NLEX Road Warriors vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2022

Tip-off: 07:00

Final 79-93

26-12 12-28 17-24 24-29

Position#3

Record8-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game109.2

Allowed / game101.5

NLEX Road Warriors

Alaska Aces 🏆

Position#7

Record6-5

FormWLWLL

Points / game90.3

Allowed / game91.5

Governors CupGovernors Cup - Quarter-finals

Other2021

Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alaska Aces winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NorthPort

120-115 OT

120

115

A10/12

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

102-100

102

100

H15/12

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#11

116-86

116

+30

A18/12

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

93-102

102

-9

H25/12

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

100-110

100

110

-10

A11/02

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

109-112

109

112

-3

H16/02

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

117-97

117

+20

A18/02

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

106-89

106

+17

A23/02

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

109-100 OT

109

100

H25/02

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

115-103

115

103

+12

H04/03

Governors Cup

30-19

27-31

27-25

18-27

29-21

22-25

25-24

26-30

23-20

24-27

30-19

39-20

18-26

25-23

24-23

26-30

18-33

27-29

29-26

26-22

25-22

31-32

32-23

21-35

34-14

24-27

34-35

25-21

38-17

20-25

30-19

18-28

22-31

16-24

32-17

27-25

21-33

32-25

30-19

32-26

210.1Avg total

108.7Scored

101.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	109.2	101.5	210.6	+7.7	73%
Season at home (6)	107.0	103.2	210.2	+3.8	67%
Season away (5)	111.8	99.4	211.2	+12.4	80%
Last 10 (10)	108.7	101.4	210.1	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	111.2	100.2	211.4	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	97.0	106.0	203.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (11)	100.0	101.1	201.1	-1.1	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	105.1	92.1	197.2	+13.1	76%

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska Aces Philippines

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Miguel Beermen

99-94

A10/12

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

77-80

-3

H12/12

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

77-81

-4

A17/12

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

98-75

+23

A22/12

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

80-74

H17/02

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#11

102-97

102

A19/02

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

89-106

106

-17

H23/02

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

94-93

H26/02

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

99-104

104

-5

H03/03

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

91-118

118

-27

A06/03

Governors Cup

25-28

28-23

24-17

22-26

18-14

20-20

21-22

18-24

15-9

20-21

27-32

15-19

21-24

29-19

23-17

25-15

26-16

13-23

21-21

20-14

20-25

22-23

24-35

36-14

17-38

25-20

19-30

28-18

23-19

29-28

29-22

13-24

20-31

27-17

27-33

25-23

18-37

27-24

22-26

24-31

182.8Avg total

90.6Scored

92.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	90.3	91.5	181.8	-1.3	55%
Season at home (6)	87.7	90.3	178.0	-2.7	50%
Season away (5)	93.4	93.0	186.4	+0.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	92.2	182.8	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	103.6	198.6	-8.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	89.4	100.7	190.1	-11.3	10%
vs Similar (14)	88.1	87.6	175.7	+0.6	57%
vs Weaker (6)	99.5	90.0	189.5	+9.5	83%

This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NLEX Road WarriorsAlaska Aces

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	24.4	49.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	24.6	48.4	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	25.7	24.2	49.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	23.6	49.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	23.4	51.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	22.5	48.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	28.6	51.3	-6.0	9%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	26.2	21.9	48.1	+4.4	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.1	41.9	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	24.1	44.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	30.0	49.6	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.9	25.3	43.2	-7.4	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	24.0	47.8	-0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	26.8	51.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	26.6	51.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	28.0	55.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.1	23.2	48.3	+1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	23.1	45.4	-0.7	35%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.3	45.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.9	43.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.4	48.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.6	20.2	42.9	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	24.5	46.8	-2.2	33%	-

NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NorthPort

57-50

A10/12

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

51-46

H15/12

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#11

47-47

A18/12

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

43-49

-6

H25/12

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

45-62

-17

A11/02

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

56-54

H16/02

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

58-41

+17

A18/02

Governors Cup

Alaska Aces

58-42

+16

A23/02

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

38-55

-17

H25/02

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

53-58

-5

H04/03

Governors Cup

101.0Avg total

50.6Scored

50.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.5	47.8	96.4	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	47.5	48.6	96.2	-1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	49.3	47.2	96.5	+2.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.6	50.4	101.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	50.0	102.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	52.5	50.5	103.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (11)	47.7	51.8	99.5	-4.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	48.6	44.9	93.5	+3.6	59%	-

This opponent (Alaska Aces) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alaska AcesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Miguel Beermen

53-51

A10/12

Governors Cup

Barangay Ginebra San Miguel

38-34

H12/12

Governors Cup

TNT Tropang Giga

35-30

A17/12

Governors Cup

Blackwater Bossing

#12

50-43

A22/12

Governors Cup

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters

#10

39-39

H17/02

Governors Cup

Terrafirma Dyip

#11

42-48

-6

A19/02

Governors Cup

NLEX Road Warriors

42-58

-16

H23/02

Governors Cup

Meralco Bolts

52-47

H26/02

Governors Cup

Phoenix Fuelmasters

47-48

-1

H03/03

Governors Cup

Magnolia Hotshots

45-61

-16

A06/03

Governors Cup

90.2Avg total

44.3Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	43.9	87.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	44.8	88.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	42.9	85.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	45.9	90.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	52.4	98.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	41.7	47.1	88.8	-5.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.0	40.7	84.7	+3.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.8	45.8	89.7	-2.0	33%	-

