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Nevada vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-72
30-27 44-45
Position#74
Record10-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game64.2
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#57
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game58.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v Boise State
20 Dec 2025
NEVA81
BOIS66
22 Feb 2025
NEVA69
BOIS70
12 Jan 2024
NEVA56
BOIS64
28 Dec 2022
NEVA74
BOIS72
12 Jan 2022
NEVA70
BOIS85
07 Feb 2021
NEVA73
BOIS62
05 Feb 2021
NEVA74
BOIS72
04 Jan 2020
NEVA83
BOIS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A19/11
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-18
36-25
29-32
46-34
38-36
42-44
20-24
42-34
29-28
49-32
33-33
19-31
37-39
48-38
29-36
36-42
29-34
35-22
39-23
39-43
137.2Avg total
70.8Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.064.2137.2+8.877%
Season at home (8)74.859.6134.4+15.1100%
Season away (5)70.271.6141.8-1.440%
Last 10 (10)70.866.4137.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)68.868.2137.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.471.4137.8-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.469.9142.2+2.562%
vs Weaker (5)76.461.6138.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
70-48
70
48
+22
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H30/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A04/12
NCAA
Eastern Oregon
#647
W
90-54
90
54
+36
H07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
91-50
91
50
+41
H14/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
39-22
41-33
27-22
44-33
43-36
28-27
27-19
37-28
49-43
45-25
45-29
23-26
34-26
42-28
49-22
31-24
46-33
36-34
22-39
131.4Avg total
73.9Scored
57.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.658.3128.9+12.377%
Season at home (8)75.657.5133.1+18.188%
Season away (5)62.659.6122.2+3.060%
Last 10 (10)73.957.5131.4+16.490%
Last 5 (5)74.657.2131.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)64.862.8127.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (12)74.457.8132.2+16.692%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +9.0+9.0
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +9.0+9.0
NevadaBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A19/11
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
61.2Avg total
30.9Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.165.2-1.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.532.364.8+0.231%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.965.6-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)30.930.361.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.066.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.834.864.6-5.019%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.832.266.0+1.538%-
vs Weaker (5)34.831.866.6+3.040%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Eastern Oregon
#647
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A11/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A22/12
NCAA
64.2Avg total
35.8Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.662.7+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.229.363.5+4.874%-
Last 30 away (11)31.430.161.5+1.355%-
Last 10 (10)35.828.464.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.462.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.730.160.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker (12)36.828.865.7+8.092%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevada wins
4
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
07/02/21Nevada v Boise State73-62
06/02/21Nevada v Boise State74-72
02/02/20Boise State v Nevada73-64
04/01/20Nevada v Boise State83-66
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
15/12/22HUC San Diego64-56
11/12/22AOregon65-78
07/12/22APepperdine85-77
04/12/22ALoyola Marymount52-64
29/11/22HSam Houston St.78-60
23/11/22HAkron62-58
23/11/22AKansas State87-96 OT
21/11/22HTulane75-66
19/11/22AUT Arlington62-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ASanta Clara58-73
18/12/22HOakland77-57
14/12/22HNew Orleans91-50
11/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens57-52
07/12/22HEastern Oregon90-54
04/12/22ATexas A&M86-71
30/11/22HCS Northridge55-46
26/11/22HUtah Valley State87-69
21/11/22HColorado68-55
19/11/22ALoyola Chicago70-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game73.074.870.2
Allowed / game64.259.671.6
Point differential+8.8+15.1-1.4
Avg total137.2134.4141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%20%
Boise State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%88%60%
Points / game70.675.662.6
Allowed / game58.357.559.6
Point differential+12.3+18.1+3.0
Avg total128.9133.1122.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico13130100%84.867.8+16.9
2 UNLV1211192%78.262.7+15.5
3 Utah State1311285%85.171.5+13.6
4 Boise State1310377%70.658.3+12.3
5 Nevada1310377%73.064.2+8.8
6 San Diego State129375%75.565.4+10.1
7 Air Force139469%70.161.5+8.6
8 San Jose State139469%68.864.7+4.1
9 Grand Canyon128467%68.360.9+7.4
10 Colorado State148657%75.769.2+6.5
11 Wyoming125742%72.069.3+2.7
12 Fresno State114736%61.561.7-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada304474
Boise State274572
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