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Nevada vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 77-63
30-37 47-26
Position#189
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game65.9
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#108
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v South Dakota St.
29 Dec 2026
NEVA v SOUT
upcoming
11 Dec 2024
NEVA77
SOUT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#30
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A21/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H17/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
26-38
37-34
54-41
31-29
32-24
40-28
48-30
47-26
38-33
35-37
36-36
23-34
41-27
40-33
50-45
21-31
36-37
25-35
39-33
138.9Avg total
73.3Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.865.9140.7+8.967%
Season at home (8)76.165.6141.8+10.575%
Season away (1)64.068.0132.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)73.365.6138.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)69.269.6138.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.560.0134.5+14.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.370.7139.9-1.447%
vs Weaker (13)80.365.2145.5+15.285%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Mount Marty
#517
W
89-41
89
41
+48
H19/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
75-55
75
55
+20
A26/11
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#402
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A05/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
43-49
33-43
36-35
51-30
38-11
55-32
46-44
33-33
38-27
42-44
40-39
36-24
39-31
39-28
39-34
27-38
40-33
42-22
32-31
144.4Avg total
78.6Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.766.5145.2+12.373%
Season at home (8)81.668.1149.8+13.575%
Season away (3)71.062.0133.0+9.067%
Last 10 (10)78.665.8144.4+12.870%
Last 5 (5)75.264.8140.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.577.5150.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.170.3142.4+1.856%
vs Weaker (19)80.768.7149.5+12.084%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.7+5.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +5.7+5.7
NevadaSouth Dakota St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#30
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A21/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/11
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H17/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A08/12
NCAA
64.5Avg total
33.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.065.3+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.729.965.6+5.868%-
Last 30 away (11)32.032.864.8-0.855%-
Last 10 (10)33.331.264.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.062.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.030.065.0+5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.732.864.5-1.147%-
vs Weaker (13)37.329.066.3+8.385%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Mount Marty
#517
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H21/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#402
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A05/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H08/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
39.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.070.5+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.132.471.6+6.767%-
Last 30 away (12)35.233.868.9+1.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.532.471.9+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.268.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.036.569.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.334.868.1-1.433%-
vs Weaker (19)40.031.771.7+8.368%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
1
South Dakota St. wins
DateGameScore
23/11/21South Dakota St. v Nevada102-75
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ALoyola Marymount64-68
03/12/24HWashington State57-68
24/11/24HOklahoma State90-78
23/11/24HVCU Rams64-61
22/11/24HVanderbilt71-73
17/11/24HSanta Clara85-59
14/11/24HWeber State88-58
10/11/24HWashington63-53
05/11/24HSam Houston St.91-75
21/03/24ADayton60-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HEast. Washington74-53
05/12/24AMontana67-71
03/12/24HDakota Wesleyan78-62
26/11/24AMissouri State75-55
25/11/24HBoise State82-83
24/11/24ADuquesne71-60
21/11/24HSouthern Miss101-76
19/11/24HMount Marty89-41
15/11/24HNorthern Colorado69-78
09/11/24HLong Beach State80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %67%75%0%
Points / game74.876.164.0
Allowed / game65.965.668.0
Point differential+8.9+10.5-4.0
Avg total140.7141.8132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game78.781.671.0
Allowed / game66.568.162.0
Point differential+12.3+13.5+9.0
Avg total145.2149.8133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State990100%87.664.2+23.3
2 San Diego State86275%75.063.4+11.6
3 Grand Canyon86275%81.872.6+9.1
4 New Mexico107370%84.476.4+8.0
5 Boise State96367%80.868.3+12.4
6 Nevada96367%74.865.9+8.9
7 Colorado State95456%74.270.2+4.0
8 Wyoming95456%74.473.9+0.6
9 UNLV84450%72.972.6+0.2
10 San Jose State115645%75.270.8+4.4
11 Air Force103730%65.367.5-2.2
12 Fresno State103730%72.380.4-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.118373%78.766.5+12.3
2 South Dakota Coyotes128467%86.878.7+8.2
3 North Dakota St128467%77.372.4+4.9
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)117464%84.373.5+10.7
5 Denver126650%75.777.8-2.2
6 UMKC125742%77.264.2+13.0
7 North Dakota104640%69.875.2-5.4
8 Nebraska O.114736%70.574.1-3.5
9 Oral Roberts103730%74.674.4+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada304777
South Dakota St.372663
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