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Nizhny Novgorod vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2014
Tip-off: 15:40
Final 53-79
14-22 11-17 14-27 14-13
Position#7
Record15-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#9
Record12-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.1
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Semi-finals
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A19/02
Eurocup
Nymburk
#16
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H23/02
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A04/03
Eurocup
Donetsk
#10
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H09/03
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H12/03
Eurocup
Turow Zgorzelec
#15
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A16/03
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A19/03
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H23/03
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H26/03
Eurocup
Valencia
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A01/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-25
15-17
23-16
25-20
16-17
23-25
31-11
6-18
29-16
17-23
19-31
–
–
–
–
15-8
26-25
24-16
30-22
17-17
23-14
26-21
26-26
22-21
18-15
16-21
22-24
18-18
28-26
21-17
30-33
15-21
25-16
23-13
25-22
23-20
9-21
17-22
26-21
150.4Avg total
78.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.273.2153.4+7.071%
Season at home (10)85.568.7154.2+16.890%
Season away (11)75.477.3152.6-1.955%
Last 10 (10)78.971.5150.4+7.470%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.575.5144.0-7.00%
vs Similar (7)75.172.7147.9+2.471%
vs Weaker (21)81.771.2152.9+10.476%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#1
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H05/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A08/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A12/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H19/03
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A22/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A25/03
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H29/03
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H01/04
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A06/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
8-10
19-20
20-17
21-21
20-22
21-13
23-20
20-27
19-20
20-22
23-28
22-22
17-8
23-25
29-28
22-17
29-5
22-15
13-17
23-20
15-18
21-27
32-12
19-16
17-17
23-22
14-23
18-19
18-17
12-12
21-16
20-23
21-9
22-17
21-26
30-24
19-29
27-12
10-16
156.6Avg total
82.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.572.1156.7+12.457%
Season at home (11)89.267.6156.8+21.582%
Season away (10)79.477.1156.5+2.330%
Last 10 (10)82.274.4156.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)80.675.0155.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.089.0170.0-8.00%
vs Similar (7)80.981.7162.6-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.070.9154.9+13.086%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
Nizhny NovgorodValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/02
Eurocup
Nymburk
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/02
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/03
Eurocup
Turow Zgorzelec
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/03
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/03
Eurocup
Enisey
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/03
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/03
Eurocup
Valencia
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/04
Eurocup
76.6Avg total
39.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.036.476.4+3.672%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.576.7+5.677%-
Last 30 away (16)39.137.276.2+1.969%-
Last 10 (9)39.437.176.6+2.378%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.877.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)29.034.563.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.474.3-2.629%-
vs Weaker (20)42.536.078.5+6.695%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#1
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H05/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H16/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H19/03
Eurocup
Baloncesto Valladolid
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A25/03
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/03
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H01/04
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A06/04
ACB
76.2Avg total
40.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.678.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.234.676.8+7.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.741.179.8-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.676.2+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.048.081.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.637.776.3+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.936.878.6+5.162%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nizhny Novgorod wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
01/04/14Valencia v Nizhny Novgorod84-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/14AValencia75-84
26/03/14HHapoel M. Jerusalem88-72
23/03/14HEnisey97-94
19/03/14AHapoel M. Jerusalem78-81
16/03/14ATurow Zgorzelec92-78
12/03/14HBesiktas95-71
09/03/14HDonetsk20-0
04/03/14ABesiktas71-88
23/02/14HNymburk95-73
19/02/14ACrvena zvezda78-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/14AGran Canaria86-81
01/04/14HNizhny Novgorod84-75
29/03/14HObradoiro CAB69-64
25/03/14AAlba Berlin73-78
22/03/14ABaloncesto Valladolid91-77
19/03/14HAlba Berlin86-54
16/03/14HUnicaja91-83
12/03/14AKhimki M.82-97
08/03/14AMurcia85-76
05/03/14HKhimki M.75-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nizhny Novgorod
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game80.285.575.4
Allowed / game73.268.777.3
Point differential+7.0+16.8-1.9
Avg total153.4154.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%90%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Valencia
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%82%30%
Points / game84.589.279.4
Allowed / game72.167.677.1
Point differential+12.4+21.5+2.3
Avg total156.7156.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan2220291%80.564.4+16.0
2 Khimki M.1816289%86.273.8+12.3
3 Alba Berlin2016480%77.372.3+5.0
4 Nizhny Novgorod2115671%80.273.2+7.0
5 Budivelnyk107370%81.480.2+1.2
6 Cantu1611569%84.477.4+7.0
7 Oostende1611569%75.477.2-1.8
8 Besiktas1812667%73.272.7+0.5
9 Rytas85362%81.982.5-0.6
10 Ulm1811761%79.078.7+0.3
11 Hapoel M. Jerusalem2012860%80.278.8+1.4
12 Crvena zvezda127558%79.876.2+3.6
13 Valencia2112957%84.572.1+12.4
14 Sassari1810856%87.184.5+2.6
15 Khimik1810856%75.073.3+1.7
16 Ankara Kolejliler2011955%77.078.1-1.1
17 Tecnyconta Zaragoza168850%78.572.8+5.8
18 Banvit168850%79.673.9+5.6
19 Bilbao168850%84.381.1+3.2
20 Gravelines-Dunkerque168850%75.572.7+2.8
21 Cedevita168850%76.974.3+2.6
22 Nanterre84450%80.279.2+1.0
23 Petrol Olimpija168850%74.674.3+0.3
24 Le Mans105550%71.971.8+0.1
25 Bamberg63350%79.279.2+0.0
26 Oldenburg105550%78.979.7-0.8
27 Bisons Loimaa105550%75.076.9-1.9
28 Bonn105550%78.580.5-2.0
29 Maccabi Haifa168850%71.976.2-4.3
30 PAOK105550%69.775.2-5.5
31 VEF Riga105550%72.178.2-6.1
32 Nymburk1881044%76.477.2-0.7
33 Radnicki167944%81.581.5+0.0
34 Karsiyaka167944%77.780.7-3.0
35 Neptunas104640%81.480.7+0.7
36 Chalon/Saone104640%77.978.6-0.7
37 Academic104640%72.875.6-2.8
38 Levallois104640%68.773.3-4.6
39 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%70.679.4-8.8
40 Panionios1661038%74.179.2-5.1
41 Siena62433%76.880.2-3.3
42 Strasbourg62433%74.277.8-3.7
43 Virtus Roma103730%76.177.7-1.6
44 Spartak St. Petersburg103730%73.376.1-2.8
45 Buducnost103730%77.280.2-3.0
46 CSU Ploiesti103730%79.484.2-4.8
47 Igokea103730%75.680.8-5.2
48 BC Kalev/Cramo103730%67.376.4-9.1
49 Spirou Charleroi103730%70.680.6-10.0
50 Varese102820%73.081.1-8.1
51 Alba Fehervar102820%72.080.7-8.7
52 Artland102820%72.182.0-9.9
53 Belfius Mons102820%62.080.7-18.7
54 Zielona Gora61517%70.881.0-10.2
55 Cibona101910%77.082.7-5.7
56 MZT Skopje101910%68.482.0-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nizhny Novgorod1411141453
Valencia2217271379
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