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Netherlands W vs Slovenia W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-76
21-19 21-19 25-13 19-25
Position#23
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#18
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game65.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Topsportcentrum Almere
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ireland W
#35
W
59-56
59
56
+3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
59-66
59
66
-7
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
54avg 54
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
53avg 54
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
92-54
92
54
+38
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
62-89
62
89
-27
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
5-13
28-12
17-10
12-10
7-21
11-23
19-15
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
7-16
18-15
16-19
18-16
25-23
11-10
17-6
20-18
19-19
20-29
16-19
10-25
15-19
16-17
13-28
20-17
23-19
18-13
25-20
26-2
15-18
15-25
13-21
19-25
133.4Avg total
64.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)64.469.0133.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)71.274.6145.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.875.1137.9-12.320%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker (5)74.054.4128.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovenia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#23
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
84-62
84
62
+22
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
94-83
94
83
+11
101avg 82
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
96-47
96
47
+49
105avg 82
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 82
H18/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
63avg 82
A19/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
93avg 82
H21/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
87-65
87
65
+22
no box
A15/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
21-19
27-16
16-11
18-15
18-17
25-15
23-15
19-18
20-16
13-14
22-19
23-24
23-21
23-17
25-21
21-14
18-14
33-4
24-15
19-27
15-15
21-16
16-19
17-22
5-23
26-16
18-16
30-23
19-10
20-18
15-18
12-19
20-14
22-19
23-14
33-17
14-12
17-16
23-20
148.7Avg total
81.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.065.5147.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.167.6148.7+13.580%
Last 5 (5)77.070.8147.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.472.8147.2+1.660%
vs Similar (8)67.977.2145.1-9.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.161.6146.6+23.582%
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
Netherlands WSlovenia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland W
#35
L
14-34
14
34
-20
A27/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
European Championship Women
65.7Avg total
29.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)31.234.065.2-2.841%-
Last 30 at home (7)31.732.063.7-0.329%-
Last 30 away (10)30.835.466.2-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)29.536.265.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.837.267.0-7.420%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)33.628.261.8+5.480%-
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Slovenia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#23
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A19/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H21/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A15/11
European Championship Women
73.6Avg total
37.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.973.5+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.732.370.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.677.1+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.773.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.473.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
vs Similar (8)33.542.075.5-8.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.031.373.3+10.776%-
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.8%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.4%
-17.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.2
58.7%
-10.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slovenia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia W: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.3
52.2%
-36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.6%
-28.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
71.9%
-11.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands W
LWLLWLLWLW
Slovenia W
WWWLLWWWWW
#23
League position
#18
-8.7
Net rating
+13.1
86.3
Offensive rating
106.1
95.0
Defensive rating
93.0
41.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
22.4%
Turnover %
23.0%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.4%
3-point %
37.6%
80.1%
Assist %
84.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Netherlands W   ■ Slovenia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Netherlands W wins
0
Slovenia W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ALatvia W62-89
12/11/25AEstonia W92-54
09/02/25HSpain W64-81
06/02/25HCroatia W65-92
10/11/24AAustria W73-57
07/11/24ASpain W59-66
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
12/02/23ACzech Republic W49-69
27/11/22AIreland W59-56
Slovenia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AEstonia W87-65
12/11/25HLatvia W77-66
21/06/25HSerbia W84-69
19/06/25AItaly W66-77
18/06/25HLithuania W71-77
09/02/25HFinland W96-47
06/02/25ABulgaria W94-83
10/11/24HHungary W74-67
07/11/24AFinland W84-62
12/11/23HBulgaria W78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game71.5-71.5
Point differential+5.5-+5.5
Avg total148.5-148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Slovenia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.077.087.0
Allowed / game65.566.065.0
Point differential+16.5+11.0+22.0
Avg total147.5143.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W330100%95.756.7+39.0
2 Poland W220100%74.048.0+26.0
3 Serbia W220100%80.555.0+25.5
4 Slovenia W220100%82.065.5+16.5
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Austria W330100%81.769.0+12.7
7 Israel W330100%89.380.7+8.7
8 Great Britain W32167%85.765.7+20.0
9 Latvia W32167%81.362.0+19.3
10 Ukraine W32167%76.359.7+16.7
11 Luxembourg W32167%69.756.3+13.3
12 Slovakia W32167%71.059.0+12.0
13 Greece W32167%90.381.0+9.3
14 Croatia W32167%78.772.3+6.3
15 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
16 Netherlands W21150%77.071.5+5.5
17 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
18 Montenegro W31233%77.066.3+10.7
19 Ireland W31233%77.776.3+1.3
20 Switzerland W31233%71.071.7-0.7
21 Denmark W31233%83.384.3-1.0
22 North Macedonia W31233%72.787.3-14.7
23 Romania W31233%57.378.7-21.3
24 Cyprus W2020%60.572.5-12.0
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.789.0-23.3
27 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
28 Portugal W1010%51.077.0-26.0
29 Norway W3030%43.075.0-32.0
30 Estonia W3030%55.389.3-34.0
31 Azerbaijan W3030%48.0114.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands W2121251986
Slovenia W1919132576
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