New Zealand Breakers vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 06:50

Final 104-81

30-21 27-24 25-12 22-24

Position#6

Record2-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game90.8

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Cairns

Position#8

Record1-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game92.2

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

82-100

100

-18

H11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-84

-2

H16/02

NBL

Sydney

86-101

101

-15

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

77-88

-11

A03/03

NBL

Melbourne United

86-88 OT

-2

H05/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

73-86

-13

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

88-81

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

78-101

101

-23

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

114-94

114

+20

H28/10

NBL

Perth

78-92

-14

A03/11

NBL

30-25

11-21

17-27

24-27

25-15

25-19

19-19

13-31

17-14

31-28

20-26

18-33

24-21

19-22

18-24

16-21

26-13

12-20

25-25

15-20

21-14

17-21

17-24

18-27

19-28

28-14

24-24

17-15

18-29

22-19

18-22

20-31

31-37

24-23

32-26

27-8

26-27

21-22

24-23

7-20

175.9Avg total

84.4Scored

91.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	86.2	90.8	177.0	-4.6	40%
Season at home (3)	88.3	93.7	182.0	-5.3	33%
Season away (2)	83.0	86.5	169.5	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	91.5	175.9	-7.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	90.8	177.0	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	84.8	89.9	174.7	-5.1	20%
vs Similar (20)	83.7	85.3	168.9	-1.6	55%
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

68-79

-11

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

78-88

-10

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

86-93

-7

H03/02

NBL

Perth

85-83

A09/02

NBL

Perth

61-89

-28

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-70

+18

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-104

104

-11

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

83-91

-8

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

90-98 OT

-8

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

85-98

-13

H03/11

NBL

13-21

12-14

22-16

21-28

15-23

17-24

19-22

27-19

22-29

22-24

20-23

22-17

26-21

20-23

21-16

18-23

19-20

11-27

10-21

21-21

19-18

21-19

20-17

28-16

28-27

20-20

16-21

29-36

20-12

12-26

30-24

21-29

20-18

18-23

23-18

23-25

19-29

21-22

21-15

24-32

171.0Avg total

81.7Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	87.8	92.2	180.0	-4.4	20%
Season at home (3)	87.0	97.7	184.7	-10.7	0%
Season away (2)	89.0	84.0	173.0	+5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	89.3	171.0	-7.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	92.2	180.0	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	81.2	83.0	164.2	-1.8	40%
vs Similar (15)	79.7	82.9	162.6	-3.1	27%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.3	46.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	27.0	50.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	25.4	22.6	48.0	+2.8	70%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.9	43.9	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	30%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	21.5	38.2	-4.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-2.9	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H11/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-34

+16

H16/02

NBL

Sydney

48-42

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

43-43

A03/03

NBL

Melbourne United

38-33

H05/03

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-35

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

47-42

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

40-48

-8

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

55-60

-5

H28/10

NBL

Perth

47-49

-2

A03/11

NBL

87.9Avg total

44.7Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	42.8	86.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	40.8	85.5	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	44.9	87.1	-2.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	43.2	87.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	46.8	92.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	46.0	44.2	90.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	42.2	42.1	84.3	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

25-35

-10

A24/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

32-47

-15

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

44-53

-9

H03/02

NBL

Perth

46-44

A09/02

NBL

Perth

30-47

-17

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

40-37

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-47

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

32-38

-6

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

38-41

-3

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

40-51

-11

H03/11

NBL

81.5Avg total

37.5Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	42.6	81.9	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	40.8	81.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	44.3	82.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	44.0	81.5	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.8	82.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.7	41.7	80.5	-3.0	47%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.9	43.4	83.3	-3.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.4	23.5	43.9	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.1	20.3	40.5	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.5	73%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.1	40.3	-2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	23.3	40.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.3	42.7	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.5	42.1	-0.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	24.6	48.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	27.6	52.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.9	22.7	44.6	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	43.7	84.0	-3.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	45.8	87.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.5	80.9	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	47.3	86.2	-8.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.0	84.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.0	44.7	82.7	-6.7	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.5	43.1	84.6	-1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	39.9	80.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	40.8	81.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	43.9	87.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	46.6	93.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/18	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	81-71
07/01/18	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	82-69
04/11/17	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	70-73
08/10/17	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	71-82
07/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	85-74
23/01/16	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	90-87
31/12/15	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	73-66
28/10/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	90-67
08/03/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	83-81
06/03/15	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	71-86

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/18	A	Perth	78-92
28/10/18	H	Adelaide	114-94
21/10/18	H	Sydney	78-101
14/10/18	A	Melbourne United	88-81
11/10/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	73-86
05/03/18	H	Melbourne United	86-88 OT
03/03/18	A	Melbourne United	77-88
18/02/18	A	Sydney	86-101
16/02/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	82-84
11/02/18	H	Melbourne United	82-100

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/18	H	Melbourne United	85-98
28/10/18	A	Sydney	90-98 OT
26/10/18	H	Adelaide	83-91
21/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-104
13/10/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	88-70
18/02/18	A	Perth	61-89
09/02/18	A	Perth	85-83
03/02/18	H	Sydney	86-93
28/01/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-88
24/01/18	A	Melbourne United	68-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	40%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	86.2	88.3	83.0
Allowed / game	90.8	93.7	86.5
Point differential	-4.6	-5.3	-3.5
Avg total	177.0	182.0	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	20%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	0%	50%
Points / game	87.8	87.0	89.0
Allowed / game	92.2	97.7	84.0
Point differential	-4.4	-10.7	+5.0
Avg total	180.0	184.7	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	6	5	1	83%	96.2	83.2	+13.0
2	Melbourne United	8	5	3	62%	91.2	89.8	+1.5
3	Brisbane Bullets	7	4	3	57%	86.9	88.4	-1.6
4	Sydney	6	3	3	50%	89.8	87.3	+2.5
5	Illawarra Hawks	7	3	4	43%	90.3	94.4	-4.1
6	New Zealand Breakers	5	2	3	40%	86.2	90.8	-4.6
7	Adelaide	8	3	5	38%	92.0	94.5	-2.5
8	Cairns	5	1	4	20%	87.8	92.2	-4.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	30	27	25	22	104
Cairns	21	24	12	24	81

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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