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Niigata vs Kobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:40
Final 55-95
12-26 16-20 13-28 14-21
Position#14
Record5-30
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game83.2
Niigata
Japan
vs
Kobe 🏆
Japan
Position#7
Record16-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.5
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Kobe
04 Feb 2024
NIIG68
KOBE81
03 Feb 2024
NIIG55
KOBE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 62
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 62
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 62
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 62
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
60-52
60
52
+8
52avg 62
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 62
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
79avg 62
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 62
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 62
A31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
20-15
16-22
24-31
22-26
23-16
10-15
20-16
13-19
20-16
19-22
28-28
18-13
21-23
14-16
19-12
18-10
15-14
10-11
17-17
20-30
16-23
23-14
21-22
20-26
22-19
25-14
25-22
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
21-22
18-22
19-26
25-18
159.3Avg total
78.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)72.583.2155.6-10.714%
Season at home (17)74.183.0157.1-8.918%
Season away (18)70.983.3154.2-12.411%
Last 10 (10)78.780.6159.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)83.889.2173.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.783.4157.1-9.817%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
74avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
49avg 71
H29/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 71
H30/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-69
68
69
-1
64avg 71
A05/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 71
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 71
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
51-62
51
62
-11
51avg 71
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
85avg 71
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
96avg 71
A31/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-18
31-22
22-25
14-31
15-26
19-18
18-11
21-19
30-36
25-23
17-27
11-15
26-17
13-21
18-16
21-18
20-13
8-22
18-18
18-29
11-14
16-15
25-19
21-20
15-24
13-21
20-24
21-20
13-15
10-9
7-18
20-11
19-25
24-18
22-16
28-20
17-18
22-11
27-19
153.3Avg total
75.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.978.5157.3+0.446%
Season at home (17)78.281.1159.3-2.835%
Season away (18)79.476.0155.4+3.456%
Last 10 (10)75.378.0153.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)73.873.2147.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.884.2162.0-6.430%
vs Similar (8)71.177.6148.8-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.075.5155.5+4.567%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
NiigataKobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B2.League
77.8Avg total
38.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.779.7-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.442.981.3-4.527%-
Last 30 away (15)35.742.578.1-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.977.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.883.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.042.779.7-5.723%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
29-57
29
57
-28
H29/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H30/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/01
B2.League
78.5Avg total
37.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.779.1-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.642.279.8-4.629%-
Last 30 away (13)37.241.078.2-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.778.5-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.444.884.2-5.420%-
vs Similar (8)34.941.176.0-6.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.439.576.9-2.142%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.3
52.6%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
71.0%12.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.2
50.9%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.212.7
62.9%
71.0%12.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLWLWWLWL
Kobe
WWLLLLLLLW
#14
League position
#7
-1.9
Net rating
-3.1
106.0
Offensive rating
101.8
107.9
Defensive rating
105.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
31.3%
51.9%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 101.8Defence107.9 · 105.0Shooting52.0% · 49.4%3-point %34.0% · 31.3%Ball care17.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Niigata   ■ Kobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Niigata wins
1
Kobe wins
DateGameScore
10/12/17Kobe v Niigata100-85
09/12/17Kobe v Niigata86-108
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AFukushima83-88
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
21/01/24HShiga92-81
20/01/24HShiga80-89
07/01/24AIwate60-52
06/01/24AIwate72-64
31/12/23HAomori80-85
30/12/23HAomori75-73
24/12/23AYamagata Wyverns81-86
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings94-68
28/01/24HIwate85-70
27/01/24HIwate51-62
21/01/24HKumamoto69-89
20/01/24HKumamoto70-77
06/01/24AFukuoka67-71
05/01/24AFukuoka68-69
30/12/23HAltiri Chiba93-105
29/12/23HAltiri Chiba66-86
23/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLWWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %14%18%11%
Points / game72.574.170.9
Allowed / game83.283.083.3
Point differential-10.7-8.9-12.4
Avg total155.6157.1154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Kobe
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %46%35%56%
Points / game78.978.279.4
Allowed / game78.581.176.0
Point differential+0.4-2.8+3.4
Avg total157.3159.3155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%24%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3633392%88.574.4+14.1
2 Shiga36251169%88.181.2+6.8
3 Kumamoto36251169%85.481.6+3.8
4 Fukuoka36241267%78.474.9+3.5
5 Koshigaya Alphas36221461%83.874.7+9.1
6 Aomori36191753%85.487.2-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns36191753%82.384.9-2.7
8 Kobe35161946%78.978.5+0.4
9 Shizuoka36162044%79.380.4-1.1
10 Fukushima36142239%81.084.9-3.8
11 Nara36142239%73.278.1-4.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings36102628%79.386.8-7.5
13 Iwate3692725%69.775.1-5.4
14 Niigata3553014%72.583.2-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata1216131455
Kobe2620282195
← all games of the day
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