PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Norths Bears vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 62-73
16-16 13-20 20-16 13-21
Position#5
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game71.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Norths Bears v Newcastle Falcons
21 Jun 2025
NORT102
NEWC70
27 May 2023
NORT62
NEWC73
31 Jul 2022
NORT76
NEWC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A26/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
A01/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H14/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
113-62
113
62
+51
H15/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H21/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
18-13
25-16
24-24
25-27
8-29
15-28
20-30
13-10
18-15
20-14
27-16
41-19
26-18
23-15
23-10
25-21
17-17
23-15
18-24
13-19
12-28
24-18
20-16
22-22
20-15
29-17
30-21
29-29
19-27
25-24
24-13
19-5
18-14
21-28
29-30
18-20
24-18
26-19
21-21
166.9Avg total
87.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.577.3164.8+10.283%
Season at home (7)90.074.4164.4+15.686%
Season away (5)84.081.4165.4+2.680%
Last 10 (10)87.879.1166.9+8.780%
Last 5 (5)88.680.8169.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.890.9166.7-15.133%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.078.2162.2+5.875%
vs Weaker (9)89.173.4162.6+15.789%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
77-41
77
41
+36
H18/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H25/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
104-77
104
77
+27
A01/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A15/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H23/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
15-13
24-6
13-8
25-19
19-16
10-16
27-21
27-22
22-11
31-22
24-22
18-26
19-20
15-16
17-20
21-9
17-23
16-20
15-18
24-12
28-24
19-17
18-21
25-10
16-12
11-25
17-22
23-19
24-19
31-12
21-24
20-17
23-12
15-24
8-9
28-17
28-28
14-20
22-13
153.4Avg total
82.4Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.471.5152.8+9.964%
Season at home (6)81.069.2150.2+11.867%
Season away (5)81.874.2156.0+7.660%
Last 10 (10)82.471.0153.4+11.470%
Last 5 (5)84.873.6158.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.087.5160.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.977.4153.3-1.546%
vs Weaker (15)82.568.6151.1+13.987%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Norths BearsNewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/03
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A01/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H14/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H15/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H22/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H06/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A13/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H20/05
NBL1 East
80.3Avg total
41.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.978.9+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.578.5+1.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.280.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.478.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.640.377.9-2.856%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.139.878.8-0.767%-
vs Weaker (9)43.636.480.0+7.167%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H18/03
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/03
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A01/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H06/05
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A20/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/05
NBL1 East
79.0Avg total
44.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.335.174.5+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.532.174.5+10.487%-
Last 30 away (15)36.238.274.4-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.734.379.0+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)47.834.081.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.536.066.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.438.275.6-0.846%-
vs Weaker (15)42.232.374.5+9.987%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Norths Bears wins
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HCentral Coast Crusaders89-78
13/05/23AHornsby S.87-77
06/05/23HCanberra97-93
29/04/23HIllawarra Hawks 2101-75
22/04/23HHills Hornets69-81
21/04/23HBA CoE83-77
15/04/23HPenrith P.113-62
14/04/23HManly W.78-55
01/04/23ABA CoE68-114
26/03/23AMaitland M.93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-78
20/05/23ABankstown Bruins66-62
13/05/23ACentral Coast Crusaders99-74
06/05/23HInner West Bulls78-80 OT
29/04/23HSydney Comets89-74
23/04/23HHills Hornets69-70
15/04/23AMaitland M.69-82
01/04/23AHills Hornets104-77
25/03/23HCanberra81-72
18/03/23HManly W.77-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game87.590.084.0
Allowed / game77.374.481.4
Point differential+10.2+15.6+2.6
Avg total164.8164.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%57%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game81.481.081.8
Allowed / game71.569.274.2
Point differential+9.9+11.8+7.6
Avg total152.8150.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1211192%100.875.5+25.3
2 Inner West Bulls1210283%89.278.8+10.3
3 Norths Bears1210283%87.577.3+10.2
4 Sutherland Sharks139469%88.282.5+5.6
5 Canberra128467%84.874.6+10.2
6 Newcastle Falcons117464%81.471.5+9.9
7 Hills Hornets127558%79.878.4+1.3
8 Sydney Comets116555%80.877.2+3.6
9 Illawarra Hawks 2126650%87.383.3+4.0
10 Maitland M.126650%86.683.5+3.1
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits136746%85.985.7+0.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders113827%75.587.1-11.6
13 Penrith P.123925%67.590.8-23.3
14 Bankstown Bruins1331023%71.685.4-13.8
15 Manly W.1321115%69.083.1-14.1
16 Hornsby S.130130%66.784.3-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears1613201362
Newcastle Falcons1620162173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.