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Tarleton vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-71 (OT)
28-32 34-30 15-9
Position#235
Record7-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#55
Record9-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tarleton v Stephen F. Austin
03 Feb 2024
TARL75
STEP64
08 Jan 2022
TARL77
STEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-26
30-38
28-30
29-29
46-36
38-29
46-28
35-47
32-28
30-41
27-25
38-27
21-14
46-31
42-31
41-38
23-34
32-43
42-31
33-33
132.3Avg total
68.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)63.963.4127.4+0.544%
Season at home (7)71.157.4128.6+13.786%
Season away (9)58.368.1126.4-9.811%
Last 10 (10)68.463.9132.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)69.061.4130.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.669.6132.2-7.020%
vs Similar (10)62.865.5128.3-2.740%
vs Weaker (10)72.559.8132.3+12.770%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H20/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#508
W
90-54
90
54
+36
H02/12
NCAA
Wiley
#416
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#71
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H15/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-34
43-40
38-28
41-50
34-46
34-33
39-35
33-33
38-32
52-22
58-41
42-35
29-26
34-25
28-39
41-43
31-38
41-42
35-23
29-35
146.4Avg total
76.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.470.7147.1+5.769%
Season at home (8)79.869.5149.2+10.275%
Season away (5)71.072.6143.6-1.660%
Last 10 (10)76.470.0146.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)73.669.4143.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.577.0143.5-10.50%
vs Similar (7)71.966.7138.6+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.170.9153.1+11.281%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +3.2+3.2
TarletonStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#516
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/12
NCAA
SAGU
#574
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Air Force
#276
W
21-14
21
14
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#258
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#112
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
33.2Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.561.9+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.327.863.2+7.567%-
Last 30 away (18)30.530.661.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.361.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)31.027.058.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.030.161.1+0.950%-
vs Similar (10)30.131.361.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)36.227.163.3+9.170%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#508
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Wiley
#416
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#71
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H15/12
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A07/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.271.7+5.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.332.672.9+7.788%-
Last 30 away (14)36.633.870.4+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.271.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.536.069.5-2.525%-
vs Similar (7)35.330.365.6+5.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.133.374.4+7.881%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tarleton wins
0
Stephen F. Austin wins
No previous meetings.
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/22HSam Houston St.75-64
01/01/22AUtah Valley State55-77
31/12/21AUtah Tech83-69
22/12/21HAir Force67-45
18/12/21HSouth Alabama65-52
15/12/21ASouth Alabama62-69
09/12/21HSAGU81-75
08/12/21HDallas Christian84-65
06/12/21HCharleston Southern57-59
30/11/21AGonzaga55-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/22AAbilene Christian64-58
19/12/21AKansas72-80
15/12/21HLouisiana Monroe69-82
12/12/21HLiberty63-51
04/12/21HWiley100-76
02/12/21HLincoln University (CA)90-54
28/11/21ANorthwestern St.72-68
25/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens68-79
23/11/21ABuffalo79-78
20/11/21HMiddle Tenn. St.87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%86%11%
Points / game63.971.158.3
Allowed / game63.457.468.1
Point differential+0.5+13.7-9.8
Avg total127.4128.6126.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW69%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%75%60%
Points / game76.479.871.0
Allowed / game70.769.572.6
Point differential+5.7+10.2-1.6
Avg total147.1149.2143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abilene Christian1511473%79.561.5+18.0
2 Utah Valley State1511473%75.964.9+11.0
3 California Baptist1410471%73.763.1+10.6
4 Southern Utah149564%78.472.6+5.9
5 UT Arlington157847%67.168.8-1.7
6 Utah Tech167944%77.775.5+2.2
7 Tarleton167944%63.963.4+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC1813572%78.968.0+10.9
3 Stephen F. Austin139469%76.470.7+5.7
4 Nicholls State1610662%80.970.1+10.8
5 New Orleans146843%74.273.4+0.8
6 SE Louisiana156940%77.076.3+0.7
7 UTRGV145936%72.578.4-5.9
8 McNeese State1651131%74.275.2-1.1
9 Houston Christian134931%71.172.0-0.9
10 Incarnate Word1741324%66.476.5-10.1
11 Northwestern St.1631319%68.583.7-15.2
12 Lamar1421214%63.472.4-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Tarleton28341577
Stephen F. Austin3230971
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