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Nizhny Novgorod vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-61
16-16 24-18 14-15 20-12
Position#12
Record10-22
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#14
Record0-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game88.4
RussiaVTB United League· Nagorny Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nizhny Novgorod v Minsk
20 Mar 2024
NNO74
MIN61
01 Dec 2023
NNO90
MIN79
11 Nov 2022
NNO84
MIN67
13 Nov 2021
NNO72
MIN65
14 Mar 2021
NNO78
MIN57
19 Oct 2019
NNO82
MIN77
28 Apr 2019
NNO77
MIN70
12 Nov 2017
NNO82
MIN91
15 Jan 2017
NNO102
MIN95
03 Jan 2016
NNO100
MIN85
07 Dec 2014
NNO70
MIN65
13 Jan 2013
NNO55
MIN54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nizhny NovgorodRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#27
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A06/02
Russian Cup
MBA Moscow
#9
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H13/02
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#27
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H17/02
Russian Cup
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A29/02
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A03/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H07/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H09/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A10/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H15/03
Russian Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A17/03
Russian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
23-19
22-29
26-19
15-15
6-19
9-17
20-17
26-14
21-16
23-18
23-17
23-18
16-20
23-21
16-24
26-16
9-16
21-11
26-21
14-22
16-21
27-20
30-19
27-14
31-18
16-26
20-14
27-19
17-28
12-20
18-14
19-17
12-10
23-14
24-30
12-18
7-12
13-11
23-23
150.8Avg total
77.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.778.6152.3-4.931%
Season at home (16)72.275.3147.6-3.138%
Season away (16)75.281.9157.1-6.725%
Last 10 (10)77.972.9150.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.578.8150.3-7.317%
vs Similar (15)72.473.5145.9-1.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.374.3164.7+16.0100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
63-105
63
105
-42
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H17/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
11-27
21-15
11-19
14-22
19-29
15-22
11-22
18-20
11-22
12-21
18-25
16-32
21-26
15-27
11-20
17-17
18-21
13-25
23-16
17-18
25-29
19-13
16-29
12-19
11-15
21-22
14-25
16-28
21-20
19-14
14-14
22-25
18-27
10-8
10-13
21-18
13-25
19-12
33-41
152.3Avg total
66.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)70.088.4158.4-18.40%
Season at home (16)71.889.1160.9-17.40%
Season away (16)68.287.6155.9-19.40%
Last 10 (10)66.585.8152.3-19.30%
Last 5 (5)70.283.0153.2-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.588.9159.4-18.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.3-6.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.3-6.3
Nizhny NovgorodMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#27
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A06/02
Russian Cup
MBA Moscow
#9
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H13/02
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#27
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H17/02
Russian Cup
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A29/02
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H09/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A10/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#8
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H15/03
Russian Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A17/03
Russian Cup
70.8Avg total
36.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.673.1-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.235.671.8+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)34.639.974.5-5.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.470.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.439.273.6-4.842%-
vs Similar (15)34.737.071.7-2.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.734.378.0+9.3100%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Runa Moscow
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/03
VTB United League
79.5Avg total
34.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.145.480.5-10.37%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.345.981.1-10.67%-
Last 30 away (15)35.044.979.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)34.045.579.5-11.50%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.880.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)35.145.480.5-10.37%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nizhny Novgorodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nizhny Novgorod: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.5
49.8%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.413.1
79.9%
-13.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nizhny Novgorod
LWLWWWLWLW
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#14
-5.0
Net rating
-33.5
104.9
Offensive rating
91.1
109.9
Defensive rating
124.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
21.5%
Turnover %
22.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
31.9%
76.9%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Nizhny Novgorod   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Nizhny Novgorod wins
1
Minsk wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AZenit Petersburg55-64
15/03/24HMBA Moscow78-71
10/03/24ASaratov74-81
09/03/24HAstana94-72
07/03/24HRuna Moscow87-82
03/03/24AAstana82-64
29/02/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg78-83
17/02/24HRuna Moscow93-65
13/02/24HMBA Moscow50-68
06/02/24ARuna Moscow88-79
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HSamara86-96
09/03/24HMBA Moscow60-73
06/03/24AAstana70-76
03/03/24ASaratov58-81
13/02/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg77-89
10/02/24ASamara71-79
03/02/24ASaratov63-105
29/01/24HParma Perm59-88
24/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban59-95
21/01/24HRuna Moscow62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nizhny Novgorod
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL31%
HomeWWLWW38%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game73.772.275.2
Allowed / game78.675.381.9
Point differential-4.9-3.1-6.7
Avg total152.3147.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.071.868.2
Allowed / game88.489.187.6
Point differential-18.4-17.4-19.4
Avg total158.4160.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan3124777%85.974.6+11.3
2 CSKA Moscow3124777%87.377.1+10.2
3 Zenit Petersburg3021970%82.773.5+9.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban30201067%84.579.3+5.2
5 Parma Perm31181358%78.677.0+1.6
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg32181456%81.379.8+1.6
7 Samara32181456%79.479.9-0.5
8 Enisey31161552%83.983.5+0.5
9 Saratov32161650%79.179.5-0.4
10 Runa Moscow32122038%78.181.3-3.2
11 Astana32122038%75.782.5-6.8
12 MBA Moscow32112134%74.878.6-3.8
13 Nizhny Novgorod32102231%73.778.6-4.9
14 Minsk320320%70.088.4-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nizhny Novgorod1624142074
Minsk1618151261
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