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Newcastle Falcons vs Hornsby S. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 62-45
11-3 25-13 12-16 14-13
Position#7
Record8-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#16
Record0-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game84.9
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Hornsby S.
20 Apr 2024
NEWC81
HORN61
17 Jun 2023
NEWC62
HORN45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A15/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H23/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A04/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
19-20
15-16
17-20
21-9
17-23
16-20
15-18
24-12
28-24
19-17
18-21
25-10
16-12
11-25
17-22
23-19
24-19
31-12
21-24
20-17
23-12
15-24
8-9
28-17
28-28
14-20
22-13
16-16
20-13
16-20
21-13
17-19
11-23
21-28
19-27
23-31
21-31
14-23
25-27
157.7Avg total
78.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.975.5155.4+4.457%
Season at home (6)81.069.2150.2+11.867%
Season away (8)79.180.2159.4-1.150%
Last 10 (10)78.679.1157.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)76.482.2158.6-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.395.7172.0-19.30%
vs Similar (13)74.277.3151.5-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.768.5151.2+14.286%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A15/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H22/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
H29/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A06/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H07/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H13/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
54-104
54
104
-50
H20/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H21/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A27/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-16
21-21
21-11
26-35
18-12
7-24
18-5
17-20
16-13
14-15
10-22
18-8
16-22
20-11
10-18
23-20
7-27
14-32
15-14
28-22
5-19
14-18
28-21
30-29
13-26
8-26
16-23
17-29
15-27
24-14
14-16
26-24
12-28
20-21
10-18
19-26
16-29
12-19
23-18
22-19
151.3Avg total
68.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.784.9151.7-18.20%
Season at home (7)67.382.0149.3-14.70%
Season away (8)66.287.5153.8-21.20%
Last 10 (10)68.283.1151.3-14.90%
Last 5 (5)68.890.0158.8-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.387.1153.4-20.80%
vs Similar (1)70.071.0141.0-1.00%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Newcastle FalconsHornsby S.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A04/06
NBL1 East
80.3Avg total
42.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.075.2+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.831.974.7+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)36.439.275.5-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.180.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.482.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.044.779.7-9.733%-
vs Similar (13)36.937.574.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.132.974.9+9.286%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A15/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H22/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A06/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
21-59
21
59
-38
H07/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H13/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
H20/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/06
NBL1 East
69.9Avg total
27.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)30.242.172.3-11.913%-
Last 30 at home (7)27.141.768.9-14.614%-
Last 30 away (8)32.942.475.2-9.512%-
Last 10 (10)27.942.069.9-14.120%-
Last 5 (5)27.845.473.2-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.843.873.6-14.10%-
vs Similar (1)30.028.058.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Hornsby S. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/23ABA CoE83-112
03/06/23AIllawarra Hawks 268-97
27/05/23ANorths Bears73-62
21/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-78
20/05/23ABankstown Bruins66-62
13/05/23ACentral Coast Crusaders99-74
06/05/23HInner West Bulls78-80 OT
29/04/23HSydney Comets89-74
23/04/23HHills Hornets69-70
15/04/23AMaitland M.69-82
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/23ASutherland Sharks73-85
27/05/23AHills Hornets61-93
21/05/23HMaitland M.79-81
20/05/23HBA CoE54-104
13/05/23HNorths Bears77-87
07/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits64-95
06/05/23APenrith P.69-71
29/04/23HBankstown Bruins70-71 OT
22/04/23HCanberra60-61
15/04/23AIllawarra Hawks 275-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game79.981.079.1
Allowed / game75.569.280.2
Point differential+4.4+11.8-1.1
Avg total155.4150.2159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.767.366.2
Allowed / game84.982.087.5
Point differential-18.2-14.7-21.2
Avg total151.7149.3153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1918195%100.975.6+25.3
2 Inner West Bulls1412286%90.377.8+12.5
3 Norths Bears1512380%85.577.7+7.9
4 Sutherland Sharks1611569%87.481.4+6.0
5 Canberra1610662%83.777.4+6.3
6 Maitland M.148657%88.482.6+5.7
7 Newcastle Falcons148657%79.975.5+4.4
8 Hills Hornets148657%81.378.2+3.1
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits168850%87.887.7+0.1
10 Illawarra Hawks 2157847%86.383.3+3.1
11 Sydney Comets146843%82.283.7-1.5
12 Central Coast Crusaders1431121%75.888.1-12.3
13 Bankstown Bruins1431121%72.486.4-14.0
14 Penrith P.1431121%69.691.6-22.1
15 Manly W.1631319%69.984.4-14.5
16 Hornsby S.150150%66.784.9-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1125121462
Hornsby S.313161345
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