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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-70
25-16 17-14 19-18 15-22
Position#10
Record1-0
FormW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game87.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis
06 Mar 2021
NOP76
LIE67
24 Sep 2020
NOP76
LIE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 81
A19/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
24-18
13-17
25-26
154.0Avg total
82.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Last 5 (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
A02/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H05/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
102-64
102
64
+38
no box
H11/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
H25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H01/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
A08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A29/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
H07/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 76
H20/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
11-21
24-22
22-16
23-22
18-11
23-19
19-20
30-14
22-21
32-14
18-15
17-22
15-27
25-19
20-21
19-18
25-9
12-17
20-18
20-17
23-11
14-21
28-20
19-18
19-16
23-10
12-21
22-27
18-14
21-22
23-15
17-16
15-20
12-28
23-17
17-26
28-24
27-16
12-21
154.9Avg total
81.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.087.0171.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)84.087.0171.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.173.8154.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)78.676.0154.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.083.0159.0-7.033%
vs Similar (5)84.075.2159.2+8.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.073.8153.8+6.173%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
Nevezis-OPTIBETLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A19/09
LKL
73.0Avg total
44.0Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
Last 10 (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
Last 5 (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A02/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H05/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H11/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H01/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H20/09
LKL
76.7Avg total
40.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.577.1+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.178.1+6.069%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.175.9-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.676.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.877.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.739.381.0+2.367%-
vs Similar (5)44.437.081.4+7.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.237.475.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.0
55.6%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.019.0
79.2%
75.2%19.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
75.2%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
W
Lietkabelis
LLWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#3
+10.6
Net rating
-1.4
106.2
Offensive rating
115.6
95.6
Defensive rating
117.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.0%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
28.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
47.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.2%
3-point %
36.0%
55.6%
Assist %
65.5%
100%
Form (last 1/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 115.6Defence95.6 · 117.0Shooting50.8% · 54.0%3-point %29.2% · 36.0%Ball care28.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds47.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 1/10)100% · 70%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/20HCBet84-87
07/03/20HPieno Zvaigzdes67-81
29/02/20ANeptunas84-78
08/02/20AAlytaus Dzukija73-65
01/02/20HNevezis85-69
25/01/20HCBet76-62
18/01/20AJuventus77-89
11/01/20HNeptunas102-64
05/01/20HZalgiris Kaunas83-72
02/01/20ASiauliai80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%92.059.0+33.0
2 Rytas220100%98.078.5+19.5
3 Nevezis-OPTIBET110100%82.072.0+10.0
4 Neptunas110100%84.081.0+3.0
5 CBet21150%83.587.0-3.5
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes21150%76.581.0-4.5
7 Lietkabelis1010%84.087.0-3.0
8 Siauliai2020%68.085.0-17.0
9 Alytaus Dzukija2020%71.589.5-18.0
10 Juventus1010%77.0106.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET2517191576
Lietkabelis1614182270
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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