Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 73-66

18-17 11-9 21-18 23-22

Position#6

Record6-10

FormLWLWL

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game87.0

Cairns 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#4

Record11-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game81.8

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Cairns v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

104-101

104

101

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-96

-8

A06/11

NBL

Melbourne United

82-70

+12

H13/11

NBL

Perth

90-91

-1

A22/11

NBL

Adelaide

83-88

-5

H27/11

NBL

Townsville

76-90

-14

A02/12

NBL

Sydney

101-83

101

+18

H04/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-97

-15

A09/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

103-101 OT

103

101

H11/12

NBL

Perth

70-73

-3

H17/12

NBL

26-25

23-18

27-25

28-33

22-22

26-20

15-40

25-14

30-18

13-27

18-7

21-18

18-18

30-28

22-25

20-20

21-29

23-17

15-19

24-23

9-31

18-22

21-16

28-21

33-21

18-23

21-19

29-20

18-27

25-23

19-24

20-23

23-20

30-20

17-13

10-27

15-17

20-17

23-15

12-24

176.9Avg total

87.9Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	82.9	87.0	169.9	-4.1	38%
Season at home (7)	85.4	80.4	165.9	+5.0	71%
Season away (9)	81.0	92.1	173.1	-11.1	11%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	89.0	176.9	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	88.8	175.2	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	82.3	86.8	169.1	-4.4	33%
vs Similar (15)	80.5	79.7	160.2	+0.7	53%
vs Weaker (6)	79.3	70.7	150.0	+8.7	100%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

86-87

-1

A08/11

NBL

Perth

88-80

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

86-74

+12

A19/11

NBL

Melbourne United

80-69

+11

H22/11

NBL

Perth

80-86

-6

A27/11

NBL

Perth

99-78

+21

H02/12

NBL

Townsville

86-75

+11

A05/12

NBL

Sydney

96-84

+12

H11/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-107

107

-24

H20/12

NBL

Sydney

93-83

+10

A27/12

NBL

25-22

18-26

25-14

18-25

18-12

23-21

26-26

21-21

19-17

18-23

20-14

29-20

23-22

9-13

19-17

29-17

18-16

15-28

21-23

26-19

25-31

29-17

15-16

30-14

28-15

13-19

18-25

27-16

14-21

23-24

26-14

33-25

21-34

26-25

22-29

14-19

16-17

22-21

32-18

23-27

170.0Avg total

87.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	85.5	81.8	167.3	+3.8	65%
Season at home (9)	88.6	79.6	168.1	+9.0	89%
Season away (8)	82.1	84.2	166.4	-2.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	82.3	170.0	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	85.4	176.8	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	83.5	83.9	167.4	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	90.0	81.1	171.1	+8.9	86%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	23.2	41.5	-4.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.4	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.6	42.8	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	21.7	44.5	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.6	19.4	41.9	+3.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.9	21.6	41.6	-1.7	21%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

49-43

A31/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-42

A06/11

NBL

Melbourne United

43-45

-2

H13/11

NBL

Perth

48-46

A22/11

NBL

Adelaide

44-46

-2

H27/11

NBL

Townsville

27-53

-26

A02/12

NBL

Sydney

51-44

H04/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-50

-7

A09/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-40

+13

H11/12

NBL

Perth

35-34

H17/12

NBL

88.4Avg total

44.1Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	39.8	82.3	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	43.2	81.9	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	44.3	88.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.2	86.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	42.6	42.6	85.1	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.3	42.5	81.8	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.3	67%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

43-48

-5

A08/11

NBL

Perth

41-33

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

37-40

-3

A19/11

NBL

Melbourne United

32-35

-3

H22/11

NBL

Perth

33-44

-11

A27/11

NBL

Perth

54-48

H02/12

NBL

Townsville

41-34

A05/12

NBL

Sydney

37-45

-8

H11/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-59

-12

H20/12

NBL

Sydney

38-38

A27/12

NBL

82.7Avg total

40.3Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.1	84.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	42.6	86.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	41.5	81.2	-1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	42.4	82.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	44.8	88.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	41.4	43.1	84.6	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.5	41.0	83.5	+1.5	57%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	15.7	32.6	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	17.7	36.1	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	15.5	34.5	+3.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	18.8	38.8	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	19%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.5	17.1	38.6	+4.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	44%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	19.5	42.3	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.3	44.1	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	20.4	44.7	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	81%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.9	22.4	47.2	+2.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	37.7	77.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	33.9	71.9	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	41.0	81.9	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	37.2	41.9	79.1	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.2	37.2	78.4	+4.0	73%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.0	32.7	71.7	+6.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.5	82.9	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	39.2	83.5	+5.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	39.9	82.0	+2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	39.9	87.3	+7.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	40.6	88.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (16)	40.8	39.6	80.3	+1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.4	39.4	85.8	+6.9	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
28/10/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	90-67
08/03/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	83-81
06/03/15	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	71-86
22/02/15	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	77-81
21/12/14	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	83-59
07/11/14	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	71-79
23/10/14	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	76-85
21/03/14	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	83-95
01/03/14	Cairns v New Zealand Breakers	92-87
14/02/14	New Zealand Breakers v Cairns	96-78

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/15	H	Perth	70-73
11/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-101 OT
09/12/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-97
04/12/15	H	Sydney	101-83
02/12/15	A	Townsville	76-90
27/11/15	H	Adelaide	83-88
22/11/15	A	Perth	90-91
13/11/15	H	Melbourne United	82-70
06/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-96
31/10/15	A	Adelaide	104-101

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/15	A	Sydney	93-83
20/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	83-107
11/12/15	H	Sydney	96-84
05/12/15	A	Townsville	86-75
02/12/15	H	Perth	99-78
27/11/15	A	Perth	80-86
22/11/15	H	Melbourne United	80-69
19/11/15	A	Sydney	86-74
13/11/15	H	Perth	88-80
08/11/15	A	Melbourne United	86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	WLWWL	71%
Away	WLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	38%	71%	11%
Points / game	82.9	85.4	81.0
Allowed / game	87.0	80.4	92.1
Point differential	-4.1	+5.0	-11.1
Avg total	169.9	165.9	173.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	14%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	65%
Home	WWWWL	89%
Away	LWLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	65%	89%	38%
Points / game	85.5	88.6	82.1
Allowed / game	81.8	79.6	84.2
Point differential	+3.8	+9.0	-2.1
Avg total	167.3	168.1	166.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	67%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	20	13	7	65%	84.7	80.8	+3.9
2	Melbourne United	20	13	7	65%	85.8	84.5	+1.4
3	New Zealand Breakers	17	11	6	65%	85.5	81.8	+3.8
4	Illawarra Hawks	17	10	7	59%	93.5	87.8	+5.8
5	Adelaide	18	9	9	50%	86.7	85.8	+0.9
6	Cairns	16	6	10	38%	82.9	87.0	-4.1
7	Townsville	19	7	12	37%	77.2	83.3	-6.2
8	Sydney	19	4	15	21%	84.8	90.1	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	18	11	21	23	73
New Zealand Breakers	17	9	18	22	66

← all games of the day

Cairns vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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