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Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-70 (OT)
28-27 35-36 11-7
Position#122
Record19-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#190
Record17-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nicholls State v Incarnate Word
06 Dec 2025
NICH74
INCA67
10 Mar 2025
NICH74
INCA70
26 Feb 2024
NICH92
INCA82
18 Feb 2023
NICH84
INCA74
10 Feb 2022
NICH69
INCA58
02 Jan 2020
NICH76
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H04/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A15/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
94-70
94
70
+24
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
36-35
27-38
48-29
33-37
48-28
33-27
27-45
38-33
34-39
37-27
41-35
36-35
57-49
28-36
43-33
46-33
48-37
31-30
22-35
145.8Avg total
75.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.669.9144.6+4.761%
Season at home (15)76.565.2141.7+11.373%
Season away (16)72.974.4147.2-1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.770.1145.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.381.7153.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.373.6143.9-3.346%
vs Weaker (14)78.762.5141.2+16.286%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A04/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
32-37
26-28
40-43
39-36
36-29
19-33
36-36
31-36
35-24
34-32
29-29
41-23
32-38
31-31
44-37
26-37
31-36
32-25
26-33
132.8Avg total
66.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.068.8141.8+4.353%
Season at home (16)79.766.3146.0+13.469%
Season away (16)66.471.2137.6-4.838%
Last 10 (10)66.666.2132.8+0.460%
Last 5 (5)67.866.0133.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.472.2130.6-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.973.6142.5-4.727%
vs Weaker (14)79.463.8143.2+15.693%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
Nicholls StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H04/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H11/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/03
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.166.1+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.231.366.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)32.932.965.8+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.466.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.267.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.336.769.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.932.963.8-2.054%-
vs Weaker (14)37.430.367.6+7.171%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H25/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A04/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A10/03
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.2Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.4+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.131.769.7+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)30.132.963.1-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.162.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.662.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.832.658.4-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.535.366.7-3.827%-
vs Weaker (14)39.129.969.0+9.379%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nicholls State wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25ALamar53-65
01/03/25AStephen F. Austin94-70
25/02/25HTexas A&M-CC71-69
22/02/25HUTRGV93-84
18/02/25ANew Orleans78-62
15/02/25ASE Louisiana81-84 OT
11/02/25HNorthwestern St.60-72
08/02/25HTX A&M Commerce81-65
04/02/25HHouston Christian75-67
01/02/25HMcNeese State71-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25ASE Louisiana71-67 OT
04/03/25ANorthwestern St.57-73
01/03/25ATX A&M Commerce75-68
25/02/25HLamar73-61
22/02/25HStephen F. Austin63-61
18/02/25AUTRGV66-60
15/02/25ATexas A&M-CC55-69
11/02/25HNew Orleans75-65
08/02/25HSE Louisiana66-71
04/02/25AMcNeese State65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game74.676.572.9
Allowed / game69.965.274.4
Point differential+4.7+11.3-1.5
Avg total144.6141.7147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%69%38%
Points / game73.079.766.4
Allowed / game68.866.371.2
Point differential+4.3+13.4-4.8
Avg total141.8146.0137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State3125681%77.564.4+13.2
2 Nicholls State31191261%74.669.9+4.7
3 Lamar31191261%70.866.2+4.6
4 Texas A&M-CC34201459%75.867.4+8.4
5 SE Louisiana32181456%72.669.8+2.9
6 Incarnate Word32171553%73.068.8+4.3
7 Northwestern St.32171553%68.867.8+1.0
8 UTRGV31161552%76.774.0+2.7
9 Stephen F. Austin31141745%66.668.3-1.7
10 Houston Christian32122038%66.069.4-3.4
11 TX A&M Commerce3152616%64.476.5-12.1
12 New Orleans3142713%69.582.5-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Nicholls State28351174
Incarnate Word2736770
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