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New Mexico State vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-57
35-29 38-28
Position#18
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game68.1
New Mexico State 🏆
USA
vs
Tarleton
USA
Position#235
Record8-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game63.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico Cowboys
#453
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
94-101
94
101
-7
H01/12
NCAA
UTEP
#136
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A04/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A12/12
NCAA
Washington State
#144
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A16/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#501
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H18/12
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#437
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H01/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
57-33
42-49
52-52
32-30
40-39
27-31
41-37
25-23
38-35
22-35
42-26
45-27
48-33
40-32
44-27
30-26
48-35
44-37
41-36
149.0Avg total
80.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.268.1145.3+9.187%
Season at home (8)82.266.8149.0+15.588%
Season away (7)71.469.7141.1+1.786%
Last 10 (10)80.568.5149.0+12.090%
Last 5 (5)80.862.8143.6+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.569.5124.0-15.00%
vs Similar (12)70.765.3136.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)76.867.7144.5+9.186%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
29-29
46-36
38-29
46-28
35-47
32-28
30-41
27-25
38-27
21-14
46-31
42-31
41-38
23-34
32-43
42-31
33-33
28-32
34-30
135.2Avg total
70.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.763.9128.6+0.847%
Season at home (8)71.959.1131.0+12.888%
Season away (9)58.368.1126.4-9.811%
Last 10 (10)70.664.6135.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)71.465.2136.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.169.2132.3-6.130%
vs Similar (10)62.865.5128.3-2.740%
vs Weaker (10)72.559.8132.3+12.770%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +9.8+9.82nd half: +0.8+0.8
New Mexico StateTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico Cowboys
#453
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H01/12
NCAA
UTEP
#136
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A04/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#264
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A12/12
NCAA
Washington State
#144
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A16/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#501
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Texas-Permian Basin
#437
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H01/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.066.1+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.030.866.8+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)32.533.065.5-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.466.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.467.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.038.565.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)33.031.864.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.531.066.5+4.579%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#350
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
21-14
21
14
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#55
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H09/01
NCAA
62.4Avg total
33.5Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.561.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.127.963.0+7.267%-
Last 30 away (18)30.530.661.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)33.528.962.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.228.459.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.730.260.9+0.550%-
vs Similar (10)30.131.361.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)36.227.163.3+9.170%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico State wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Tarleton v New Mexico State64-55
27/02/21Tarleton v New Mexico State51-78
New Mexico Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22AUTRGV85-73
01/01/22HChicago State78-61
21/12/21HTexas-Permian Basin84-59
18/12/21HNorthern New Mexico93-60
16/12/21AWashington State64-61
12/12/21ALoyola Marymount63-58
07/12/21ANew Mexico78-76 OT
04/12/21AUTEP72-69
01/12/21HNew Mexico94-101
25/11/21HNew Mexico Cowboys94-67
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22HStephen F. Austin77-71 OT
07/01/22HSam Houston St.75-64
01/01/22AUtah Valley State55-77
31/12/21AUtah Tech83-69
22/12/21HAir Force67-45
18/12/21HSouth Alabama65-52
15/12/21ASouth Alabama62-69
09/12/21HSAGU81-75
08/12/21HDallas Christian84-65
06/12/21HCharleston Southern57-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%88%86%
Points / game77.282.271.4
Allowed / game68.166.869.7
Point differential+9.1+15.5+1.7
Avg total145.3149.0141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%75%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)-100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%88%11%
Points / game64.771.958.3
Allowed / game63.959.168.1
Point differential+0.8+12.8-9.8
Avg total128.6131.0126.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1513287%77.268.1+9.1
2 Louisiana Tech1714382%79.167.5+11.6
3 Delaware1611569%74.869.8+4.9
4 Missouri State1812667%78.968.3+10.6
5 Liberty1711665%72.459.8+12.6
6 Middle Tenn. St.1610662%74.866.4+8.4
7 Jacksonville State159660%76.167.1+8.9
8 Western Kentucky159660%77.368.5+8.8
9 Sam Houston St.189950%72.566.7+5.8
10 UTEP168850%68.465.0+3.4
11 Kennesaw State146843%78.570.4+8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian1511473%79.561.5+18.0
2 Utah Valley State1611569%75.265.3+9.9
3 California Baptist1510567%73.964.2+9.7
4 Southern Utah149564%78.472.6+5.9
5 UT Arlington168850%68.169.1-1.0
6 Utah Tech178947%77.875.5+2.2
7 Tarleton178947%64.763.9+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State353873
Tarleton292857
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