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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs CBet Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-88
23-12 17-29 26-16 26-31
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game83.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v CBet
13 Mar 2021
NOP71
CBE84
18 Oct 2020
NOP92
CBE88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CBet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A03/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-18
13-17
25-26
25-16
17-14
19-18
15-22
20-21
21-15
15-19
14-21
10-20
20-20
27-20
19-23
151.2Avg total
76.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.075.2151.2+0.850%
Season at home (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)76.077.0153.0-1.033%
Last 10 (4)76.075.2151.2+0.850%
Last 5 (4)76.075.2151.2+0.850%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.074.0150.0+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A25/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H01/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A20/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H22/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A26/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H04/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
9-25
17-12
18-20
18-25
26-15
20-33
21-22
23-14
16-23
23-22
25-15
15-27
22-30
14-18
28-19
20-17
23-24
24-8
27-21
26-17
24-28
16-27
21-12
30-18
13-17
18-25
19-30
19-15
21-23
20-18
18-22
16-27
29-25
24-14
25-21
27-24
20-22
25-17
27-4
167.7Avg total
85.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Season at home (3)91.081.3172.3+9.767%
Season away (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.182.6167.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.685.9158.5-13.419%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.972.9153.8+8.085%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
Nevezis-OPTIBETCBet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A19/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A03/10
LKL
73.0Avg total
39.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)39.233.873.0+5.575%-
Last 30 at home (1)42.030.072.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 away (3)38.335.073.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (4)39.233.873.0+5.575%-
Last 5 (4)39.233.873.0+5.575%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.532.575.0+10.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A25/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H01/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A20/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H04/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/10
LKL
85.0Avg total
41.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.842.279.1-5.438%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.244.483.6-5.238%-
Last 30 away (13)33.939.573.5-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.585.0-2.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.943.279.1-7.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.041.079.0-3.046%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.8
48.8%
54.2%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.0
23.3%
36.6%15.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.0
81.8%
75.2%18.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBet: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.528.0
60.2%
54.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.8
36.0%
36.6%20.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.7%
75.2%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLWW
CBet
WWLLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#5
-0.3
Net rating
+11.5
97.8
Offensive rating
114.2
98.1
Defensive rating
102.7
44.1%
Effective FG%
58.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
22.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
23.3%
3-point %
36.0%
48.5%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 114.2Defence98.1 · 102.7Shooting44.1% · 58.4%3-point %23.3% · 36.0%Ball care22.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds36.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 4/10)50% · 50%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ CBet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
0
CBet wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/20AJuventus76-83
28/09/20ANeptunas70-76
24/09/20HLietkabelis76-70
19/09/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-72
CBetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/20HNeptunas99-67
04/10/20HSiauliai94-87
26/09/20AJuventus84-89 OT
22/09/20HRytas80-90
20/09/20ALietkabelis87-84
08/03/20HAlytaus Dzukija94-70
01/03/20HZalgiris Kaunas79-94
09/02/20ASiauliai87-74
01/02/20HNeptunas85-95
25/01/20ALietkabelis62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game76.076.076.0
Allowed / game75.270.077.0
Point differential+0.8+6.0-1.0
Avg total151.2146.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CBet
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game88.891.085.5
Allowed / game83.481.386.5
Point differential+5.4+9.7-1.0
Avg total172.2172.3172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas660100%99.576.5+23.0
2 Juventus54180%90.490.4+0.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%81.564.2+17.2
4 Lietkabelis64267%82.774.2+8.5
5 CBet53260%88.883.4+5.4
6 Nevezis-OPTIBET42250%76.075.2+0.8
7 Neptunas62433%76.288.7-12.5
8 Alytaus Dzukija51420%84.689.2-4.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes51420%73.086.2-13.2
10 Siauliai6060%75.095.7-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET2317262692
CBet1229163188
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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