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Niagara River vs Guelph Nighthawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 109-89
31-20 29-22 23-21 26-26
Position#1
Record7-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.9
Niagara River 🏆
Canada
vs
Guelph Nighthawks
Canada
Position#5
Record6-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game88.0
CanadaCEBL· Meridian Centre
Other2024
Meetings · Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks
16 May 2025
NIAG98
GUEL94
04 Jul 2024
NIAG109
GUEL89
23 Jun 2023
NIAG99
GUEL86
06 Aug 2022
NIAG99
GUEL78
09 Jul 2022
NIAG101
GUEL88
30 Jul 2021
NIAG81
GUEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph Nighthawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
78avg 80
A01/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
90avg 80
H06/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 80
A09/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 80
A13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
75avg 80
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 80
H19/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 80
H21/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
75avg 80
A28/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 80
A30/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
69avg 80
A02/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
20-26
23-17
17-23
35-31
26-21
17-20
23-22
25-18
19-17
32-23
24-21
24-20
24-15
29-15
17-30
15-23
30-23
18-18
23-26
23-17
25-22
14-22
19-17
29-19
17-24
32-19
19-33
20-21
17-26
23-25
22-22
25-22
25-31
20-16
24-18
29-26
15-29
23-25
16-25
180.2Avg total
90.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.685.9175.5+3.758%
Season at home (4)95.581.8177.2+13.8100%
Season away (8)86.688.0174.6-1.438%
Last 10 (10)90.589.7180.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)87.491.8179.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.186.9176.0+2.258%
vs Weaker (18)92.583.8176.3+8.772%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
74-100
74
100
-26
57avg 86
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
102-85
102
85
+17
97avg 86
H06/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 86
H08/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
110-78
110
78
+32
108avg 86
H09/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 86
H15/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 86
H16/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
105-77
105
77
+28
108avg 86
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
91-80
91
80
+11
90avg 86
A23/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 86
A29/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
L
105-108
105
108
-3
106avg 86
A03/07
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
17-26
14-24
18-22
30-13
23-20
26-29
23-23
17-18
15-15
10-20
23-17
25-25
21-21
35-16
29-16
17-20
19-26
19-23
29-22
26-22
18-13
17-23
27-18
16-24
24-15
35-16
30-22
29-25
30-22
14-24
18-9
24-31
23-30
25-18
28-11
28-31
23-24
30-22
24-31
177.9Avg total
92.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.788.0179.7+3.750%
Season at home (7)89.385.9175.1+3.443%
Season away (5)95.091.0186.0+4.060%
Last 10 (10)92.485.5177.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)97.886.2184.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.089.7164.7-14.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.683.2166.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (11)91.783.3175.0+8.573%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
Niagara RiverGuelph Nighthawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A01/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H06/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A09/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A13/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/06
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A28/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A02/07
CEBL
93.0Avg total
47.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.286.3+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.139.186.1+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.386.5-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.093.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.492.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.843.287.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (18)45.939.985.8+6.161%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A02/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H06/06
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#2
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/06
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H09/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/06
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/06
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#3
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A23/06
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A29/06
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#9
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A03/07
CEBL
89.9Avg total
45.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.681.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.378.4+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.989.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.495.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.641.080.6-1.444%-
vs Weaker (11)42.939.482.3+3.555%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.0
48.6%
50.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
35.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
74.7%16.5
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.3
51.7%
50.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.612.9
42.2%
35.2%38.7
🏀 Free throws15.710.8
68.8%
74.7%10.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niagara River
LWLWWLWWWL
Guelph Nighthawks
LWWWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#5
+0.6
Net rating
+8.7
107.7
Offensive rating
111.8
107.1
Defensive rating
103.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.4%
3-point %
42.2%
54.3%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 111.8Defence107.1 · 103.0Shooting49.2% · 56.6%3-point %33.4% · 42.2%Ball care17.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds35.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Niagara River   ■ Guelph Nighthawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Niagara River wins
2
Guelph Nighthawks wins
DateGameScore
23/06/23Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-86
31/05/23Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River85-82
06/08/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-78
09/07/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks101-88
31/05/22Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River84-95
01/08/21Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River69-89
30/07/21Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks81-92
Niagara Riverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/24AFraser Valley Bandits83-105
30/06/24ASaskatchewan Rattlers94-87
28/06/24AWinnipeg Sea Bears82-94
21/06/24HMontreal Alliance97-95
19/06/24HScarborough Shooting Stars81-78
15/06/24AOttawa Blackjacks86-90
13/06/24AMontreal Alliance94-80
09/06/24AEdmonton Stingers100-79
06/06/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears101-94
01/06/24AScarborough Shooting Stars87-95
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/24ABrampton Honey Badgers105-108
29/06/24AOttawa Blackjacks100-90
23/06/24AEdmonton Stingers91-80
21/06/24ASaskatchewan Rattlers105-77
16/06/24HBrampton Honey Badgers88-76
15/06/24HEdmonton Stingers84-91
09/06/24HWinnipeg Sea Bears110-78
08/06/24HFraser Valley Bandits65-70
06/06/24HSaskatchewan Rattlers102-85
02/06/24AFraser Valley Bandits74-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara River
CEBL 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %58%100%38%
Points / game89.695.586.6
Allowed / game85.981.888.0
Point differential+3.7+13.8-1.4
Avg total175.5177.2174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%43%60%
Points / game91.789.395.0
Allowed / game88.085.991.0
Point differential+3.7+3.4+4.0
Avg total179.7175.1186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits129375%93.683.8+9.8
2 Edmonton Stingers139469%91.487.2+4.2
3 Niagara River127558%89.685.9+3.7
4 Winnipeg Sea Bears127558%93.196.5-3.4
5 Guelph Nighthawks126650%91.788.0+3.7
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars126650%92.691.2+1.3
7 Brampton Honey Badgers146843%84.690.0-5.4
8 Saskatchewan Rattlers125742%88.492.2-3.8
9 Ottawa Blackjacks113827%86.694.6-8.0
10 Montreal Alliance123925%87.189.1-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niagara River31292326109
Guelph Nighthawks2022212689
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