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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-67
16-19 24-14 15-18 21-16
Position#10
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game85.6
Nevezis-OPTIBET 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Lietkabelis
Lithuania
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game77.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis
06 Mar 2021
NOP76
LIE67
24 Sep 2020
NOP76
LIE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
74avg 67
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 67
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
64avg 67
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
54avg 67
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
76avg 67
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
47-78
47
78
-31
34avg 67
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
53-108
53
108
-55
41avg 67
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 67
A10/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
81-99
81
99
-18
68avg 67
H28/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
24-15
11-14
18-19
26-28
18-24
18-12
12-32
16-21
18-22
14-23
8-12
7-21
7-26
16-32
11-23
19-27
16-14
24-24
15-22
18-21
18-35
24-16
20-20
19-28
159.5Avg total
69.4Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.485.6161.0-10.227%
Season at home (12)74.585.8160.2-11.242%
Season away (10)76.485.4161.8-9.010%
Last 10 (10)69.490.1159.5-20.710%
Last 5 (5)63.691.0154.6-27.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.888.5161.3-15.615%
vs Similar (9)79.081.4160.4-2.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Prienai
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
no box
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
98-69
98
69
+29
97avg 73
H20/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 73
A30/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 73
A03/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
no box
H09/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 73
H24/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 73
A27/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 73
A03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
27-26
25-21
17-25
29-14
21-17
23-23
25-15
19-17
20-21
19-22
14-18
25-21
8-21
13-26
24-18
24-26
23-24
24-21
24-24
16-11
30-23
20-20
18-19
8-19
20-18
13-21
28-18
22-16
23-22
29-18
19-29
21-17
19-20
17-24
23-16
23-29
28-17
16-16
19-22
167.9Avg total
85.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.877.5162.3+7.271%
Season at home (10)91.078.4169.4+12.680%
Season away (11)79.176.7155.8+2.464%
Last 10 (10)85.682.3167.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.479.0161.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.681.0153.6-8.418%
vs Similar (5)84.878.0162.8+6.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.678.8167.4+9.886%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Nevezis-OPTIBETLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-58
23
58
-35
H06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/02
LKL
78.0Avg total
34.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.342.079.3-4.736%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.542.479.9-4.942%-
Last 30 away (10)37.141.578.6-4.430%-
Last 10 (10)34.743.378.0-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.680.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.443.880.2-7.531%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H20/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H09/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A03/03
LKL
83.0Avg total
43.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.679.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.239.982.1+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)38.339.377.6-1.035%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.783.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.640.475.0-5.727%-
vs Similar (5)41.638.079.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.639.583.1+4.157%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.7
44.9%
54.2%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.1%
75.2%11.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.0
53.6%
54.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.4
39.2%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
75.2%14.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLLLWLLLL
Lietkabelis
WWWLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#3
-26.8
Net rating
+8.7
92.3
Offensive rating
111.7
119.2
Defensive rating
103.0
46.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
24.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
39.2%
64.3%
Assist %
63.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 111.7Defence119.2 · 103.0Shooting46.7% · 55.5%3-point %32.7% · 39.2%Ball care24.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
1
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
20/01/21Lietkabelis v Nevezis-OPTIBET98-69
24/09/20Nevezis-OPTIBET v Lietkabelis76-70
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21HJuventus81-99
10/02/21ARytas73-81
06/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas53-108
02/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas47-78
31/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes64-89
27/01/21HNeptunas79-76
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21ASiauliai86-84
27/02/21APieno Zvaigzdes80-77
24/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija93-85
14/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-76
13/02/21AJuventus84-73
09/02/21HSiauliai108-105 OT
03/02/21AAlytaus Dzukija70-86
30/01/21ARytas72-78
20/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET98-69
16/01/21HPrienai96-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%42%10%
Points / game75.474.576.4
Allowed / game85.685.885.4
Point differential-10.2-11.2-9.0
Avg total161.0160.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game84.891.079.1
Allowed / game77.578.476.7
Point differential+7.2+12.6+2.4
Avg total162.3169.4155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%88.867.6+21.3
2 Rytas2015575%89.180.2+8.9
3 Juventus2216673%88.584.2+4.3
4 Lietkabelis2115671%84.877.5+7.2
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes2191243%79.481.3-2.0
6 Alytaus Dzukija1971237%79.983.1-3.2
7 Neptunas2281436%78.185.1-7.0
8 CBet2271532%85.891.7-6.0
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2261627%75.485.6-10.2
10 Siauliai2151624%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET1624152176
Lietkabelis1914181667
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