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Norrkoping vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-87 (OT)
14-30 26-11 21-19 18-19 14-8
Position#33
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#14
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H26/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H28/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A01/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A03/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H06/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
A09/05
Basketligan
Budivelnyk
#15
L
51-87
51
87
-36
29avg 29
H21/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
A27/09
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
H03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
no box
H07/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-23
17-16
24-14
18-19
26-27
12-12
21-17
15-23
16-21
16-13
14-20
21-23
14-20
22-20
32-29
26-18
22-20
17-18
24-18
30-18
21-22
18-17
24-24
14-19
8-21
17-25
12-22
25-23
20-21
14-13
31-18
24-29
17-15
13-18
19-29
17-26
22-9
21-21
29-21
158.9Avg total
78.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.880.1158.9-1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.282.2161.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
vs Weaker (28)90.079.5169.5+10.682%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 74
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 74
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 74
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 74
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 74
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
90-100 OT
90
100
-10
no box
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
95-93
95
93
+2
90avg 74
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
69avg 74
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 74
H07/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
18-24
20-16
26-20
27-23
15-19
15-18
13-18
18-21
12-26
21-14
24-16
15-9
22-31
27-15
22-25
18-20
13-24
10-16
29-21
23-30
21-27
27-20
18-12
23-26
26-19
21-12
25-36
10-27
28-20
20-24
24-24
22-27
18-19
20-20
24-16
16-27
24-16
24-20
13-18
167.1Avg total
81.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.985.2167.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)85.690.2175.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.191.1167.2-15.011%
vs Similar (11)83.685.1168.7-1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.680.0161.6+1.650%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
NorrkopingCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H26/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/05
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A09/05
Basketligan
Budivelnyk
#15
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H21/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A27/09
Basketligan
Boras
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/10
Basketligan
80.7Avg total
39.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.184.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.184.3+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.541.184.6+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.680.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (28)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#16
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A01/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/10
BBL
85.5Avg total
39.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.485.1-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.341.581.8-1.229%-
Last 30 away (16)41.146.987.9-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.085.5-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.689.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.446.185.6-6.733%-
vs Similar (11)43.344.187.4-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.043.182.1-4.120%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 51.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.012.0
40.0%
52.5%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws10.06.0
60.0%
73.2%6.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.6
52.4%
52.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
73.2%16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
WLWLWWLLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLLWLLW
#33
League position
#14
-51.9
Net rating
-1.6
77.8
Offensive rating
109.4
129.7
Defensive rating
111.1
41.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
17.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.2%
3-point %
34.8%
42.1%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence77.8 · 109.4Defence129.7 · 111.1Shooting41.7% · 52.3%3-point %29.2% · 34.8%Ball care16.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds17.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.19 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Norrkoping wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
No previous meetings.
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/22HSodertalje89-77
03/10/22HBoras73-91
27/09/22AUppsala90-75
21/09/22HBudivelnyk51-87
09/05/22AJamtland93-81
06/05/22HJamtland89-74
03/05/22AJamtland89-92
01/05/22AJamtland61-77
28/04/22HJamtland77-75
26/04/22HJamtland76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/22HGottingen77-81
04/10/22ABamberg84-82
02/10/22HOldenburg82-95
07/05/22HChemnitz95-93
01/05/22AUlm90-100 OT
29/04/22HFrankfurt70-81
26/04/22HGottingen86-80
23/04/22ALudwigsburg75-77
20/04/22HAlba Berlin70-78
16/04/22HBayreuth90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen110100%100.066.0+34.0
2 Anwil Wloclawek110100%113.089.0+24.0
3 Cholet220100%82.060.5+21.5
4 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%87.569.5+18.0
5 Karhu Basket110100%77.062.0+15.0
6 Keravnos110100%89.077.0+12.0
7 Parnu110100%95.083.0+12.0
8 Hapoel Haifa220100%71.562.5+9.0
9 Balkan110100%91.083.0+8.0
10 SCM Craiova43175%71.264.8+6.5
11 Sporting CP32167%90.393.7-3.3
12 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
13 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
14 Antwerp Giants21150%80.579.0+1.5
15 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
16 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
17 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
18 Rilski Sportist31233%72.781.3-8.7
19 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
20 Levice1010%83.091.0-8.0
21 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
22 Voluntari1010%61.070.0-9.0
23 Donar Groningen1010%65.075.0-10.0
24 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
25 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
26 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
27 FC Porto1010%83.095.0-12.0
28 Opava1010%77.089.0-12.0
29 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
30 Kormend1010%62.077.0-15.0
31 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
32 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
33 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
34 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Norrkoping142621181493
Crailsheim Merlins30111919887
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