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Nicholls State vs Northwestern St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#205
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#338
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nicholls State v Northwestern St.
04 Jan 2027
NICH v NORT
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
NICH61
NORT47
05 Jan 2026
NICH74
NORT72
10 Feb 2025
NICH60
NORT72
05 Feb 2024
NICH73
NORT66
14 Jan 2023
NICH77
NORT63
20 Jan 2022
NICH69
NORT58
12 Mar 2021
NICH88
NORT76
01 Mar 2021
NICH v NORT
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
NICH72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H03/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H09/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A10/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#499
W
110-56
110
56
+54
H02/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#220
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#210
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
44-42
20-23
33-29
33-31
35-29
31-40
34-35
25-24
36-23
32-44
36-42
53-37
57-19
30-36
33-34
24-35
39-42
28-33
43-35
137.2Avg total
70.0Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.867.8144.5+9.050%
Season at home (2)90.562.0152.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)63.073.5136.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)70.067.2137.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)75.071.4146.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.882.5154.3-10.720%
vs Similar (16)71.667.7139.2+3.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.065.3146.3+15.733%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#5
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#99
L
44-82
44
82
-38
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#23
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#410
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
34-28
18-23
36-26
30-29
29-42
30-39
32-35
24-25
23-36
32-50
33-37
27-49
17-33
39-42
32-51
34-21
43-28
40-35
30-35
133.6Avg total
63.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Season at home (1)77.049.0126.0+28.0100%
Season away (4)65.886.5152.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)63.370.3133.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)68.079.0147.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.975.4139.2-11.525%
vs Similar (12)67.568.2135.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (1)108.055.0163.0+53.0100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -4.2-4.2
Nicholls StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H09/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#499
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H02/11
NCAA
UAB
#221
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Tulane
#220
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#210
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H15/11
NCAA
65.2Avg total
31.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.568.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.534.869.3-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.834.166.9-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.265.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.070.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.941.773.6-9.810%-
vs Similar (16)33.330.463.7+2.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.731.366.0+3.333%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Baylor
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#99
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A06/11
NCAA
Murray State
#23
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Millsaps
#410
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.335.566.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.233.164.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (17)31.537.468.9-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.864.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.473.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.638.769.2-8.119%-
vs Similar (12)30.633.063.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (1)50.030.080.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLouisiana Tech71-68
11/11/26ATulane63-77
07/11/26AUAB63-70
02/11/26HNorth American Stallions110-56
10/03/26AUTRGV68-86
09/03/26HNorthwestern St.61-47
03/03/26HMcNeese State65-75
28/02/26HSE Louisiana68-60
24/02/26ALamar53-52
21/02/26AStephen F. Austin78-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUALR83-84 OT
11/11/26HMillsaps77-49
08/11/26AMurray State71-93
06/11/26AMississippi St.44-82
03/11/26ABaylor65-87
09/03/26ANicholls State47-61
03/03/26AUTRGV62-74
28/02/26ATexas A&M-CC59-71
24/02/26HIncarnate Word54-49
21/02/26HHouston Christian71-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.890.563.0
Allowed / game67.862.073.5
Point differential+9.0+28.5-10.5
Avg total144.5152.5136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game68.077.065.8
Allowed / game79.049.086.5
Point differential-11.0+28.0-20.8
Avg total147.0126.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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