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Australia vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 84-60
29-12 19-16 21-22 15-10
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game65.6
Australia 🏆
vs
Philippines
Position#11
Record6-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeAsia CupAsia Cup - Quarter-finals· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Australia v Philippines
06 Jul 2026
AUST92
PHIL49
13 Aug 2025
AUST84
PHIL60
22 Feb 2018
AUST84
PHIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 98
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 98
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 98
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 98
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 98
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 98
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 98
A10/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
168.7Avg total
101.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)101.465.6167.0+35.9100%
Season at home (4)101.263.5164.8+37.8100%
Season away (5)101.667.2168.8+34.4100%
Last 10 (10)101.367.4168.7+33.9100%
Last 5 (5)104.669.0173.6+35.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.863.7153.5+26.189%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
106-53
106
53
+53
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 79
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
93-54
93
54
+39
90avg 79
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 79
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 79
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 79
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 79
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 79
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
93avg 79
A11/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-22
30-9
23-18
26-13
26-14
30-14
24-12
20-22
25-23
27-18
21-26
25-16
20-19
22-8
26-11
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
164.6Avg total
87.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.477.2164.6+10.260%
Season at home (4)94.572.5167.0+22.075%
Season away (6)82.780.3163.0+2.350%
Last 10 (10)87.477.2164.6+10.260%
Last 5 (5)80.884.2165.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.984.2163.1-5.345%
vs Similar (8)90.682.4173.0+8.250%
vs Weaker (11)84.759.5144.2+25.391%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +12.4+12.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +12.4+12.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
AustraliaPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
84.3Avg total
50.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.432.780.1+14.790%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.532.378.8+14.387%-
Last 30 away (14)48.333.281.5+15.193%-
Last 10 (10)50.134.284.3+15.990%-
Last 5 (5)51.633.885.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.732.980.5+14.889%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
82.1Avg total
40.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.080.1+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.083.9+3.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.176.8+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.282.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.280.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.043.681.6-5.618%-
vs Similar (8)41.043.484.4-2.425%-
vs Weaker (11)44.431.175.5+13.382%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.1
58.3%
49.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.1
35.6%
32.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.8%
70.1%15.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.524.3
51.2%
49.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
70.1%12.3
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 13 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
Philippines
WWLLLLWWWW
#1
League position
#11
+43.9
Net rating
+13.2
123.1
Offensive rating
114.4
79.2
Defensive rating
101.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
39.3%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.6%
3-point %
33.3%
69.0%
Assist %
67.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 114.4Defence79.2 · 101.2Shooting56.3% · 50.8%3-point %35.6% · 33.3%Ball care14.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds39.3% · 38.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Australia   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Australia wins
0
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
02/07/18Philippines v Australia53-89
22/02/18Australia v Philippines84-68
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
Philippineslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
24/11/24HHong Kong93-54
21/11/24HNew Zealand93-89
25/02/24HChinese Taipei106-53
22/02/24AHong Kong94-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.4101.2101.6
Allowed / game65.663.567.2
Point differential+35.9+37.8+34.4
Avg total167.0164.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game87.494.582.7
Allowed / game77.272.580.3
Point differential+10.2+22.0+2.3
Avg total164.6167.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia990100%101.465.6+35.9
2 China98189%90.365.7+24.7
3 Iran98189%76.752.2+24.4
4 New Zealand98189%93.170.9+22.2
5 Lebanon108280%89.179.1+10.0
6 South Korea107370%86.380.8+5.5
7 Japan107370%82.076.7+5.3
8 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
9 Chinese Taipei128467%86.280.0+6.2
10 Philippines106460%87.477.2+10.2
11 Saudi Arabia106460%76.573.0+3.5
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam178947%71.180.4-9.3
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia2919211584
Philippines1216221060
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