06/14	A	Partizan	67-77
16/06/14	H	Partizan	62-82

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/14	H	Estudiantes	84-67
23/10/14	A	Galatasaray	64-71
19/10/14	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	77-69
16/10/14	H	Olympiacos	68-71
11/10/14	H	Real Betis	96-73
05/10/14	A	Murcia	76-85
26/09/14	A	Real Madrid	76-89
15/06/14	H	Barcelona	75-77
12/06/14	A	Barcelona	81-63
10/06/14	A	Barcelona	74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	78.5	76.0	81.0
Allowed / game	75.5	68.0	83.0
Point differential	+3.0	+8.0	-2.0
Avg total	154.0	144.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	66.0	68.0	64.0
Allowed / game	71.0	71.0	71.0
Point differential	-5.0	-3.0	-7.0
Avg total	137.0	139.0	135.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	2	2	0	100%	91.5	74.0	+17.5
2	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	100%	84.0	75.0	+9.0
3	Unicaja	2	2	0	100%	82.5	73.5	+9.0
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	100%	80.5	72.0	+8.5
5	Real Madrid	2	2	0	100%	78.0	73.0	+5.0
6	Olympiacos	2	2	0	100%	67.0	62.5	+4.5
7	Zalgiris Kaunas	3	2	1	67%	77.7	68.3	+9.3
8	Unics Kazan	6	4	2	67%	82.7	76.0	+6.7
9	Anadolu Efes	3	2	1	67%	75.3	72.0	+3.3
10	Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	2	1	67%	79.7	76.7	+3.0
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	50%	73.5	63.5	+10.0
12	Baskonia	2	1	1	50%	72.5	66.0	+6.5
13	Crvena zvezda	2	1	1	50%	78.5	75.5	+3.0
14	Bayern	2	1	1	50%	81.0	79.0	+2.0
15	Panathinaikos	2	1	1	50%	79.5	79.0	+0.5
16	Galatasaray	2	1	1	50%	69.5	70.0	-0.5
17	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	2	1	1	50%	82.5	83.0	-0.5
18	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	1	1	50%	86.0	87.5	-1.5
19	Limoges	2	1	1	50%	73.5	76.0	-2.5
20	Neptunas	2	1	1	50%	76.0	84.5	-8.5
21	Nizhny Novgorod	2	1	1	50%	75.5	91.5	-16.0
22	Zielona Gora	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
23	Valencia	2	0	2	0%	66.0	71.0	-5.0
24	Olimpia Milano	2	0	2	0%	68.5	77.5	-9.0
25	Oostende	1	0	1	0%	77.0	86.0	-9.0
26	Alba Berlin	2	0	2	0%	76.0	85.5	-9.5
27	Nymburk	1	0	1	0%	84.0	94.0	-10.0
28	Sassari	3	0	3	0%	74.3	85.0	-10.7
29	Turow Zgorzelec	2	0	2	0%	76.5	87.5	-11.0
30	Cedevita	2	0	2	0%	61.5	74.5	-13.0
31	VEF Riga	1	0	1	0%	53.0	82.0	-29.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	21	18	26	11	76
Valencia	16	10	16	21	63

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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A Pro feature