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Nevada vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 80-69
40-31 40-38
Position#74
Record12-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game65.1
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#238
Record8-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v Colorado State
18 Dec 2026
NEVA v COLO
upcoming
21 Dec 2024
NEVA64
COLO66
14 Mar 2024
NEVA78
COLO85
24 Jan 2024
NEVA77
COLO64
04 Jan 2023
NEVA80
COLO69
08 Feb 2022
NEVA72
COLO82
05 Mar 2021
NEVA85
COLO82
21 Feb 2021
NEVA v COLO
upcoming
20 Feb 2021
NEVA v COLO
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
NEVA67
COLO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
42-44
20-24
42-34
29-28
49-32
33-33
19-31
37-39
48-38
29-36
36-42
29-34
35-22
39-23
39-43
30-27
44-45
36-25
39-44
141.6Avg total
72.0Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.265.1138.3+8.180%
Season at home (9)74.761.0135.7+13.7100%
Season away (6)71.071.2142.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)72.069.6141.6+2.470%
Last 5 (5)71.268.2139.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.670.9136.5-5.421%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.670.1142.7+2.467%
vs Weaker (6)76.262.8139.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
88-45
88
45
+43
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A09/12
NCAA
Peru State
#581
W
115-72
115
72
+43
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/12
NCAA
USC
#73
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A22/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
35-35
42-20
46-25
32-27
55-44
34-37
49-51
30-38
35-55
53-47
62-25
30-30
32-30
27-31
37-42
24-49
45-39
36-33
34-45
149.5Avg total
75.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.369.8145.1+5.553%
Season at home (9)80.167.3147.4+12.867%
Season away (6)68.273.5141.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)75.973.6149.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.074.2150.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.071.2136.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (18)67.367.8135.1-0.656%
vs Weaker (7)80.166.7146.9+13.471%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.9+3.9
NevadaColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#51
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
62.5Avg total
32.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.264.1-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.731.162.9+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)31.933.365.3-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.629.061.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.834.363.1-5.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.331.765.0+1.744%-
vs Weaker (6)35.030.765.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#105
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H26/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Colorado
#192
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Peru State
#581
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A19/12
NCAA
USC
#73
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A22/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H31/12
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.364.5-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.431.363.7+1.261%-
Last 30 away (12)31.833.965.8-2.142%-
Last 10 (10)32.934.567.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.072.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.538.064.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.731.161.7-0.461%-
vs Weaker (7)36.430.366.7+6.157%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevada wins
3
Colorado State wins
DateGameScore
09/02/22Nevada v Colorado State72-82
26/01/22Colorado State v Nevada77-66
06/03/21Nevada v Colorado State85-82
30/01/20Colorado State v Nevada92-91
02/01/20Nevada v Colorado State67-61
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AAir Force75-69
29/12/22HBoise State74-72
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
15/12/22HUC San Diego64-56
11/12/22AOregon65-78
07/12/22APepperdine85-77
04/12/22ALoyola Marymount52-64
29/11/22HSam Houston St.78-60
23/11/22HAkron62-58
23/11/22AKansas State87-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HSan Jose State70-78
29/12/22ANew Mexico69-88
22/12/22AUSC64-73
19/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)62-60
11/12/22HPeru State115-72
09/12/22AColorado65-93
03/12/22HNorthern Colorado83-88
01/12/22HLoyola Marymount87-71
26/11/22HMiss. Valley St.88-45
20/11/22HPenn State56-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game73.274.771.0
Allowed / game65.161.071.2
Point differential+8.1+13.7-0.2
Avg total138.3135.7142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%17%
Colorado State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game75.380.168.2
Allowed / game69.867.373.5
Point differential+5.5+12.8-5.3
Avg total145.1147.4141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1514193%83.068.5+14.5
2 Utah State1513287%83.369.9+13.5
3 Nevada1512380%73.265.1+8.1
4 UNLV1411379%76.964.5+12.4
5 San Diego State1411379%75.264.8+10.4
6 Boise State1511473%70.559.7+10.7
7 Grand Canyon139469%68.760.8+7.9
8 San Jose State1611569%69.465.6+3.8
9 Air Force169756%68.863.9+4.9
10 Colorado State158753%75.369.8+5.5
11 Fresno State146843%61.461.9-0.4
12 Wyoming145936%70.969.0+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada404080
Colorado State313869
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