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Ulm vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 May 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-90 (OT)
30-23 27-21 20-27 12-18 11-1
Position#5
Record20-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.7
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record16-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.1
GermanyBBLRound 34
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins
25 Nov 2023
ULM94
CME87
10 Dec 2022
ULM91
CME80
01 May 2022
ULM100
CME90
29 Apr 2021
ULM93
CME78
10 Jun 2020
ULM92
CME80
11 Apr 2020
ULM v CME
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
ULM99
CME87
28 Mar 2016
ULM83
CME79
31 Jan 2015
ULM86
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
H02/04
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
71-103
71
103
-32
58avg 77
A05/04
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 77
A09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 77
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
A15/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
A17/04
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 77
A19/04
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 77
A22/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A26/04
Eurocup
Bonn
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
64avg 77
H29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
26-20
13-18
21-16
16-29
14-23
15-30
26-21
12-18
15-15
18-22
16-19
20-16
21-24
22-14
27-20
18-25
24-18
16-27
15-8
18-19
25-18
22-28
23-23
18-17
14-18
19-19
28-19
18-15
22-18
17-18
23-22
17-25
28-18
17-24
15-16
17-24
20-24
21-18
16-19
164.2Avg total
80.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.579.7162.2+2.865%
Season at home (14)80.379.5159.8+0.857%
Season away (17)84.479.9164.2+4.571%
Last 10 (10)80.284.0164.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)84.885.8170.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.484.9165.2-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.477.6155.0-0.355%
vs Weaker (11)85.880.9166.7+4.973%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
A29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
63-113
63
113
-50
54avg 76
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
90-93
90
93
-3
87avg 76
H06/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 76
H09/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 76
A12/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 76
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 76
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 76
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 76
H29/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-27
20-23
19-24
14-25
19-33
17-32
13-23
25-18
14-23
22-29
29-23
17-22
17-20
25-18
28-12
23-20
25-24
19-24
20-16
26-25
18-24
20-16
26-20
27-23
15-19
15-18
13-18
18-21
12-26
21-14
24-16
15-9
22-31
27-15
22-25
18-20
13-24
10-16
29-21
165.3Avg total
79.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.185.1169.2-1.050%
Season at home (16)85.280.0165.2+5.275%
Season away (16)82.990.2173.1-7.325%
Last 10 (10)79.985.4165.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.2158.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.186.9163.0-10.830%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.582.4165.9+1.160%
vs Weaker (10)81.680.0161.6+1.650%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
UlmCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/04
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A05/04
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A17/04
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A19/04
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
Eurocup
Bonn
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H29/04
BBL
79.8Avg total
38.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.380.9+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.982.9+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.879.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.279.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.941.583.4+0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.339.378.5+0.045%-
vs Weaker (11)40.940.581.5+0.464%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A01/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A12/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#16
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H29/04
BBL
83.1Avg total
38.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.5-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.980.7-1.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.045.987.9-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.045.183.1-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.481.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.445.284.6-5.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.542.486.9+2.160%-
vs Weaker (10)39.043.182.1-4.120%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.1
53.8%
54.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.2
32.7%
35.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.2
67.9%
73.1%15.2
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.8
56.7%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.7
35.7%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
73.1%14.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWWLLWLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLWWWLLL
#5
League position
#8
-7.5
Net rating
-6.3
106.3
Offensive rating
110.9
113.9
Defensive rating
117.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
35.7%
54.4%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 110.9Defence113.9 · 117.2Shooting52.0% · 55.2%3-point %32.7% · 35.7%Ball care18.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ulm wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/22HBonn74-85
26/04/22AVirtus Bologna77-83
22/04/22ABayreuth80-73
19/04/22AJoventut Badalona79-73
17/04/22ABamberg114-115 OT
15/04/22AAlba Berlin73-78
12/04/22HHeidelberg90-74
09/04/22ALudwigsburg61-74
05/04/22AValencia71-103
02/04/22HSyntainics MBC83-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/22HFrankfurt70-81
26/04/22HGottingen86-80
23/04/22ALudwigsburg75-77
20/04/22HAlba Berlin70-78
16/04/22HBayreuth90-85
12/04/22ABasketball Braunschweig87-84
09/04/22HHeidelberg87-72
06/04/22HSyntainics MBC90-93
01/04/22AHamburg63-113
29/03/22ABamberg81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %65%57%71%
Points / game82.580.384.4
Allowed / game79.779.579.9
Point differential+2.8+0.8+4.5
Avg total162.2159.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %10%7%12%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game84.185.282.9
Allowed / game85.180.090.2
Point differential-1.0+5.2-7.3
Avg total169.2165.2173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin3125681%86.572.5+13.9
2 Bonn3326779%88.580.7+7.8
3 Bayern3022873%81.274.9+6.4
4 Ludwigsburg33221167%80.476.5+3.8
5 Chemnitz32211166%80.478.0+2.5
6 Ulm31201165%82.579.7+2.8
7 Hamburg32181456%85.381.7+3.6
8 Crailsheim Merlins32161650%84.185.1-1.0
9 Gottingen32161650%80.782.1-1.4
10 Bamberg32161650%84.387.2-3.0
11 s.Oliver Wurzburg33141942%83.486.5-3.1
12 Oldenburg34142041%86.486.7-0.3
13 Basketball Braunschweig32122038%83.684.5-0.9
14 Syntainics MBC33112233%84.389.6-5.3
15 Heidelberg33112233%78.283.7-5.5
16 Bayreuth34112332%79.185.5-6.5
17 Frankfurt3492526%73.679.6-6.0
18 Giessen3172423%79.585.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm3027201211100
Crailsheim Merlins23212718190
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