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New Orleans vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-83
38-26 46-57
Position#226
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#287
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Orleans v Incarnate Word
08 Dec 2025
NEW 84
INCA83
27 Jan 2025
NEW 58
INCA74
03 Feb 2024
NEW 80
INCA82
04 Feb 2023
NEW 70
INCA78
12 Feb 2022
NEW 84
INCA57
09 Jan 2021
NEW 86
INCA64
15 Feb 2020
NEW 66
INCA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
115-73
115
73
+42
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
58-93
58
93
-35
A11/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
50-82
50
82
-32
A26/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-28
34-46
66-38
49-35
32-44
26-49
42-31
43-32
37-45
42-45
37-41
39-44
34-28
34-40
34-41
16-41
28-48
42-38
35-36
41-49
157.7Avg total
76.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.581.2157.7-4.730%
Season at home (2)95.579.0174.5+16.550%
Season away (8)71.881.8153.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)76.581.2157.7-4.730%
Last 5 (5)70.083.8153.8-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)66.882.2149.0-15.410%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.978.0161.9+5.929%
vs Weaker (2)97.081.5178.5+15.550%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
109-70
109
70
+39
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
36-35
27-41
37-57
48-28
56-32
47-40
62-30
19-35
42-34
41-38
46-43
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
156.9Avg total
83.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.473.9158.3+10.656%
Season at home (5)97.666.6164.2+31.0100%
Season away (4)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.073.9156.9+9.150%
Last 5 (5)84.473.6158.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.675.7141.3-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.373.7142.0-5.527%
vs Weaker (12)84.063.3147.3+20.792%
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +5.9+5.9
New OrleansIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A04/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#609
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
38.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.239.673.8-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.139.173.2-5.033%-
Last 30 away (18)34.339.974.2-5.622%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.076.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.872.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.240.672.8-8.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.335.971.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker (2)51.541.593.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A04/11
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#536
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.767.1+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.631.671.2+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)30.033.663.6-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.572.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.677.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.335.764.0-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.433.364.6-1.927%-
vs Weaker (12)40.930.371.2+10.675%-
This opponent (New Orleans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
New Orleans wins
5
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HHouston Christian76-85
04/12/25AMemphis70-86
26/11/25ATexas Tech50-82
25/11/25AMississippi St.78-81 OT
22/11/25AFresno State76-85
19/11/25APepperdine79-90
15/11/25ATulane85-63
11/11/25ALSU58-93
08/11/25HSouthern-New O.115-73
04/11/25ATCU78-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91
20/11/25HSouthern Indiana87-81
16/11/25AIndiana61-69
11/11/25HSouthwestern Christian109-70
07/11/25HJarvis Christian104-60
04/11/25AColorado State64-98
11/03/25ANicholls State70-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %30%50%25%
Points / game76.595.571.8
Allowed / game81.279.081.8
Point differential-4.7+16.5-10.0
Avg total157.7174.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%12%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%100%0%
Points / game84.497.668.0
Allowed / game73.966.683.0
Point differential+10.6+31.0-15.0
Avg total158.3164.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State97278%90.065.4+24.6
2 Stephen F. Austin97278%80.168.7+11.4
3 Lamar85362%72.162.6+9.5
4 Incarnate Word95456%84.473.9+10.6
5 Houston Christian95456%72.772.0+0.7
6 Texas A&M-CC83538%72.473.0-0.6
7 UTRGV62433%75.374.0+1.3
8 SE Louisiana93633%64.368.3-4.0
9 New Orleans103730%76.581.2-4.7
10 Northwestern St.92722%70.982.7-11.8
11 Nicholls State81712%69.181.1-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Orleans384684
Incarnate Word265783
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