This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.9	23.2	50.1	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	26.8	22.5	49.3	+4.4	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	26.9	23.8	50.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.3	23.0	52.3	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	22.6	54.2	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	25.5	28.0	53.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.6	23.8	49.5	+1.8	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	27.8	22.2	50.1	+5.6	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	25.4	49.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	24.9	49.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	26.0	49.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	25.5	49.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	29.2	53.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	23.6	26.4	50.0	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.4	24.7	48.1	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.0	25.5	51.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	23.7	49.2	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	26.5	25.1	51.6	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.8	22.6	47.4	+2.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	26.4	52.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	27.0	51.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	27.5	46.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.6	23.8	49.5	+1.8	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	26.3	23.1	49.4	+3.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	23.3	47.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.0	47.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.7	26.1	48.8	-3.4	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	29.7	18.7	48.3	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.4	46.9	99.3	+5.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	53.4	47.5	100.9	+5.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	51.7	46.4	98.1	+5.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.1	49.4	104.5	+5.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.2	49.6	105.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.5	55.5	100.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	51.3	47.6	98.9	+3.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	54.1	45.4	99.5	+8.8	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	48.2	95.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.0	48.1	97.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	48.3	93.6	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	46.3	92.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	51.2	100.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	46.3	52.5	98.8	-6.2	10%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.1	46.9	91.0	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	55.7	44.2	99.8	+11.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NLEX Road Warriors wins

Alaska Aces wins

Date	Game	Score
23/02/22	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	89-106
02/09/21	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	84-74
09/11/20	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	122-119 OT
20/11/19	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	90-106
29/05/19	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	100-87
05/04/19	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	88-80
13/03/19	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	91-70
26/10/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	116-110 OT
15/06/18	NLEX Road Warriors v Alaska Aces	111-120
07/03/18	Alaska Aces v NLEX Road Warriors	83-87

NLEX Road Warriorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/22	H	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	115-103
25/02/22	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	109-100 OT
23/02/22	A	Alaska Aces	106-89
18/02/22	A	Blackwater Bossing	117-97
16/02/22	H	Magnolia Hotshots	109-112
11/02/22	A	Meralco Bolts	100-110
25/12/21	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	93-102
18/12/21	A	Terrafirma Dyip	116-86
15/12/21	H	TNT Tropang Giga	102-100
10/12/21	A	NorthPort	120-115 OT

Alaska Aceslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/22	A	Magnolia Hotshots	91-118
03/03/22	H	Phoenix Fuelmasters	99-104
26/02/22	H	Meralco Bolts	94-93
23/02/22	H	NLEX Road Warriors	89-106
19/02/22	A	Terrafirma Dyip	102-97
17/02/22	H	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	80-74
22/12/21	A	Blackwater Bossing	98-75
17/12/21	A	TNT Tropang Giga	77-81
12/12/21	H	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	77-80
10/12/21	A	San Miguel Beermen	99-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors

Governors Cup 2021

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	73%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WWLWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	67%	80%
Points / game	109.2	107.0	111.8
Allowed / game	101.5	103.2	99.4
Point differential	+7.7	+3.8	+12.4
Avg total	210.6	210.2	211.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	33%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	18%	17%	20%

Alaska Aces

Governors Cup 2021

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	55%
Home	LWLWL	50%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	90.3	87.7	93.4
Allowed / game	91.5	90.3	93.0
Point differential	-1.3	-2.7	+0.4
Avg total	181.8	178.0	186.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Magnolia Hotshots	11	9	2	82%	105.6	93.7	+11.9
2	NLEX Road Warriors	11	8	3	73%	109.2	101.5	+7.7
3	TNT Tropang Giga	11	7	4	64%	99.5	92.5	+7.1
4	Meralco Bolts	11	7	4	64%	98.8	93.7	+5.1
5	San Miguel Beermen	11	7	4	64%	99.5	98.9	+0.6
6	Alaska Aces	11	6	5	55%	90.3	91.5	-1.3
7	Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	11	6	5	55%	102.2	103.8	-1.6
8	Phoenix Fuelmasters	12	6	6	50%	98.9	101.1	-2.2
9	NorthPort	12	5	7	42%	101.0	102.4	-1.4
10	Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	11	3	8	27%	94.3	96.6	-2.4
11	Terrafirma Dyip	11	2	9	18%	100.5	110.4	-9.9
12	Blackwater Bossing	11	1	10	9%	92.3	105.6	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NLEX Road Warriors	26	12	17	24	79
Alaska Aces	12	28	24	29	93

← all games of the day

NLEX Road Warriors vs Alaska Aces Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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