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NLEX Road Warriors vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 89-92
15-28 22-19 36-22 16-23
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game104.7
PhilippinesPhilippine CupPhilippine Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2024-25
Meetings · NLEX Road Warriors v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
29 Apr 2026
NLEX92
RAIN90
18 Jun 2025
NLEX89
RAIN92
28 Aug 2024
NLEX105
RAIN124
03 May 2024
NLEX104
RAIN120
08 Dec 2023
NLEX101
RAIN113
25 Feb 2023
NLEX110
RAIN99
04 Dec 2022
NLEX100
RAIN110
23 Sep 2022
NLEX96
RAIN90
09 Jul 2022
NLEX86
RAIN96
25 Feb 2022
NLEX109
RAIN100
28 Jun 2019
NLEX100
RAIN97
03 Nov 2018
NLEX101
RAIN107
02 May 2018
NLEX97
RAIN98
26 Jan 2018
NLEX86
RAIN97
17 Mar 2017
NLEX105
RAIN113
10 Jun 2015
NLEX102
RAIN106
03 Feb 2015
NLEX91
RAIN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NLEX Road Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
A12/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H23/04
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H02/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A07/05
Philippine Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
W
117-87
117
87
+30
A14/05
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H23/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
92-108
92
108
-16
H25/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
105-95
105
95
+10
H01/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
107-99
107
99
+8
A06/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H11/06
Philippine Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
28-25
26-23
23-22
21-19
26-16
21-16
23-23
10-17
26-11
16-22
28-22
13-23
24-13
30-17
22-33
33-16
30-28
24-26
30-17
31-23
21-19
24-18
12-23
18-21
29-24
23-32
22-31
32-25
23-22
25-27
25-21
15-32
29-14
36-24
27-29
30-22
24-24
22-40
32-27
189.8Avg total
98.6Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.791.8189.5+5.973%
Season at home (7)93.391.9185.1+1.457%
Season away (4)105.591.8197.2+13.8100%
Last 10 (10)98.691.2189.8+7.480%
Last 5 (5)100.099.6199.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)93.5104.0197.5-10.518%
vs Similar ◀ (10)98.294.1192.3+4.180%
vs Weaker (9)102.892.0194.8+10.878%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#11
W
113-96
113
96
+17
A16/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
128-116
128
116
+12
H27/04
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
L
97-107
97
107
-10
A30/04
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
120-106
120
106
+14
A07/05
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
119-105
119
105
+14
A18/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H21/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
109-99
109
99
+10
A28/05
Philippine Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A04/06
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
111-120
111
120
-9
H07/06
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
H15/06
Philippine Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-31
30-27
27-21
29-28
37-31
36-23
26-34
31-25
23-28
24-31
19-23
37-33
23-35
31-23
29-15
37-21
25-31
30-19
27-34
31-20
14-24
29-33
29-34
30-25
27-18
33-32
19-24
20-21
25-13
28-21
21-30
25-30
18-30
35-33
33-27
21-32
22-13
24-29
13-24
211.7Avg total
107.4Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)106.3104.7211.0+1.555%
Season at home (5)103.4110.8214.2-7.420%
Season away (6)108.799.7208.3+9.083%
Last 10 (10)107.4104.3211.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)99.4102.6202.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.0111.2217.2-5.250%
vs Similar ◀ (19)102.5102.6205.1-0.142%
vs Weaker (7)110.499.6210.0+10.986%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
NLEX Road WarriorsRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A12/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H23/04
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/05
Philippine Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A14/05
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H23/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H01/06
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/06
Philippine Cup
NorthPort
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H11/06
Philippine Cup
91.4Avg total
49.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.192.1+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.545.490.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)48.344.993.2+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)49.541.991.4+7.690%-
Last 5 (5)50.445.295.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.947.490.3-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.846.294.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker (9)50.941.292.1+9.789%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A16/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H27/04
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A30/04
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A07/05
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A18/05
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/05
Philippine Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A28/05
Philippine Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A04/06
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H07/06
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H15/06
Philippine Cup
103.7Avg total
53.1Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.250.7101.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.452.0102.4-1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)51.849.7101.5+2.165%-
Last 10 (10)53.150.6103.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.291.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.056.2106.2-6.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.049.799.7+0.353%-
vs Weaker (7)55.150.3105.4+4.971%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
-17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NLEX Road Warriors
LWWLWWWWWW
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LLWWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#7
-6.6
Net rating
-3.9
105.4
Offensive rating
108.0
112.0
Defensive rating
111.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
32.3%
59.3%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ NLEX Road Warriors   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/25HNorthPort108-113
06/06/25AMagnolia Hotshots107-99
01/06/25HPhoenix Fuelmasters105-95
25/05/25HMeralco Bolts92-108
23/05/25HConverge FiberXers88-83
14/05/25ATerrafirma Dyip117-87
07/05/25ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel89-86
02/05/25HBlackwater Bossing80-72
23/04/25HTNT Tropang Giga91-74
12/04/25ARain or Shine Elasto Painters109-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel80-98
07/06/25HSan Miguel Beermen111-120
04/06/25ATerrafirma Dyip94-85
28/05/25APhoenix Fuelmasters109-99
21/05/25HTNT Tropang Giga103-111
18/05/25AMagnolia Hotshots119-105
07/05/25ABlackwater Bossing120-106
30/04/25AConverge FiberXers97-107
27/04/25HMeralco Bolts128-116
16/04/25ANorthPort113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NLEX Road Warriors
Philippine Cup 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%57%100%
Points / game97.793.3105.5
Allowed / game91.891.991.8
Point differential+5.9+1.4+13.8
Avg total189.5185.1197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Philippine Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%20%83%
Points / game106.3103.4108.7
Allowed / game104.7110.899.7
Point differential+1.5-7.4+9.0
Avg total211.0214.2208.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Miguel Beermen118373%108.093.5+14.5
2 Magnolia Hotshots118373%102.593.3+9.3
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel118373%97.288.8+8.4
4 NLEX Road Warriors118373%97.791.8+5.9
5 Converge FiberXers117464%95.290.3+4.9
6 TNT Tropang Giga116555%93.088.0+5.0
7 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters116555%106.3104.7+1.5
8 Meralco Bolts116555%99.598.9+0.5
9 Phoenix Fuelmasters114736%101.2103.9-2.7
10 Blackwater Bossing112918%92.0104.4-12.4
11 NorthPort112918%97.4109.7-12.4
12 Terrafirma Dyip111109%85.8108.5-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NLEX Road Warriors1522361689
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters2819222392
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