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Astana vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-70
28-16 20-21 14-19 14-14
Position#13
Record10-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.9
Astana 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#14
Record0-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game89.1
RussiaVTB United League· Saryarka Velodrome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Astana v Minsk
06 Mar 2024
AST76
MIN70
15 Nov 2023
AST78
MIN74
01 Feb 2023
AST86
MIN82
11 Jan 2023
AST77
MIN48
17 Mar 2022
AST64
MIN65
25 Apr 2021
AST74
MIN109
09 Nov 2019
AST91
MIN89
17 Mar 2019
AST101
MIN71
04 Mar 2018
AST77
MIN59
04 Dec 2016
AST84
MIN67
14 Nov 2015
AST92
MIN93
21 Dec 2014
AST84
MIN85
22 Feb 2014
AST99
MIN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#10
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A24/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A05/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
76-86 OT
76
86
-10
H10/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A24/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H03/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
14-19
17-19
23-29
23-25
22-18
17-31
21-19
21-15
19-14
23-22
8-20
21-16
18-20
14-17
18-21
21-26
22-16
17-15
20-14
24-13
22-20
16-17
16-16
15-24
23-15
11-24
18-17
14-19
15-20
25-24
15-34
16-20
22-17
13-24
14-21
16-26
16-9
11-21
21-26
154.3Avg total
72.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.382.9159.2-6.636%
Season at home (15)76.880.1156.9-3.347%
Season away (13)75.886.2161.9-10.423%
Last 10 (10)72.881.5154.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)68.681.4150.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.284.9161.1-8.629%
vs Similar (4)78.876.8155.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.579.0162.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A07/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A11/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H14/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
63-105
63
105
-42
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A03/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
18-28
20-22
14-30
13-28
17-24
11-30
28-14
23-24
11-19
26-18
19-25
19-15
11-27
21-15
11-19
14-22
19-29
15-22
11-22
18-20
11-22
12-21
18-25
16-32
21-26
15-27
11-20
17-17
18-21
13-25
23-16
17-18
25-29
19-13
16-29
12-19
11-15
21-22
14-25
156.8Avg total
66.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.889.1158.9-19.30%
Season at home (14)71.689.8161.4-18.20%
Season away (15)68.188.4156.5-20.30%
Last 10 (10)66.989.9156.8-23.00%
Last 5 (5)65.688.4154.0-22.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.889.1158.9-19.30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)105.063.0168.0+42.0100%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -6.0-6.0
AstanaMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A24/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/03
VTB United League
75.4Avg total
38.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.180.1-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.639.677.2-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.642.983.4-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.975.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.673.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.341.781.0-2.450%-
vs Similar (4)39.841.581.2-1.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)33.533.066.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A07/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H14/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H21/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A24/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A03/02
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A03/03
VTB United League
79.0Avg total
33.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.444.679.9-9.210%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.546.080.5-11.57%-
Last 30 away (16)36.143.379.4-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)33.145.979.0-12.80%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.877.0-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.645.079.6-10.57%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)59.031.090.0+28.0100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLLLWWLLLL
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#14
-32.5
Net rating
-33.5
82.8
Offensive rating
91.1
115.3
Defensive rating
124.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
26.7%
Turnover %
22.8%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
31.9%
60.7%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Astana   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astana wins
4
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Minsk v Astana84-89 OT
15/11/23Astana v Minsk78-74
26/03/23Minsk v Astana84-69
01/02/23Astana v Minsk86-82
11/01/23Astana v Minsk77-48
25/12/22Minsk v Astana65-76
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HNizhny Novgorod64-82
12/02/24HSaratov65-82
01/02/24HEnisey69-97
28/01/24ARuna Moscow67-80
24/01/24ASamara78-66
20/01/24HMBA Moscow80-71
14/01/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg71-74
10/01/24HParma Perm76-86 OT
05/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban83-93
24/12/23ASaratov75-84
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ASaratov58-81
13/02/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg77-89
10/02/24ASamara71-79
03/02/24ASaratov63-105
29/01/24HParma Perm59-88
24/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban59-95
21/01/24HRuna Moscow62-76
14/01/24HMBA Moscow79-86
11/01/24AZenit Petersburg69-96
07/01/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg72-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL47%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %36%47%23%
Points / game76.376.875.8
Allowed / game82.980.186.2
Point differential-6.6-3.3-10.4
Avg total159.2156.9161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %11%13%8%
Minsk
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.871.668.1
Allowed / game89.189.888.4
Point differential-19.3-18.2-20.3
Avg total158.9161.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan2923679%85.974.6+11.3
2 CSKA Moscow2922776%86.777.1+9.6
3 Lokomotiv Kuban2920969%84.678.7+5.9
4 Zenit Petersburg2819968%82.172.9+9.3
5 Parma Perm28171161%79.076.0+3.0
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg31181358%81.579.8+1.7
7 Enisey29161355%84.282.6+1.6
8 Samara30161453%78.780.3-1.6
9 Saratov29131645%78.780.2-1.5
10 Runa Moscow29121741%78.181.2-3.1
11 Astana28101836%76.382.9-6.6
12 MBA Moscow2992031%75.179.1-4.0
13 Nizhny Novgorod2982128%72.678.6-6.1
14 Minsk290290%69.889.1-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana2820141476
Minsk1621191470
← all games of the day
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