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Ludwigsburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-75
21-18 26-12 14-21 16-24
Position#4
Record20-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#8
Record15-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyBBLRound 32
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins
13 Jan 2024
LUD106
CME59
08 Apr 2023
LUD82
CME77
23 Apr 2022
LUD77
CME75
06 Dec 2020
LUD97
CME88
15 Mar 2020
LUD v CME
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
LUD82
CME70
30 Dec 2015
LUD100
CME65
12 Oct 2014
LUD91
CME80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
66avg 69
A19/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#17
W
64-58
64
58
+6
45avg 69
A23/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 69
H27/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 69
H30/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 69
A02/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
59avg 69
A05/04
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
64avg 69
H09/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
92-75
92
75
+17
80avg 69
H13/04
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
58-77
58
77
-19
38avg 69
H16/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A19/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-15
22-19
23-17
11-16
21-16
14-10
18-16
22-24
18-8
22-25
28-15
28-16
14-23
20-16
15-20
29-35
20-27
21-19
18-16
13-18
21-19
22-18
17-21
18-12
15-15
22-18
19-16
16-19
24-14
24-24
28-18
13-18
23-12
11-21
11-26
16-11
21-12
19-19
23-31
151.3Avg total
77.4Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.774.8154.4+4.969%
Season at home (14)83.474.3157.7+9.186%
Season away (15)76.175.3151.4+0.953%
Last 10 (10)77.473.9151.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)75.272.4147.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.075.0151.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)71.573.8145.3-2.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.372.0155.3+11.393%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 77
A12/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
41avg 77
A27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
63-113
63
113
-50
54avg 77
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 77
H09/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 77
A12/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 77
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 77
H20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
17-25
17-23
25-21
24-23
25-30
11-19
17-13
14-29
18-19
17-29
15-16
23-17
19-27
20-23
19-24
14-25
19-33
17-32
13-23
25-18
14-23
22-29
29-23
17-22
17-20
25-18
28-12
23-20
25-24
19-24
20-16
26-25
18-24
20-16
26-20
27-23
15-19
15-18
13-18
166.8Avg total
78.3Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.885.7170.5-0.952%
Season at home (14)86.379.9166.2+6.479%
Season away (15)83.491.1174.5-7.727%
Last 10 (10)78.388.5166.8-10.230%
Last 5 (5)84.882.4167.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.885.3161.1-9.540%
vs Similar (11)83.683.1166.7+0.555%
vs Weaker (9)82.979.9162.8+3.056%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
LudwigsburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A19/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#17
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A23/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H27/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/04
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H09/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/04
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/04
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A19/04
Champions League
73.1Avg total
37.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.374.3+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.135.374.4+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.274.2-0.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.473.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.066.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (14)34.635.169.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.737.478.1+3.360%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A12/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A12/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#16
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
BBL
86.3Avg total
39.5Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.984.6-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.080.5+0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.845.888.6-3.053%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.886.3-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.243.383.5-3.150%-
vs Similar (11)44.542.586.9+2.055%-
vs Weaker (9)39.943.082.9-3.122%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.6
50.6%
54.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.911.2
66.3%
73.1%11.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.517.6
59.7%
54.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.9
32.9%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
73.1%14.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLWWLLWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
+4.3
Net rating
-14.1
106.1
Offensive rating
110.6
101.8
Defensive rating
124.7
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.9%
3-point %
32.9%
53.5%
Assist %
56.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 110.6Defence101.8 · 124.7Shooting48.3% · 54.4%3-point %29.9% · 32.9%Ball care14.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/22ACluj-Napoca79-73
16/04/22HBayern58-77
13/04/22HCluj-Napoca92-75
09/04/22HUlm74-61
05/04/22ACluj-Napoca73-76
02/04/22ABonn88-97
30/03/22HSyntainics MBC77-75
27/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig90-72
23/03/22AGalatasaray64-58
19/03/22AHamburg79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/22HAlba Berlin70-78
16/04/22HBayreuth90-85
12/04/22ABasketball Braunschweig87-84
09/04/22HHeidelberg87-72
06/04/22HSyntainics MBC90-93
01/04/22AHamburg63-113
29/03/22ABamberg81-91
27/03/22ABayern64-93
16/03/22ALeiden77-85
12/03/22As.Oliver Wurzburg74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %69%86%53%
Points / game79.783.476.1
Allowed / game74.874.375.3
Point differential+4.9+9.1+0.9
Avg total154.4157.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%79%27%
Points / game84.886.383.4
Allowed / game85.779.991.1
Point differential-0.9+6.4-7.7
Avg total170.5166.2174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin2923679%85.372.3+13.0
2 Bonn3124777%89.081.0+7.9
3 Bayern2922776%81.274.4+6.7
4 Ludwigsburg2920969%79.774.8+4.9
5 Ulm30201067%82.879.5+3.3
6 Chemnitz30201067%80.578.3+2.2
7 Hamburg30171357%85.481.1+4.2
8 Gottingen30161453%80.882.1-1.2
9 Crailsheim Merlins29151452%84.885.7-0.9
10 Bamberg31151648%84.087.5-3.5
11 s.Oliver Wurzburg31131842%83.085.7-2.7
12 Oldenburg32122038%85.186.7-1.7
13 Basketball Braunschweig30111937%84.084.8-0.8
14 Heidelberg31112035%78.482.5-4.1
15 Bayreuth32112134%79.185.4-6.3
16 Syntainics MBC32102231%84.189.9-5.8
17 Frankfurt3172423%73.180.4-7.3
18 Giessen2962321%79.986.0-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2126141677
Crailsheim Merlins1812212475
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