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Iwate vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 52-60
10-18 14-15 11-10 17-17
Position#13
Record7-22
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game75.9
Iwate
Japan
vs
Niigata 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record3-26
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game83.2
JapanB2.League· Morioka Takaya Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iwate v Niigata
31 Mar 2024
IWAT92
NIIG75
30 Mar 2024
IWAT77
NIIG61
07 Jan 2024
IWAT52
NIIG60
06 Jan 2024
IWAT64
NIIG72
26 Apr 2015
IWAT80
NIIG75
25 Apr 2015
IWAT62
NIIG67
13 Oct 2013
IWAT75
NIIG61
12 Oct 2013
IWAT80
NIIG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iwate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IwateJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIwate
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
53-63
53
63
-10
38avg 59
A09/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
64-73
64
73
-9
51avg 59
A10/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
75avg 59
H16/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 59
H17/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
50avg 59
H20/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 59
A23/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 59
A24/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 59
H29/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
76-73
76
73
+3
63avg 59
H30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
64-72
64
72
-8
48avg 59
H06/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
11-21
24-15
9-13
18-22
20-19
11-13
15-19
17-21
22-14
24-17
12-24
17-17
17-18
19-14
10-20
15-29
19-13
10-10
17-15
21-22
16-18
16-21
13-14
22-19
17-24
8-21
21-21
16-21
18-19
19-13
26-20
21-18
24-15
19-29
12-11
13-18
23-21
16-14
12-19
139.5Avg total
66.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.075.9145.9-5.924%
Season at home (16)69.574.4143.9-4.925%
Season away (13)70.677.7148.3-7.123%
Last 10 (10)66.972.6139.5-5.720%
Last 5 (5)70.675.6146.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.876.8141.6-12.18%
vs Similar (14)72.975.8148.7-2.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)76.874.8151.5+2.050%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 61
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 61
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 61
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 61
A17/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
53avg 61
H20/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 61
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 61
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 61
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 61
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 61
A06/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
16-20
14-19
28-24
19-19
14-18
18-22
21-21
18-24
29-25
23-23
20-23
25-26
21-25
19-18
20-23
25-20
21-20
8-18
14-17
18-17
16-29
22-23
21-18
21-18
20-15
16-22
24-31
22-26
23-16
10-15
20-16
13-19
20-16
19-22
28-28
18-13
21-23
14-16
19-12
160.9Avg total
78.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.983.2154.1-12.310%
Season at home (13)71.181.0152.1-9.915%
Season away (16)70.885.0155.8-14.26%
Last 10 (10)78.282.7160.9-4.520%
Last 5 (5)77.079.0156.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.083.6154.5-12.610%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
IwateNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IwateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A09/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H20/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/01
B2.League
73.9Avg total
35.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.477.1-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.137.274.2-0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.080.3-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.373.9-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.939.774.6-4.817%-
vs Similar (14)39.538.377.8+1.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.242.882.0-3.550%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/01
B2.League
82.0Avg total
40.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.842.978.7-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.241.978.1-5.721%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.879.1-8.412%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.842.978.7-7.117%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iwate) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iwatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iwate: 66.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.9
47.0%
52.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.3
26.4%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws12.49.4
75.8%
71.0%9.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.2
52.5%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
71.0%10.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iwate
LWWLLLLLLL
Niigata
WLWLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-7.9
Net rating
-6.1
94.7
Offensive rating
104.1
102.6
Defensive rating
110.2
43.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.4%
3-point %
35.5%
57.9%
Assist %
47.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 104.1Defence102.6 · 110.2Shooting43.5% · 52.8%3-point %26.4% · 35.5%Ball care18.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.7% · 23.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Iwate   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Iwate wins
4
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Iwate v Niigata64-72
03/12/23Niigata v Iwate69-80
02/12/23Niigata v Iwate76-88
26/04/15Iwate v Niigata80-75
25/04/15Iwate v Niigata62-67
15/02/15Niigata v Iwate69-86
14/02/15Niigata v Iwate71-69
02/03/14Niigata v Iwate76-70
01/03/14Niigata v Iwate66-69
13/10/13Iwate v Niigata75-61
Iwatelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HNiigata64-72
30/12/23HEhime Orange Vikings76-73
29/12/23HEhime Orange Vikings79-73
24/12/23AAltiri Chiba68-85
23/12/23AAltiri Chiba66-75
20/12/23HShiga61-67
17/12/23HYamagata Wyverns63-69
16/12/23HYamagata Wyverns75-76
10/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas64-73
09/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas53-63
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AIwate72-64
31/12/23HAomori80-85
30/12/23HAomori75-73
24/12/23AYamagata Wyverns81-86
23/12/23AYamagata Wyverns77-87
20/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas68-75
17/12/23AAomori85-92
16/12/23AAomori90-95
10/12/23HKumamoto72-80
09/12/23HKumamoto82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iwate
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL24%
HomeLLWWL25%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game70.069.570.6
Allowed / game75.974.477.7
Point differential-5.9-4.9-7.1
Avg total145.9143.9148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%6%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW10%
HomeLLLWL15%
AwayLLLLW6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %10%15%6%
Points / game70.971.170.8
Allowed / game83.281.085.0
Point differential-12.3-9.9-14.2
Avg total154.1152.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2926390%88.576.1+12.4
2 Shiga3023777%87.478.2+9.1
3 Fukuoka3021970%79.074.5+4.5
4 Kumamoto29191066%84.782.3+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas29171259%83.274.2+9.0
6 Aomori29161355%85.487.0-1.5
7 Yamagata Wyverns29161355%82.184.4-2.3
8 Kobe30141647%79.779.3+0.4
9 Shizuoka29131645%80.680.4+0.2
10 Nara29131645%73.678.2-4.7
11 Fukushima29101934%79.683.6-4.0
12 Iwate2972224%70.075.9-5.9
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3072323%78.986.5-7.6
14 Niigata2932610%70.983.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iwate1014111752
Niigata1815101760
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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