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Nicholls State vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 61-47
25-24 36-23
Position#265
Record13-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#331
Record10-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nicholls State v Northwestern St.
04 Jan 2027
NICH v NORT
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
NICH61
NORT47
05 Jan 2026
NICH74
NORT72
10 Feb 2025
NICH60
NORT72
05 Feb 2024
NICH73
NORT66
14 Jan 2023
NICH77
NORT63
20 Jan 2022
NICH69
NORT58
12 Mar 2021
NICH88
NORT76
01 Mar 2021
NICH v NORT
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
NICH72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Texas A&M
#316
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H10/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
38-44
34-20
27-38
38-39
38-44
30-55
42-37
46-30
45-53
29-35
39-37
34-39
44-42
20-23
33-29
33-31
35-29
31-40
34-35
142.8Avg total
70.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.975.4148.3-2.542%
Season at home (12)75.872.4148.2+3.350%
Season away (19)71.177.3148.4-6.337%
Last 10 (10)70.472.4142.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)66.468.0134.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.983.8156.7-10.920%
vs Similar ◀ (19)71.772.3144.0-0.653%
vs Weaker (1)117.049.0166.0+68.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H05/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H14/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
20-34
38-27
31-27
37-47
19-29
29-23
37-33
33-35
32-35
37-31
29-43
35-32
37-25
34-28
18-23
36-26
30-29
29-42
30-39
32-35
126.6Avg total
62.3Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)69.072.8141.7-3.832%
Season at home (14)71.667.3138.9+4.357%
Season away (17)66.877.3144.1-10.512%
Last 10 (10)62.364.3126.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)62.064.4126.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.974.6139.5-9.624%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.067.3135.3+0.740%
vs Weaker (3)95.372.3167.7+23.067%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
Nicholls StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Texas A&M
#316
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H10/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/03
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.668.7-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.235.769.9-1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)32.435.667.9-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.666.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.663.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.642.174.7-9.510%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)32.532.865.4-0.353%-
vs Weaker (1)50.023.073.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H03/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/03
NCAA
60.0Avg total
28.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.867.0-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.134.566.6-2.429%-
Last 30 away (16)30.536.967.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)28.331.760.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.860.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.537.667.1-8.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.333.663.9-3.330%-
vs Weaker (3)44.332.777.0+11.767%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HMcNeese State65-75
28/02/26HSE Louisiana68-60
24/02/26ALamar53-52
21/02/26AStephen F. Austin78-81
17/02/26AHouston Christian68-72
14/02/26AIncarnate Word91-83
10/02/26HUTRGV72-92
07/02/26HTexas A&M-CC76-83
03/02/26ANorthwestern St.61-58
31/01/26AEast Texas A&M72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26AUTRGV62-74
28/02/26ATexas A&M-CC59-71
24/02/26HIncarnate Word54-49
21/02/26HHouston Christian71-53
17/02/26HMcNeese State64-75
14/02/26HSE Louisiana69-66
10/02/26ALamar70-68
07/02/26AEast Texas A&M48-52
05/02/26HEast Texas A&M68-74
03/02/26HNicholls State58-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayWWLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311219
Win %42%50%37%
Points / game72.975.871.1
Allowed / game75.472.477.3
Point differential-2.5+3.3-6.3
Avg total148.3148.2148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (1)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %32%57%12%
Points / game69.071.666.8
Allowed / game72.867.377.3
Point differential-3.8+4.3-10.5
Avg total141.7138.9144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)67% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin3127487%77.565.9+11.6
2 McNeese State3126584%80.066.3+13.8
3 UTRGV29171259%75.168.8+6.3
4 Texas A&M-CC31171455%72.968.2+4.8
5 New Orleans33161748%76.277.6-1.5
6 Nicholls State31131842%72.975.4-2.5
7 Lamar31121939%69.969.1+0.8
8 Incarnate Word31121939%74.373.7+0.5
9 Houston Christian32122038%67.172.2-5.1
10 Northwestern St.31102132%69.072.8-3.8
11 SE Louisiana3192229%65.070.5-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State253661
Northwestern St.242347
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