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Neptunas vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-85
23-15 16-19 26-13 25-38
Position#17
Record4-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#13
Record6-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Neptunas v VEF Riga
16 Mar 2014
NEP90
VRI85
16 Oct 2012
NEP60
VRI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
118-78
118
78
+40
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A28/02
LKL
Astana
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H09/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
18-28
20-23
20-21
32-17
32-22
25-18
29-21
14-14
25-14
25-21
17-24
28-23
14-24
16-18
12-18
28-19
12-24
26-20
18-20
25-17
23-21
24-21
15-26
22-27
26-15
12-23
21-16
8-20
20-22
15-12
30-27
13-25
22-8
18-19
26-14
24-27
23-17
24-27
15-20
166.4Avg total
84.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.284.6162.8-6.325%
Season at home (7)82.185.7167.9-3.643%
Season away (9)75.283.7158.9-8.411%
Last 10 (10)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)83.881.8165.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.682.8159.3-6.233%
vs Similar (13)83.182.9166.0+0.254%
vs Weaker (5)87.076.8163.8+10.280%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#13
W
112-62
112
62
+50
A26/01
LBL
Khimki M.
#2
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A03/02
VTB United League
Ventspils
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H08/02
LBL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
H16/02
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A22/02
VTB United League
Jelgava
#10
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A25/02
LBL
Jurmala
#7
L
110-116 OT
110
116
-6
A01/03
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A04/03
LBL
Volgograd
#12
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A08/03
VTB United League
Turiba
#12
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A12/03
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
27-9
28-26
23-13
20-20
18-20
13-17
6-18
22-15
10-25
24-21
23-25
19-19
13-18
25-30
21-22
22-24
21-18
18-24
23-25
15-24
20-19
27-11
29-8
20-24
24-27
22-17
24-22
14-9
24-17
18-16
14-25
21-21
21-27
19-18
23-19
13-11
22-15
19-15
20-19
163.2Avg total
83.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.078.6154.6-2.638%
Season at home (8)79.179.5158.6-0.450%
Season away (8)72.977.6150.5-4.825%
Last 10 (10)83.979.3163.2+4.640%
Last 5 (5)85.878.0163.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
vs Similar (12)78.876.7155.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.169.8158.9+19.390%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
NeptunasVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/02
LKL
Astana
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/03
VTB United League
82.9Avg total
42.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.779.2+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.077.6-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.482.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.238.976.1-1.842%-
vs Similar (13)38.840.278.9-1.438%-
vs Weaker (5)43.638.682.2+5.080%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#13
W
61-23
61
23
+38
A26/01
LBL
Khimki M.
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A03/02
VTB United League
Ventspils
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H08/02
LBL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/02
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/02
VTB United League
Jelgava
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A25/02
LBL
Jurmala
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A01/03
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A04/03
LBL
Volgograd
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A08/03
VTB United League
Turiba
#12
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
LBL
77.6Avg total
40.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.735.874.5+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.335.874.1+2.550%-
Last 30 away (20)38.935.874.7+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.677.6+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.877.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.238.872.0-5.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.637.375.9+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.131.674.7+11.580%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
3
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
23/11/13VEF Riga v Neptunas74-59
12/01/13VEF Riga v Neptunas94-89
16/10/12Neptunas v VEF Riga60-86
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/14HAstana86-91
28/02/14AAlytaus Dzukija79-66
24/02/14HVolgograd73-81
14/02/14HKrasnye Krylya94-86 OT
09/02/14HJuventus87-85
06/02/14HPieno Zvaigzdes84-83
02/02/14AZenit Petersburg70-83
27/01/14HZalgiris Kaunas81-73
22/01/14ALSU Atletas118-78
19/01/14HKhimki M.74-92
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/14ATuriba74-60
08/03/14AVolgograd84-85
04/03/14AValmiera/ORDO70-67
01/03/14AJurmala110-116 OT
25/02/14AJelgava91-62
22/02/14AKrasnye Krylya84-91
16/02/14HZenit Petersburg78-89
08/02/14HVentspils79-86
03/02/14AKhimki M.57-75
26/01/14ALatvia U18112-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%43%11%
Points / game78.282.175.2
Allowed / game84.685.783.7
Point differential-6.3-3.6-8.4
Avg total162.8167.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %19%29%11%
VEF Riga
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game76.079.172.9
Allowed / game78.679.577.6
Point differential-2.6-0.4-4.8
Avg total154.6158.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Khimki M.16160100%87.069.6+17.4
2 Unics Kazan1716194%79.566.6+12.9
3 CSKA Moscow1715288%81.268.8+12.5
4 Rytas1712571%80.574.7+5.8
5 Lokomotiv Kuban1711665%72.270.5+1.7
6 Zenit Petersburg1711665%78.977.2+1.7
7 Nizhny Novgorod169756%74.469.0+5.4
8 Enisey179853%86.287.2-0.9
9 Astana178947%83.284.1-0.9
10 Donetsk178947%72.374.5-2.2
11 Krasnye Krylya167944%75.378.4-3.1
12 Spartak St. Petersburg1771041%71.775.1-3.4
13 Turow Zgorzelec1661038%80.883.1-2.4
14 VEF Riga1661038%76.078.6-2.6
15 Volgograd1661038%83.890.2-6.5
16 Azovmash Mariupol1541127%74.081.6-7.6
17 Minsk1641225%77.483.4-5.9
18 Neptunas1641225%78.284.6-6.3
19 Nymburk1741324%78.984.8-5.9
20 BC Kalev/Cramo1721512%75.586.4-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2316262590
VEF Riga1519133885
← all games of the day
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