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Maitland M. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 82-69
26-18 20-19 16-15 20-17
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game66.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Maitland M. v Newcastle Falcons
12 Jul 2025
MAIT95
NEWC116
06 Apr 2024
MAIT109
NEWC72
15 Apr 2023
MAIT82
NEWC69
18 Jun 2022
MAIT93
NEWC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A06/08
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H13/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H27/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A28/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A11/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
A19/03
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H26/03
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H01/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-21
20-22
24-23
27-22
20-26
31-21
12-15
32-23
19-22
30-13
25-23
25-14
27-18
25-23
27-27
17-22
27-13
16-22
13-19
31-26
21-23
19-19
15-27
10-21
24-15
26-13
15-21
23-26
25-27
27-14
12-20
26-26
13-18
16-25
24-24
21-21
27-18
24-13
24-12
174.6Avg total
90.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.684.6171.2+2.040%
Season at home (2)87.578.5166.0+9.050%
Season away (3)86.088.7174.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)90.484.2174.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)86.684.6171.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.088.8174.8-2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.081.4167.4+4.657%
vs Weaker (18)88.483.3171.7+5.172%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A30/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A31/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H07/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H13/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H20/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
77-41
77
41
+36
H18/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H25/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A01/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
20-24
8-23
19-28
17-20
16-20
24-23
12-13
29-23
20-17
16-19
21-9
27-9
17-11
28-29
21-23
22-9
18-17
21-24
26-11
25-21
11-20
19-25
23-30
30-20
14-28
8-14
19-14
25-14
15-13
24-6
13-8
25-19
19-16
10-16
27-21
27-22
22-11
31-22
24-22
154.4Avg total
80.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.266.5149.8+16.875%
Season at home (2)79.056.5135.5+22.5100%
Season away (2)87.576.5164.0+11.050%
Last 10 (10)80.773.7154.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)82.272.4154.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.080.0148.0-12.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.074.8149.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)81.167.4148.5+13.782%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
Maitland M.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A06/08
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H27/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/08
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A11/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A19/03
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H26/03
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H01/04
NBL1 East
87.9Avg total
45.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.040.883.9+2.255%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.239.782.9+3.557%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.7+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)45.742.287.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.288.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.239.885.0+5.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.940.384.1+3.657%-
vs Weaker (18)42.241.383.5+0.950%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A31/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H07/08
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H13/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A14/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H18/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A01/04
NBL1 East
77.0Avg total
41.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.534.170.6+2.459%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.331.971.1+7.471%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.570.1-3.046%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.777.0+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.879.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.539.569.0-10.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.136.171.2-0.943%-
vs Weaker (11)39.530.670.2+8.982%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland M. wins
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HHornsby S.96-64
26/03/23HNorths Bears79-93
19/03/23ABA CoE97-101 OT
18/03/23ACanberra75-70
11/03/23AIllawarra Hawks 286-95
28/08/22ACanberra73-76
27/08/22HSutherland Sharks104-82
14/08/22HIllawarra Hawks106-81
13/08/22HManly W.90-84
06/08/22ABankstown Bruins98-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23AHills Hornets104-77
25/03/23HCanberra81-72
18/03/23HManly W.77-41
11/03/23ASutherland Sharks71-76
20/08/22HSutherland Sharks78-96
14/08/22ASutherland Sharks87-61
13/08/22HNorths Bears93-72
07/08/22HBankstown Bruins86-68
31/07/22ANorths Bears69-76
30/07/22AInner West Bulls61-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game86.687.586.0
Allowed / game84.678.588.7
Point differential+2.0+9.0-2.7
Avg total171.2166.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.279.087.5
Allowed / game66.556.576.5
Point differential+16.8+22.5+11.0
Avg total149.8135.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE660100%100.869.3+31.5
2 Norths Bears65183%87.374.5+12.8
3 Illawarra Hawks 254180%92.277.8+14.4
4 Sydney Comets54180%86.271.8+14.4
5 Inner West Bulls54180%85.278.6+6.6
6 Newcastle Falcons43175%83.266.5+16.8
7 Sutherland Sharks53260%79.676.4+3.2
8 Central Coast Crusaders53260%80.279.0+1.2
9 Albury-Wodonga Bandits42250%87.081.8+5.2
10 Canberra63350%81.377.8+3.5
11 Maitland M.52340%86.684.6+2.0
12 Hills Hornets51420%78.881.0-2.2
13 Manly W.51420%63.681.8-18.2
14 Bankstown Bruins5050%69.692.6-23.0
15 Hornsby S.5050%63.888.6-24.8
16 Penrith P.6060%61.5102.0-40.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.2620162082
Newcastle Falcons1819151769
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