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Air Force vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-75
25-36 44-39
Position#251
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game62.1
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#74
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v Nevada
17 Jan 2026
AIR 66
NEVA81
04 Feb 2025
AIR 60
NEVA74
31 Dec 2022
AIR 69
NEVA75
15 Jan 2022
AIR 68
NEVA75
07 Dec 2019
AIR 85
NEVA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#190
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
38-30
30-19
34-32
24-23
35-33
41-23
40-30
29-30
35-38
39-21
40-37
44-27
36-28
37-38
44-29
31-31
36-34
23-36
32-35
131.3Avg total
71.3Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.062.1131.1+6.964%
Season at home (10)72.260.4132.6+11.880%
Season away (4)61.066.5127.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)71.360.0131.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)72.463.2135.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.173.0133.1-12.912%
vs Similar (12)67.360.8128.2+6.567%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
46-34
38-36
42-44
20-24
42-34
29-28
49-32
33-33
19-31
37-39
48-38
29-36
36-42
29-34
35-22
39-23
39-43
30-27
44-45
141.3Avg total
72.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.164.8137.9+8.379%
Season at home (9)74.761.0135.7+13.7100%
Season away (5)70.271.6141.8-1.440%
Last 10 (10)72.069.3141.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)73.269.8143.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.371.1137.4-4.727%
vs Similar (9)72.670.1142.7+2.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.461.6138.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
Air ForceNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#190
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/12
NCAA
61.7Avg total
34.3Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.930.760.5-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.329.360.6+2.044%-
Last 30 away (12)27.832.860.5-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)34.327.461.7+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.830.665.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)27.133.860.9-6.812%-
vs Similar (12)32.828.261.1+4.650%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H23/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/12
NCAA
62.5Avg total
31.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.664.5-0.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.031.563.5+0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)31.633.965.6-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)31.331.262.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.864.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.334.563.7-5.220%-
vs Similar (9)33.331.765.0+1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.831.866.6+3.040%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
4
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Air Force v Nevada68-75
20/12/20Nevada v Air Force66-68
19/12/20Nevada v Air Force74-57
05/02/20Nevada v Air Force88-54
07/12/19Air Force v Nevada85-100
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ASan Diego State55-71
21/12/22ANorthern Colorado67-65
18/12/22HTarleton81-67
10/12/22HArkansas State80-55
06/12/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-58
03/12/22APortland State64-68
01/12/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-53
27/11/22HMontana59-56
23/11/22HMiss. Valley St.64-51
22/11/22HUSC Upstate83-56
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HBoise State74-72
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
15/12/22HUC San Diego64-56
11/12/22AOregon65-78
07/12/22APepperdine85-77
04/12/22ALoyola Marymount52-64
29/11/22HSam Houston St.78-60
23/11/22HAkron62-58
23/11/22AKansas State87-96 OT
21/11/22HTulane75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%80%25%
Points / game69.072.261.0
Allowed / game62.160.466.5
Point differential+6.9+11.8-5.5
Avg total131.1132.6127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%10%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%100%40%
Points / game73.174.770.2
Allowed / game64.861.071.6
Point differential+8.3+13.7-1.4
Avg total137.9135.7141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico13130100%84.867.8+16.9
2 UNLV1311285%77.763.6+14.1
3 Utah State1311285%85.171.5+13.6
4 Nevada1411379%73.164.8+8.3
5 San Diego State1310377%75.264.6+10.5
6 Boise State1410471%70.759.4+11.3
7 San Jose State1410471%69.265.2+4.0
8 Grand Canyon139469%68.760.8+7.9
9 Air Force149564%69.062.1+6.9
10 Colorado State148657%75.769.2+6.5
11 Fresno State125742%61.261.0+0.2
12 Wyoming135838%70.568.5+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force254469
Nevada363975
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