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NLEX Road Warriors vs Phoenix Fuelmasters Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 120-102
33-17 19-25 27-30 41-30
Position#1
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game93.0
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2025
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Phoenix Fuelmasters
31 Oct 2026
NLEX137
PHOE89
25 Oct 2026
NLEX97
PHOE92
05 Apr 2026
NLEX120
PHOE102
01 Jun 2025
NLEX105
PHOE95
10 Nov 2023
NLEX101
PHOE113
04 Feb 2023
NLEX98
PHOE94
08 Oct 2022
NLEX97
PHOE111
25 Dec 2021
NLEX93
PHOE102
10 Oct 2018
NLEX97
PHOE123
07 Jan 2018
NLEX95
PHOE102
30 Jul 2017
NLEX95
PHOE91
27 May 2017
NLEX116
PHOE114
17 Feb 2016
NLEX106
PHOE118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Fuelmasters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
92-108
92
108
-16
H25/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
105-95
105
95
+10
H01/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
A06/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H11/06
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H18/06
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
29-24
23-32
22-31
32-25
23-22
25-27
25-21
15-32
29-14
36-24
27-29
30-22
24-24
22-40
32-27
15-28
22-19
36-22
16-23
27-21
28-31
22-26
15-25
15-25
19-16
26-20
24-20
27-26
30-33
25-21
30-25
21-21
24-22
27-23
25-37
18-30
36-29
38-28
26-26
201.6Avg total
100.4Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)102.8100.5203.2+2.275%
Season at home (2)104.5104.0208.5+0.550%
Season away (2)101.097.0198.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.4101.2201.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.0201.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)90.5102.3192.8-11.80%
vs Similar (14)99.596.7196.2+2.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)100.293.3193.5+6.970%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A11/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
112-119
112
119
-7
H16/05
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
99-109
99
109
-10
H28/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
A01/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
W
118-107
118
107
+11
H04/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
124-109
124
109
+15
H13/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
109-76
109
76
+33
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
133-105
133
105
+28
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
21-34
13-21
29-26
27-24
23-35
22-33
40-27
25-30
18-27
32-33
24-19
25-32
22-23
27-25
21-25
30-28
26-23
26-29
36-27
39-19
26-29
32-37
27-24
27-23
21-27
31-22
22-26
33-17
25-28
15-19
36-12
23-18
26-29
22-26
15-20
25-23
31-23
40-27
37-32
210.1Avg total
106.9Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)107.293.0200.2+14.275%
Season at home (2)97.584.5182.0+13.050%
Season away (2)117.0101.5218.5+15.5100%
Last 10 (10)106.9103.2210.1+3.750%
Last 5 (5)110.696.2206.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)95.9106.1202.0-10.219%
vs Similar (4)107.295.8203.0+11.575%
vs Weaker (5)112.099.0211.0+13.080%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.9+4.9
NLEX Road WarriorsPhoenix Fuelmasters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H01/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H11/06
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/06
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A21/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
96.7Avg total
48.2Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.445.693.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.545.491.9+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)48.345.794.1+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)48.248.596.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.899.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.045.088.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (14)48.648.597.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.341.890.1+6.580%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A11/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H16/05
Philippine Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H28/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A01/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H04/06
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H13/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/03
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/03
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/03
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A25/03
Commissioners Cup
104.4Avg total
52.2Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.950.0100.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.647.9100.5+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)48.552.8101.3-4.223%-
Last 10 (10)52.252.2104.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.247.2102.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.152.0101.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (4)53.241.594.8+11.875%-
vs Weaker (5)56.448.4104.8+8.080%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
-17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
WLWWLLLWWL
Phoenix Fuelmasters
WLWWWWLLLL
#1
League position
#8
-6.6
Net rating
-3.1
105.4
Offensive rating
102.4
112.0
Defensive rating
105.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
31.8%
59.3%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Phoenix Fuelmasters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel118-113
22/03/26HTNT Tropang Giga97-103
15/03/26HMagnolia Hotshots112-105
13/03/26ABlackwater Bossing84-81
21/06/25ARain or Shine Elasto Painters92-103
18/06/25HRain or Shine Elasto Painters89-92
11/06/25HNorthPort108-113
06/06/25AMagnolia Hotshots107-99
01/06/25HPhoenix Fuelmasters105-95
25/05/25HMeralco Bolts92-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ATerrafirma Dyip133-105
21/03/26HMeralco Bolts86-93
15/03/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers109-76
13/03/26AMagnolia Hotshots101-98
13/06/25HBlackwater Bossing124-109
04/06/25HNorthPort118-107
01/06/25ANLEX Road Warriors95-105
28/05/25HRain or Shine Elasto Painters99-109
16/05/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel112-119
11/05/25ASan Miguel Beermen92-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game102.8104.5101.0
Allowed / game100.5104.097.0
Point differential+2.2+0.5+4.0
Avg total203.2208.5198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game107.297.5117.0
Allowed / game93.084.5101.5
Point differential+14.2+13.0+15.5
Avg total200.2182.0218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters440100%122.0103.8+18.2
2 Phoenix Fuelmasters43175%107.293.0+14.2
3 Meralco Bolts43175%105.597.0+8.5
4 Terrafirma Dyip43175%106.8100.8+6.0
5 NLEX Road Warriors43175%102.8100.5+2.2
6 TNT Tropang Giga32167%110.0100.3+9.7
7 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel32167%107.3101.3+6.0
8 San Miguel Beermen42250%104.2107.5-3.2
9 Magnolia Hotshots41325%103.8104.8-1.0
10 Blackwater Bossing41325%90.2106.2-16.0
11 Titan Ultra Giant Risers41325%95.5112.8-17.2
12 Converge FiberXers51420%96.4103.2-6.8
13 Macau Black Bears5050%99.8111.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors33192741120
Phoenix Fuelmasters17253030102
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