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Niigata vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:10
Final 80-85
13-19 20-16 19-22 28-28
Position#14
Record2-25
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record15-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.7
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Aomori
27 Feb 2024
NIIG84
AOMO93
26 Feb 2024
NIIG68
AOMO85
31 Dec 2023
NIIG80
AOMO85
30 Dec 2023
NIIG75
AOMO73
19 Apr 2015
NIIG86
AOMO49
18 Apr 2015
NIIG78
AOMO72
13 Apr 2014
NIIG94
AOMO76
12 Apr 2014
NIIG72
AOMO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
74avg 60
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 60
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 60
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 60
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 60
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 60
A17/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
53avg 60
H20/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 60
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 60
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 60
H30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
27-25
14-16
18-20
19-18
17-22
21-20
12-20
24-27
16-20
14-19
28-24
19-19
14-18
18-22
21-21
18-24
29-25
23-23
20-23
25-26
21-25
19-18
20-23
25-20
21-20
8-18
14-17
18-17
16-29
22-23
21-18
21-18
20-15
16-22
24-31
22-26
23-16
10-15
20-16
162.1Avg total
77.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.683.9154.4-13.37%
Season at home (12)70.380.7151.0-10.317%
Season away (15)70.786.4157.1-15.70%
Last 10 (10)77.584.6162.1-7.110%
Last 5 (5)77.282.6159.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.983.3154.1-12.410%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
76-100
76
100
-24
51avg 71
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
63avg 71
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 71
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-90
95
90
+5
100avg 71
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 71
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 71
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 71
A30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
24-29
15-22
21-28
18-21
23-16
16-24
26-15
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
24-18
25-29
23-23
23-20
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
173.9Avg total
86.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.086.7172.7-0.856%
Season at home (13)82.084.1166.1-2.162%
Season away (14)89.689.2178.9+0.450%
Last 10 (10)86.387.6173.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.085.0168.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.288.0167.2-8.844%
vs Similar (18)87.387.3174.6-0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.783.3170.0+3.367%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
NiigataAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/12
B2.League
84.9Avg total
41.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.542.978.4-7.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.642.477.9-6.821%-
Last 30 away (16)35.543.378.8-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.784.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.542.978.4-7.317%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aomori) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
84.4Avg total
41.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.844.185.9-2.238%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.543.885.3-2.246%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.386.4-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.645.884.4-7.125%-
vs Similar (18)42.343.085.3-0.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.346.093.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.3
49.5%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
71.0%12.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.3
55.9%
52.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
71.0%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
WLLLLLLLLL
Aomori
LLLLWWWWWL
#14
League position
#8
-9.4
Net rating
-4.0
104.3
Offensive rating
108.4
113.7
Defensive rating
112.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
34.5%
47.0%
Assist %
67.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 108.4Defence113.7 · 112.4Shooting51.1% · 54.4%3-point %35.8% · 34.5%Ball care17.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds27.0% · 25.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Niigata   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Niigata wins
4
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Niigata v Aomori75-73
17/12/23Aomori v Niigata92-85
16/12/23Aomori v Niigata95-90
19/04/15Niigata v Aomori86-49
18/04/15Niigata v Aomori78-72
08/02/15Aomori v Niigata69-73
07/02/15Aomori v Niigata80-70
13/04/14Niigata v Aomori94-76
12/04/14Niigata v Aomori72-85
20/10/13Aomori v Niigata57-67
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HAomori75-73
24/12/23AYamagata Wyverns81-86
23/12/23AYamagata Wyverns77-87
20/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas68-75
17/12/23AAomori85-92
16/12/23AAomori90-95
10/12/23HKumamoto72-80
09/12/23HKumamoto82-90
03/12/23HIwate69-80
02/12/23HIwate76-88
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
16/12/23HNiigata95-90
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
03/12/23HFukushima83-76
02/12/23HFukushima76-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW7%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %7%17%0%
Points / game70.670.370.7
Allowed / game83.980.786.4
Point differential-13.3-10.3-15.7
Avg total154.4151.0157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game86.082.089.6
Allowed / game86.784.189.2
Point differential-0.8-2.1+0.4
Avg total172.7166.1178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)100% (3)50% (10)
Overtime %11%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2826293%88.675.4+13.1
2 Shiga2821775%86.977.8+9.2
3 Fukuoka2819968%79.775.0+4.6
4 Kumamoto28181064%84.682.9+1.7
5 Koshigaya Alphas28161257%82.674.2+8.4
6 Aomori27151256%86.086.7-0.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns28151354%81.484.2-2.8
8 Kobe28141450%80.680.0+0.6
9 Shizuoka28131546%80.279.6+0.6
10 Nara28131546%73.877.9-4.1
11 Fukushima2891932%79.083.5-4.4
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2872125%78.586.0-7.6
14 Niigata272257%70.683.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata1320192880
Aomori1916222885
← all games of the day
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