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Philippines vs New Zealand Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-94
18-23 23-32 27-19 18-20
Position#11
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game76.1
Philippines
vs
New Zealand 🏆
Position#4
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game67.7
EuropeAsia CupRound 2· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Philippines v New Zealand
26 Feb 2026
PHIL66
NEW 69
07 Aug 2025
PHIL86
NEW 94
21 Nov 2024
PHIL93
NEW 89
17 Jul 2022
PHIL75
NEW 92
30 Jun 2022
PHIL60
NEW 106
06 Jul 2016
PHIL80
NEW 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
China
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
106-53
106
53
+53
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
93-54
93
54
+39
90avg 81
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 81
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 81
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 81
A05/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-14
23-18
13-29
17-19
13-29
20-14
27-14
17-12
14-19
20-10
19-19
23-15
18-22
30-9
23-18
26-13
26-14
30-14
24-12
20-22
25-23
27-18
21-26
25-16
20-19
22-8
26-11
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
161.0Avg total
85.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.676.1165.7+13.457%
Season at home (3)97.365.3162.7+32.0100%
Season away (4)83.884.2168.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)85.875.2161.0+10.670%
Last 5 (5)85.483.2168.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.583.4161.8-4.945%
vs Similar (8)88.079.6167.6+8.450%
vs Weaker (11)86.458.5144.8+27.991%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZealand
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
100-108
100
108
-8
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
88-49
88
49
+39
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 73
A21/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
71avg 73
H25/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
92-51
92
51
+41
89avg 73
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
84avg 73
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
85avg 73
H05/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-17
11-18
20-33
22-31
19-26
27-21
32-30
22-25
25-10
21-26
20-25
26-20
23-28
17-13
23-8
27-7
26-19
15-12
20-11
22-20
23-25
18-27
26-21
23-6
14-26
15-15
29-17
26-21
26-12
19-14
21-4
30-15
23-18
21-22
13-15
24-16
18-27
21-18
37-17
163.9Avg total
88.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.467.7157.1+21.786%
Season at home (4)89.065.2154.2+23.8100%
Season away (3)90.071.0161.0+19.067%
Last 10 (10)88.875.1163.9+13.770%
Last 5 (5)89.871.2161.0+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.792.7167.3-18.00%
vs Similar (3)87.776.0163.7+11.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.670.9161.5+19.775%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.0+6.0
PhilippinesNew Zealand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#4
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.780.1+2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.638.181.7+5.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.378.7+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.685.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.543.181.6-4.518%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.984.5-3.212%-
vs Weaker (11)44.730.675.4+14.191%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#25
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A30/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H31/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/09
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H25/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/08
Asia Cup
84.6Avg total
46.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.436.482.8+10.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.635.182.7+12.580%-
Last 30 away (15)45.237.782.9+7.560%-
Last 10 (10)46.238.484.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.283.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.051.788.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.081.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.533.882.2+14.783%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.1
53.9%
49.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
32.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.2
68.2%
70.1%12.2
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.8
52.8%
49.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.3
36.0%
32.7%31.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.3
68.5%
70.1%12.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 07 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philippines
LLLWWWWWWW
New Zealand
WWWWLWWWLL
#11
League position
#4
+22.1
Net rating
+17.8
118.3
Offensive rating
109.8
96.2
Defensive rating
92.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
42.2%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
36.0%
66.2%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 109.8Defence96.2 · 92.0Shooting52.6% · 53.3%3-point %33.6% · 36.0%Ball care14.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds42.2% · 34.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Philippines   ■ New Zealand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Philippines wins
5
New Zealand wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25New Zealand v Philippines87-70
21/11/24Philippines v New Zealand93-89
17/07/22Philippines v New Zealand75-92
30/06/22Philippines v New Zealand60-106
27/02/22New Zealand v Philippines88-63
06/07/16Philippines v New Zealand80-89
Philippineslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
24/11/24HHong Kong93-54
21/11/24HNew Zealand93-89
25/02/24HChinese Taipei106-53
22/02/24AHong Kong94-64
06/10/23AJordan70-60
04/10/23HChina77-76
03/10/23AIran84-83
New Zealandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/25HIraq100-78
23/02/25HPhilippines87-70
20/02/25AHong Kong92-51
25/11/24HChinese Taipei81-64
21/11/24APhilippines89-93
25/02/24HHong Kong88-49
22/02/24AChinese Taipei89-69
02/09/23HEgypt88-86
31/08/23HMexico100-108
30/08/23AGreece74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game89.697.383.8
Allowed / game76.165.384.2
Point differential+13.4+32.0-0.5
Avg total165.7162.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game89.489.090.0
Allowed / game67.765.271.0
Point differential+21.7+23.8+19.0
Avg total157.1154.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%101.461.1+40.3
2 Lebanon770100%89.775.4+14.3
3 Jordan770100%79.167.7+11.4
4 China87188%90.465.4+25.0
5 Iran76186%75.751.0+24.7
6 New Zealand76186%89.467.7+21.7
7 Japan76186%82.175.6+6.6
8 Chinese Taipei107370%87.877.8+10.0
9 Qatar127558%71.367.8+3.6
10 Philippines74357%89.676.1+13.4
11 Saudi Arabia74357%73.771.9+1.9
12 South Korea74357%81.481.9-0.4
13 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
14 Guam147750%71.278.0-6.8
15 Iraq157847%73.676.2-2.6
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Syria73443%76.380.3-4.0
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 India103730%69.181.9-12.8
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines1823271886
New Zealand2332192094
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