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Lund W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 80-66
21-5 17-16 22-24 20-21
Position#9
Record3-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game85.8
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lund W v AIK Basket W
16 Jan 2027
LUND v AIK
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LUND80
AIK 73
15 Feb 2025
LUND80
AIK 66
04 Nov 2023
LUND74
AIK 69
25 Nov 2017
LUND68
AIK 40
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 55
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
48avg 55
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 55
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 55
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
59avg 55
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
49avg 55
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
77avg 55
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
79-117
79
117
-38
66avg 55
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 55
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
55avg 55
A01/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
22-35
23-21
29-23
22-11
19-24
7-15
16-23
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
20-30
14-20
22-19
24-28
17-20
8-24
20-29
31-20
12-19
14-17
17-21
21-18
12-9
22-14
27-11
20-23
19-27
21-34
16-31
23-25
17-10
27-33
31-17
23-24
19-17
14-18
18-23
14-26
162.3Avg total
77.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.285.8159.0-12.523%
Season at home (8)76.085.9161.9-9.925%
Season away (5)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 10 (10)77.085.3162.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.483.4160.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.591.2158.7-23.79%
vs Similar (3)74.775.0149.7-0.367%
vs Weaker (4)80.568.8149.2+11.875%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
68avg 64
A27/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 64
H30/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
77avg 64
A07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 64
H14/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
83-64
83
64
+19
80avg 64
A04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
94-59
94
59
+35
86avg 64
H11/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 64
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-98
63
98
-35
50avg 64
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 64
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
49avg 64
H12/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
19-30
22-26
16-17
25-16
15-20
15-10
24-19
12-19
15-14
23-12
14-19
26-10
11-27
22-20
15-22
17-17
30-6
22-18
14-23
26-26
21-9
23-16
24-8
24-23
19-25
18-24
11-21
16-22
17-20
17-28
13-28
20-8
6-21
18-20
25-11
15-26
11-15
14-18
18-29
156.6Avg total
76.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.482.4160.8-4.143%
Season at home (7)77.378.0155.3-0.757%
Season away (7)79.486.9166.3-7.429%
Last 10 (10)76.380.3156.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)71.279.6150.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)64.188.7152.8-24.70%
vs Similar (5)79.272.4151.6+6.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.876.2160.0+7.783%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
Lund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/02
Basketligan W
76.1Avg total
34.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.943.976.7-11.020%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.341.676.9-6.331%-
Last 30 away (14)30.146.476.5-16.47%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.576.1-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.675.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.347.379.6-15.09%-
vs Similar (3)35.735.070.7+0.733%-
vs Weaker (4)34.230.865.0+3.575%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H01/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/02
Basketligan W
75.1Avg total
36.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.077.1-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.040.377.3-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.141.876.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.375.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.074.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.344.577.7-11.20%-
vs Similar (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.733.774.3+7.067%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.521.1
45.4%
46.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.4
29.0%
31.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.415.0
67.0%
71.3%15.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.220.1
45.5%
46.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.2
28.8%
31.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
71.3%13.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LWLWLLLLLL
AIK Basket W
LWLLWWLLWL
#9
League position
#7
-9.0
Net rating
-4.5
90.7
Offensive rating
93.5
99.7
Defensive rating
98.0
44.8%
Effective FG%
44.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
23.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.0%
3-point %
28.8%
50.2%
Assist %
62.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 93.5Defence99.7 · 98.0Shooting44.8% · 44.7%3-point %29.0% · 28.8%Ball care23.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Lund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lund W wins
1
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24AIK Basket W v Lund W104-97
03/02/24AIK Basket W v Lund W78-80 OT
04/11/23Lund W v AIK Basket W74-69
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ASodertalje W65-84
26/01/25HOstersund W98-84
12/01/25HLulea W79-117
18/12/24HVisby W81-57
15/12/24HUppsala W64-75
07/12/24HAlvik W76-93
30/11/24HHogsbo W80-97
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69
16/11/24HSodertalje W64-73
02/11/24AAIK Basket W97-104
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HNorrkoping W58-88
01/02/25HOstersund W69-60
25/01/25HLulea W63-98
19/01/25ANorrkoping W72-93
11/01/25HAlvik W94-59
04/01/25AVisby W83-64
14/12/24HHogsbo W74-79
07/12/24AMarkSjuharad W91-95 OT
30/11/24HVisby W79-65
27/11/24ASodertalje W80-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL23%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %23%25%20%
Points / game73.276.068.8
Allowed / game85.885.985.6
Point differential-12.5-9.9-16.8
Avg total159.0161.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game78.477.379.4
Allowed / game82.478.086.9
Point differential-4.1-0.7-7.4
Avg total160.8155.3166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W15150100%97.553.9+43.6
2 Norrkoping W1412286%86.168.9+17.1
3 Hogsbo W1511473%88.069.8+18.2
4 Sodertalje W1510567%79.571.5+7.9
5 Alvik W149564%79.081.9-2.9
6 Uppsala W136746%62.268.7-6.5
7 AIK Basket W146843%78.482.4-4.1
8 Lund W1331023%73.285.8-12.5
9 MarkSjuharad W1431121%64.982.3-17.4
10 Visby W1521313%60.187.3-27.2
11 Ostersund W141137%63.384.0-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2117222080
AIK Basket W516242166
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