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Niigata vs Kobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:10
Final 68-81
16-20 21-25 14-15 17-21
Position#14
Record5-31
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Kobe 🏆
Japan
Position#7
Record17-19
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.8
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Kobe
04 Feb 2024
NIIG68
KOBE81
03 Feb 2024
NIIG55
KOBE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 61
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 61
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 61
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
60-52
60
52
+8
52avg 61
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 61
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
79avg 61
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 61
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 61
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
55-95
55
95
-40
36avg 61
H03/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-16
10-15
20-16
13-19
20-16
19-22
28-28
18-13
21-23
14-16
19-12
18-10
15-14
10-11
17-17
20-30
16-23
23-14
21-22
20-26
22-19
25-14
25-22
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
21-22
18-22
19-26
25-18
12-26
16-20
13-28
14-21
157.6Avg total
76.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)72.083.5155.5-11.514%
Season at home (18)73.183.7156.7-10.617%
Season away (18)70.983.3154.2-12.411%
Last 10 (10)76.181.5157.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)78.890.4169.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.383.7157.0-10.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
49avg 71
H29/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 71
H30/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-69
68
69
-1
64avg 71
A05/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
63avg 71
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 71
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
51-62
51
62
-11
51avg 71
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
85avg 71
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
96avg 71
A31/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-55
95
55
+40
100avg 71
A03/02
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-31
15-26
19-18
18-11
21-19
30-36
25-23
17-27
11-15
26-17
13-21
18-16
21-18
20-13
8-22
18-18
18-29
11-14
16-15
25-19
21-20
15-24
13-21
20-24
21-20
13-15
10-9
7-18
20-11
19-25
24-18
22-16
28-20
17-18
22-11
27-19
26-12
20-16
28-13
21-14
151.0Avg total
75.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.377.8157.1+1.547%
Season at home (17)78.281.1159.3-2.835%
Season away (19)80.374.9155.2+5.458%
Last 10 (10)75.875.2151.0+0.630%
Last 5 (5)78.868.8147.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.884.2162.0-6.430%
vs Similar (8)71.177.6148.8-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.273.7154.8+7.567%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
NiigataKobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A31/01
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H03/02
B2.League
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.879.5-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.843.180.9-5.425%-
Last 30 away (14)35.442.577.9-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.480.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.642.879.5-6.223%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
29-57
29
57
-28
H29/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H30/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H20/01
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H27/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A03/02
B2.League
78.6Avg total
38.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.479.0-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.642.279.8-4.629%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.278.0-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.978.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.276.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.444.884.2-5.420%-
vs Similar (8)34.941.176.0-6.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.138.776.8-0.650%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.8
52.2%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.512.9
69.7%
71.0%12.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.1
54.1%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.6
31.1%
33.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.513.2
64.4%
71.0%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLWLWWLW
Kobe
WWWLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#7
-5.5
Net rating
+1.4
103.2
Offensive rating
102.3
108.7
Defensive rating
100.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.7%
3-point %
31.1%
52.6%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 102.3Defence108.7 · 100.9Shooting49.8% · 51.5%3-point %30.7% · 31.1%Ball care17.2% · 21.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Niigata   ■ Kobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Niigata wins
2
Kobe wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Niigata v Kobe55-95
10/12/17Kobe v Niigata100-85
09/12/17Kobe v Niigata86-108
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HKobe55-95
31/01/24AFukushima83-88
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
21/01/24HShiga92-81
20/01/24HShiga80-89
07/01/24AIwate60-52
06/01/24AIwate72-64
31/12/23HAomori80-85
30/12/23HAomori75-73
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ANiigata95-55
31/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings94-68
28/01/24HIwate85-70
27/01/24HIwate51-62
21/01/24HKumamoto69-89
20/01/24HKumamoto70-77
06/01/24AFukuoka67-71
05/01/24AFukuoka68-69
30/12/23HAltiri Chiba93-105
29/12/23HAltiri Chiba66-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLWWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %14%17%11%
Points / game72.073.170.9
Allowed / game83.583.783.3
Point differential-11.5-10.6-12.4
Avg total155.5156.7154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Kobe
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %47%35%58%
Points / game79.378.280.3
Allowed / game77.881.174.9
Point differential+1.5-2.8+5.4
Avg total157.1159.3155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%24%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3633392%88.574.4+14.1
2 Shiga36251169%88.181.2+6.8
3 Kumamoto36251169%85.481.6+3.8
4 Fukuoka37251268%78.674.9+3.7
5 Koshigaya Alphas37221559%83.474.5+8.8
6 Yamagata Wyverns37201754%82.284.8-2.5
7 Aomori37191851%85.187.1-2.1
8 Kobe36171947%79.377.8+1.5
9 Shizuoka36162044%79.380.4-1.1
10 Fukushima37142338%81.084.9-3.9
11 Nara37142338%73.378.2-4.9
12 Ehime Orange Vikings37112630%79.586.6-7.1
13 Iwate37102727%69.774.9-5.2
14 Niigata3653114%72.083.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata1621141768
Kobe2025152181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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