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Neptunas vs Volgograd Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-90 (OT)
16-17 27-25 22-16 16-23 18-9
Position#20
Record0-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#44
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2015
Meetings · Neptunas v Volgograd
28 Oct 2015
NEP99
VOL90
24 Feb 2014
NEP73
VOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Volgograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A07/06
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H10/06
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A11/10
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H14/10
Eurocup
Skycop
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H18/10
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A21/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A25/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
11-22
23-16
15-11
13-23
15-21
15-13
26-27
23-19
24-8
20-19
10-20
23-13
7-20
18-14
19-15
17-27
22-20
12-18
25-14
16-18
20-24
21-17
14-22
21-18
16-20
22-29
31-27
27-18
9-32
20-20
26-17
16-22
14-14
14-21
15-17
13-13
19-21
20-15
28-26
150.0Avg total
73.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.584.0158.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
Season away (1)59.074.0133.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.776.3150.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)76.482.2158.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.490.9176.3-5.414%
vs Similar (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)72.669.9142.5+2.859%
This opponent (Volgograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VolgogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H15/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H19/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A26/04
VTB United League
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
110-67
110
67
+43
A04/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A07/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A11/10
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
A14/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H17/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H21/10
Eurocup
Khimki M.
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A25/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-22
19-18
20-28
19-21
21-25
14-20
25-28
20-25
15-15
19-15
26-31
29-18
30-20
29-15
22-14
19-27
19-26
29-26
26-15
12-24
24-26
17-17
14-18
18-14
25-23
25-23
18-26
31-26
22-27
19-18
16-23
17-23
19-24
17-11
20-20
27-21
22-27
18-24
19-25
173.9Avg total
85.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.586.0170.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
Season away (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.888.1173.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)82.089.6171.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.988.1167.9-8.212%
vs Similar (11)82.181.6163.7+0.555%
vs Weaker (3)86.776.3163.0+10.333%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
NeptunasVolgograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A07/06
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H10/06
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/10
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Skycop
#4
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H18/10
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/10
LKL
72.8Avg total
34.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.874.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.936.276.2+3.769%-
Last 30 away (17)36.037.273.2-1.235%-
Last 10 (10)34.338.572.8-4.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.074.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.643.981.4-6.329%-
vs Similar (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.833.971.7+3.959%-
This opponent (Volgograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VolgogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H15/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H19/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A26/04
VTB United League
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A04/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A07/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A14/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#10
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H17/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H21/10
Eurocup
Khimki M.
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A25/10
VTB United League
89.4Avg total
43.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.681.9-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.579.8+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.884.1-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.889.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.090.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.842.782.4-2.938%-
vs Similar (11)40.239.880.0+0.445%-
vs Weaker (3)43.742.786.3+1.033%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
2
Volgograd wins
DateGameScore
24/02/14Neptunas v Volgograd73-81
17/11/13Volgograd v Neptunas96-95
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/15ALietkabelis80-75
21/10/15AHapoel M. Jerusalem59-74
18/10/15HSkycop82-87
14/10/15HGalatasaray90-94
11/10/15AZalgiris Kaunas71-81
08/10/15AJuventus76-79
04/10/15AAlytaus Dzukija67-62
30/09/15HNevezis77-66
10/06/15HJuventus69-84
07/06/15AJuventus66-61
Volgogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/15AKhimki M.86-97
21/10/15HNizhny Novgorod73-78
17/10/15HVEF Riga88-94
14/10/15AAEK Athens96-94 OT
11/10/15ACSKA Moscow67-85
07/10/15AZenit Petersburg93-94
04/10/15AVita Tbilisi110-67
26/04/15AKhimki M.80-86
19/04/15HLokomotiv Kuban79-94
15/04/15HEnisey86-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.590.059.0
Allowed / game84.094.074.0
Point differential-9.5-4.0-15.0
Avg total158.5184.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Volgograd
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game84.573.096.0
Allowed / game86.078.094.0
Point differential-1.5-5.0+2.0
Avg total170.5151.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria330100%92.375.0+17.3
2 Galatasaray220100%91.577.5+14.0
3 Nizhny Novgorod220100%85.072.0+13.0
4 Valencia330100%81.072.7+8.3
5 Nanterre220100%80.572.5+8.0
6 Zenit Petersburg220100%83.075.5+7.5
7 Bilbao32167%85.772.3+13.3
8 Unics Kazan32167%84.073.7+10.3
9 Ulm32167%84.076.7+7.3
10 Aris32167%73.368.0+5.3
11 Trabzonspor32167%73.372.7+0.7
12 Rytas21150%88.078.0+10.0
13 Saratov21150%94.084.5+9.5
14 Trento21150%88.583.5+5.0
15 Bonn21150%84.583.5+1.0
16 Le Mans21150%73.072.0+1.0
17 Ludwigsburg21150%77.077.5-0.5
18 Reggiana21150%79.080.5-1.5
19 Volgograd21150%84.586.0-1.5
20 Hapoel M. Jerusalem21150%72.575.5-3.0
21 PAOK21150%69.072.5-3.5
22 Tecnyconta Zaragoza21150%74.078.5-4.5
23 Petrol Olimpija21150%85.091.0-6.0
24 Alba Berlin21150%71.077.5-6.5
25 Venezia21150%69.077.0-8.0
26 Besiktas21150%85.095.0-10.0
27 BC Steaua Bucuresti21150%72.082.5-10.5
28 Buducnost31233%70.373.3-3.0
29 Nancy2020%69.072.0-3.0
30 Spirou Charleroi2020%75.083.0-8.0
31 Banvit2020%74.584.0-9.5
32 Neptunas2020%74.584.0-9.5
33 Brindisi3030%73.385.7-12.3
34 AEK Athens2020%79.592.5-13.0
35 Szolnoki Olaj2020%67.080.5-13.5
36 Oldenburg3030%68.787.3-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas162722161899
Volgograd17251623990
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