PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Zealand vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 106-102 (OT)
23-17 21-22 19-25 20-19 23-19
Position#15
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#45
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Spark Arena
Other2027
Meetings · New Zealand v Philippines
03 Jul 2026
NEW 106
PHIL102
23 Feb 2025
NEW 87
PHIL70
27 Feb 2022
NEW 88
PHIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZealand
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
85avg 87
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 87
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 87
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 87
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 87
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 87
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
99-67
99
67
+32
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-27
21-18
37-17
23-18
32-23
19-27
20-18
19-18
30-17
35-24
34-19
12-32
18-13
26-17
34-24
19-28
21-14
26-26
18-30
20-28
13-19
21-19
19-13
25-28
24-14
18-24
12-18
21-23
16-16
25-18
15-22
25-21
12-16
20-9
12-20
25-18
26-16
18-16
30-17
168.4Avg total
88.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.074.0155.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season away (3)82.372.3154.7+10.067%
Last 10 (10)88.380.1168.4+8.260%
Last 5 (5)79.475.0154.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.490.6169.0-12.20%
vs Similar (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.476.1165.5+13.374%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 71
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 71
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 71
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
93avg 71
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
46avg 71
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
21-25
16-12
9-20
20-12
13-14
20-24
20-30
13-25
156.2Avg total
77.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.8148.2+8.850%
Season at home (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
Season away (1)87.046.0133.0+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.878.4156.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)74.872.6147.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.382.8156.1-9.531%
vs Similar (7)90.781.1171.9+9.657%
vs Weaker (10)87.658.0145.6+29.6100%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
New ZealandPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/12
World Cup
Philippines
#45
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A01/03
World Cup
82.8Avg total
42.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.584.3+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.238.184.2+8.169%-
Last 30 away (17)43.740.684.4+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.582.8+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.247.888.0-7.620%-
vs Similar (2)32.544.577.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.837.384.1+9.574%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/03
World Cup
77.8Avg total
36.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.779.0+1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.538.581.0+3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)38.638.977.5-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.977.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.643.278.8-7.68%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.082.0+0.029%-
vs Weaker (10)45.831.377.1+14.590%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
-41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
-15.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand
WWLLLLWWWW
Philippines
LLWWLWWLLL
#15
League position
#45
+15.5
Net rating
+6.1
113.7
Offensive rating
110.9
98.3
Defensive rating
104.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
31.9%
59.6%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ New Zealand   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
New Zealand wins
1
Philippines wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AGuam99-67
26/02/26APhilippines69-66
01/12/25HAustralia77-79
28/11/25AAustralia79-84
17/08/25AIran73-79
16/08/25AChina84-98
14/08/25HLebanon90-86
09/08/25AChinese Taipei118-78
07/08/25APhilippines94-86
05/08/25HIraq100-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HAustralia66-93
26/02/26HNew Zealand66-69
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game81.077.082.3
Allowed / game74.079.072.3
Point differential+7.0-2.0+10.0
Avg total155.0156.0154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game78.575.787.0
Allowed / game69.877.746.0
Point differential+8.8-2.0+41.0
Avg total148.2153.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
3 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
4 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
5 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
8 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
9 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
10 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
11 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
12 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
13 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
14 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
17 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
18 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
19 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
20 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
21 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
22 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
23 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
37 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
38 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
39 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
40 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
41 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
42 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
43 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
46 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
47 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
48 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
49 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
50 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
51 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
52 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
53 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
54 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
55 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
56 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
58 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
59 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
60 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
61 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
62 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
63 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
66 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
67 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
New Zealand2321192023106
Philippines1722251919102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.