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Newcastle Falcons vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:15
Final 60-67
8-23 16-14 20-10 16-20
Position#12
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Canberra
11 May 2025
NEWC75
CANB69
14 Apr 2024
NEWC60
CANB67
25 Mar 2023
NEWC81
CANB72
01 May 2022
NEWC68
CANB65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-20
21-20
20-26
20-23
26-24
18-18
10-14
22-11
15-22
15-11
16-13
29-18
22-20
26-15
19-16
22-20
19-9
10-22
12-15
23-17
17-6
21-21
15-24
17-17
29-15
17-17
25-17
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
153.7Avg total
75.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.597.0165.5-28.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)68.597.0165.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)75.578.2153.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.486.2160.6-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.294.8170.0-19.717%
vs Similar (12)75.673.7149.2+1.950%
vs Weaker (12)82.667.0149.6+15.683%
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
108-71
108
71
+37
A01/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H08/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H15/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-24
16-18
13-15
19-17
37-20
21-16
22-20
28-15
23-14
20-22
19-17
26-12
20-19
21-18
30-19
24-18
28-21
27-20
15-18
22-28
23-28
24-19
15-24
16-20
15-15
11-20
30-17
34-17
26-25
19-25
22-17
8-21
28-22
23-12
25-9
25-26
20-16
19-30
11-18
19-26
165.7Avg total
87.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.079.5164.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)101.069.0170.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)87.977.8165.7+10.170%
Last 5 (5)82.681.4164.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.090.0156.0-24.00%
vs Similar (11)84.382.4166.6+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.672.8163.4+17.888%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
Newcastle FalconsCanberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
78.2Avg total
39.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.477.5+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.930.873.6+12.193%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.280.9-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.478.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.677.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.044.381.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (12)39.234.873.9+4.467%-
vs Weaker (12)45.234.079.2+11.283%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H24/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A01/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H06/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A13/04
NBL1 East
86.0Avg total
45.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.983.5+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.938.282.1+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)45.439.685.1+5.864%-
Last 10 (10)45.640.486.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.484.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.345.381.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)45.841.687.5+4.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.335.881.1+9.681%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
1
Canberra wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
22/07/23HBankstown Bruins88-66
15/07/23HMaitland M.76-68
09/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 263-66
08/07/23APenrith P.96-69
02/07/23HNorths Bears68-57
01/07/23ASydney Comets74-79
24/06/23AInner West Bulls82-80
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AMaitland M.69-90
06/04/24HIllawarra Hawks101-69
05/08/23HMaitland M.75-88
29/07/23HHills Hornets90-69
23/07/23AIllawarra Hawks 278-91
22/07/23HSutherland Sharks92-87
15/07/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits95-74
08/07/23HHills Hornets88-65
01/07/23AManly W.108-71
24/06/23HNorths Bears83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.5-68.5
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-28.5--28.5
Avg total165.5-165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.0101.069.0
Allowed / game79.569.090.0
Point differential+5.5+32.0-21.0
Avg total164.5170.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W.110100%110.079.0+31.0
2 Maitland M.330100%100.073.3+26.7
3 Sydney Comets220100%91.580.0+11.5
4 Bankstown Bruins220100%73.567.0+6.5
5 Inner West Bulls43175%93.286.8+6.5
6 Central Coast Crusaders32167%98.086.0+12.0
7 Albury-Wodonga Bandits32167%92.083.0+9.0
8 Norths Bears21150%71.062.5+8.5
9 Canberra21150%85.079.5+5.5
10 Sutherland Sharks21150%80.090.0-10.0
11 Hills Hornets2020%74.088.5-14.5
12 Penrith P.2020%84.099.5-15.5
13 Hornsby S.4040%80.5101.2-20.8
14 Illawarra Hawks2020%66.588.5-22.0
15 Newcastle Falcons2020%68.597.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons816201660
Canberra2314102067
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