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Iraq vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 57-66
18-12 15-21 7-22 17-11
Position#16
Record7-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#11
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeAsia CupRound 3· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 63
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 63
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 63
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 63
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 63
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
85-72
85
72
+13
92avg 63
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
66avg 63
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
60-87
60
87
-27
50avg 63
H07/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
30-22
23-13
18-25
14-12
16-24
27-18
18-21
17-37
13-18
15-21
13-24
19-24
145.6Avg total
69.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
Season at home (8)73.574.9148.4-1.450%
Season away (7)73.777.7151.4-4.043%
Last 10 (10)69.376.3145.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)73.485.8159.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.776.5143.2-9.817%
vs Similar (9)76.878.8155.6-2.044%
vs Weaker (9)75.878.0153.8-2.233%
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
China
#2
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
106-53
106
53
+53
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
93-89
93
89
+4
93avg 80
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
93-54
93
54
+39
90avg 80
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 80
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 80
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 80
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 80
H07/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
13-29
20-14
27-14
17-12
14-19
20-10
19-19
23-15
18-22
30-9
23-18
26-13
26-14
30-14
24-12
20-22
25-23
27-18
21-26
25-16
20-19
22-8
26-11
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
162.3Avg total
86.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.178.4167.5+10.850%
Season at home (4)94.572.5167.0+22.075%
Season away (4)83.884.2168.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)86.076.3162.3+9.760%
Last 5 (5)84.084.2168.2-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.984.2163.1-5.345%
vs Similar (8)88.079.6167.6+8.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.458.5144.8+27.991%
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.6+4.6
IraqPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H07/08
Asia Cup
74.7Avg total
38.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.637.173.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.937.372.2-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.336.975.2+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.574.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.235.872.0+0.367%-
vs Similar (9)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker (9)36.938.275.1-1.333%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H04/10
Asian Games
Jordan
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A06/10
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/11
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
81.8Avg total
39.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.282.7+4.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.777.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.181.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.043.681.6-5.618%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.984.5-3.212%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.730.675.4+14.191%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.0
48.0%
49.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.7
26.3%
32.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.613.2
64.1%
70.1%13.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.424.2
52.2%
49.3%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
70.1%12.6
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraq
LLWLLWLLWL
Philippines
LLLLWWWWWW
#16
League position
#11
-9.3
Net rating
+13.5
91.0
Offensive rating
115.8
100.3
Defensive rating
102.3
44.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
20.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.3%
3-point %
33.7%
65.6%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.0 · 115.8Defence100.3 · 102.3Shooting44.9% · 51.6%3-point %26.3% · 33.7%Ball care20.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 39.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Iraq   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iraq wins
1
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
11/08/17Philippines v Iraq84-68
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/25HChinese Taipei60-87
05/08/25ANew Zealand78-100
23/03/25ABahrain85-72
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
24/11/24HHong Kong93-54
21/11/24HNew Zealand93-89
25/02/24HChinese Taipei106-53
22/02/24AHong Kong94-64
06/10/23AJordan70-60
04/10/23HChina77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraq
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game73.673.573.7
Allowed / game76.274.977.7
Point differential-2.6-1.4-4.0
Avg total149.8148.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game89.194.583.8
Allowed / game78.472.584.2
Point differential+10.8+22.0-0.5
Avg total167.5167.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%100.463.5+36.9
2 China87188%90.465.4+25.0
3 Iran87188%76.053.4+22.6
4 New Zealand87188%90.070.0+20.0
5 Lebanon87188%88.577.6+10.9
6 Jordan87188%78.468.9+9.5
7 Japan86275%80.675.9+4.8
8 Chinese Taipei107370%87.877.8+10.0
9 Saudi Arabia85362%74.172.0+2.1
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Qatar137654%72.270.0+2.2
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Guam158753%71.977.7-5.7
14 Philippines84450%89.178.4+10.8
15 Iraq157847%73.676.2-2.6
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 Syria83538%75.980.5-4.6
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 India103730%69.181.9-12.8
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraq181571757
Philippines1221221166
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