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NLEX Road Warriors vs Phoenix Fuelmasters Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 97-92
29-26 27-22 21-25 20-19
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game102.0
PhilippinesGovernors CupPBA Governors' Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2025
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Phoenix Fuelmasters
31 Oct 2026
NLEX137
PHOE89
25 Oct 2026
NLEX97
PHOE92
05 Apr 2026
NLEX120
PHOE102
01 Jun 2025
NLEX105
PHOE95
10 Nov 2023
NLEX101
PHOE113
04 Feb 2023
NLEX98
PHOE94
08 Oct 2022
NLEX97
PHOE111
25 Dec 2021
NLEX93
PHOE102
10 Oct 2018
NLEX97
PHOE123
07 Jan 2018
NLEX95
PHOE102
30 Jul 2017
NLEX95
PHOE91
27 May 2017
NLEX116
PHOE114
17 Feb 2016
NLEX106
PHOE118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Fuelmasters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#12
W
135-100
135
100
+35
H14/07
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
110-96
110
96
+14
H26/07
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#2
W
119-107
119
107
+12
A01/08
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H04/08
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#8
L
109-114
109
114
-5
A07/08
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#3
W
118-111 OT
118
111
+7
H11/08
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#2
L
110-112
110
112
-2
A14/08
Governors Cup
Macau Black Bears
#13
W
138-78
138
78
+60
H07/10
Governors Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#12
W
147-115
147
115
+32
H14/10
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
L
133-135
133
135
-2
A21/10
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
31-19
36-39
38-18
30-21
34-25
26-25
20-25
42-27
21-37
25-24
31-19
26-18
30-23
14-24
18-18
30-34
35-26
21-28
23-26
31-22
29-31
25-26
22-28
30-22
21-29
28-23
31-38
38-23
32-20
35-18
33-17
22-27
43-38
37-14
45-36
32-30
36-30
44-36
21-39
225.8Avg total
120.7Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.5102.2220.7+16.375%
Season at home (7)119.697.6217.1+22.0100%
Season away (5)117.0108.6225.6+8.440%
Last 10 (10)120.7105.1225.8+15.670%
Last 5 (5)129.2110.2239.4+19.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)102.0100.4202.4+1.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)111.0100.5211.6+10.565%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H11/07
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
W
98-97
98
97
+1
A15/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A19/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
98-105
98
105
-7
H21/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H28/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A05/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
101-115
101
115
-14
A12/08
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
H16/10
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A18/10
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
103-133
103
133
-30
H23/10
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
23-21
30-18
19-15
31-22
19-34
23-19
25-22
32-15
16-21
18-19
15-23
25-30
25-30
23-20
25-25
20-22
34-31
24-19
24-21
32-30
27-32
27-15
14-29
33-28
16-32
35-22
17-33
20-27
22-25
32-24
31-25
28-36
17-29
15-21
29-20
30-27
32-42
22-41
19-23
199.5Avg total
97.5Scored
102.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.5102.0199.5-4.550%
Season at home (5)101.2103.6204.8-2.460%
Season away (5)93.8100.4194.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)97.5102.0199.5-4.550%
Last 5 (5)99.6112.2211.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)96.3104.0200.2-7.735%
vs Similar (5)107.0105.8212.8+1.260%
vs Weaker (5)114.8101.0215.8+13.880%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
NLEX Road WarriorsPhoenix Fuelmasters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#12
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H14/07
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H26/07
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#2
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A01/08
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#3
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H04/08
Governors Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#8
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A07/08
Governors Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#3
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H11/08
Governors Cup
Converge FiberXers
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A14/08
Governors Cup
Macau Black Bears
#13
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H07/10
Governors Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#12
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H14/10
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A21/10
Governors Cup
114.9Avg total
62.3Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.249.9102.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.850.0104.8+4.859%-
Last 30 away (13)48.949.898.7-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)62.352.6114.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)62.854.4117.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.651.096.6-5.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)54.349.6103.8+4.761%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H11/07
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A15/07
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/07
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H28/07
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#11
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A05/08
Governors Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#5
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A12/08
Governors Cup
Meralco Bolts
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/10
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#6
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A18/10
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H23/10
Governors Cup
107.4Avg total
50.8Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.553.6104.0-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.553.6106.1-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)47.853.5101.4-5.715%-
Last 10 (10)50.856.6107.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)51.461.6113.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)48.355.3103.6-7.020%-
vs Similar (5)50.249.299.4+1.040%-
vs Weaker (5)59.451.0110.4+8.480%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
-17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
LWWLWLWWWW
Phoenix Fuelmasters
LLWLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#10
-6.6
Net rating
-3.1
105.4
Offensive rating
102.4
112.0
Defensive rating
105.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
31.8%
59.3%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Phoenix Fuelmasters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ASan Miguel Beermen133-135
14/10/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers147-115
07/10/26HMacau Black Bears138-78
14/08/26AConverge FiberXers110-112
11/08/26HTNT Tropang Giga118-111 OT
07/08/26ATerrafirma Dyip109-114
04/08/26HTNT Tropang Giga88-83
01/08/26AConverge FiberXers119-107
26/07/26HSan Miguel Beermen110-96
14/07/26HTitan Ultra Giant Risers135-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters103-133
18/10/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel89-106
16/10/26HMeralco Bolts105-101
12/08/26AMagnolia Hotshots101-115
05/08/26ABlackwater Bossing100-106
28/07/26HBlackwater Bossing102-93
21/07/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters98-105
19/07/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel81-78
15/07/26AMeralco Bolts98-97
11/07/26HMagnolia Hotshots98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%100%40%
Points / game118.5119.6117.0
Allowed / game102.297.6108.6
Point differential+16.3+22.0+8.4
Avg total220.7217.1225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Governors Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game97.5101.293.8
Allowed / game102.0103.6100.4
Point differential-4.5-2.4-6.6
Avg total199.5204.8194.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors129375%118.5102.2+16.3
2 San Miguel Beermen129375%121.3108.6+12.8
3 Magnolia Hotshots107370%101.094.2+6.8
4 Converge FiberXers128467%122.4111.3+11.1
5 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters106460%109.2109.2+0.0
6 TNT Tropang Giga127558%108.099.2+8.8
7 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel105550%96.694.4+2.2
8 Phoenix Fuelmasters105550%97.5102.0-4.5
9 Terrafirma Dyip125742%111.0111.8-0.8
10 Meralco Bolts104640%99.7102.0-2.3
11 Blackwater Bossing103730%105.3107.5-2.2
12 Titan Ultra Giant Risers1221017%107.0129.0-22.0
13 Macau Black Bears1221017%103.8130.1-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors2927212097
Phoenix Fuelmasters2622251992
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