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North Carolina vs Marquette Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 95-63
53-25 42-38
Position#41
Record24-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#134
Record19-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v Marquette
17 Mar 2022
NORT95
MARQ63
24 Feb 2021
NORT70
MARQ83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marquette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
49-52
62-24
32-50
23-40
44-36
38-30
27-27
36-36
34-27
46-29
38-45
41-36
32-37
39-41
55-40
33-13
30-30
26-32
33-40
145.9Avg total
76.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.571.7149.2+5.873%
Season at home (21)76.567.9144.4+8.676%
Season away (12)79.278.4157.7+0.867%
Last 10 (10)76.369.6145.9+6.780%
Last 5 (5)77.669.8147.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.589.8168.2-11.225%
vs Similar (12)70.669.9140.5+0.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.466.6147.0+13.993%
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#13
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Villanova
#20
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Uconn
#62
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Creighton
#82
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H26/02
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A03/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
34-42
46-32
37-41
36-46
36-34
27-42
52-43
48-31
29-35
46-46
36-37
30-33
34-23
37-33
43-58
42-35
43-42
26-29
37-45
149.8Avg total
74.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.470.9145.3+3.561%
Season at home (17)74.968.4143.4+6.576%
Season away (14)73.773.9147.6-0.143%
Last 10 (10)74.875.0149.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)74.876.2151.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.569.7137.2-2.250%
vs Similar (18)74.372.8147.2+1.556%
vs Weaker (6)79.265.2144.3+14.083%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.9-1.9
North CarolinaMarquette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
33-13
33
13
+20
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H12/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.668.7+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.431.267.6+5.363%-
Last 30 away (11)35.535.070.5+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)37.430.668.0+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.267.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.840.273.0-7.50%-
vs Similar (12)33.034.267.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.729.068.7+10.779%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#13
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A30/01
NCAA
Villanova
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Uconn
#62
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#352
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/02
NCAA
Creighton
#82
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/02
NCAA
Butler
#250
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H26/02
NCAA
DePaul
#210
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A03/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#181
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#82
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A10/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.768.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.432.567.9+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.169.2-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.071.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.035.368.3-2.350%-
vs Similar (18)34.933.368.2+1.656%-
vs Weaker (6)36.333.369.7+3.050%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
1
Marquette wins
DateGameScore
25/02/21North Carolina v Marquette70-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/22HVirginia Tech59-72
11/03/22HVirginia63-43
05/03/22ADuke94-81
01/03/22HSyracuse88-79 OT
26/02/22ANC State84-74
22/02/22HLouisville70-63
19/02/22AVirginia Tech65-57
17/02/22HPittsburgh67-76
12/02/22HFlorida State94-74
08/02/22AClemson79-77
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22ACreighton63-74
06/03/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)85-77
03/03/22ADePaul80-91
26/02/22HButler64-56
20/02/22ACreighton82-83
17/02/22HGeorgetown77-66
12/02/22AButler79-85
08/02/22AUconn72-80
03/02/22HVillanova83-73
30/01/22AProvidence63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %73%76%67%
Points / game77.576.579.2
Allowed / game71.767.978.4
Point differential+5.8+8.6+0.8
Avg total149.2144.4157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Marquette
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %61%76%43%
Points / game74.474.973.7
Allowed / game70.968.473.9
Point differential+3.5+6.5-0.1
Avg total145.3143.4147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3428682%80.267.1+13.0
2 SMU Mustangs3123874%74.467.2+7.2
3 North Carolina3324973%77.571.7+5.8
4 Wake Forest3223972%79.570.2+9.2
5 Notre Dame33231070%73.067.5+5.5
6 Miami (FL)33231070%74.871.0+3.8
7 Virginia Tech35231266%70.762.3+8.5
8 Virginia32191359%62.660.2+2.4
9 Florida State31171455%71.071.9-0.9
10 Clemson33171652%71.768.5+3.3
11 Stanford32161650%66.468.7-2.3
12 Syracuse33161748%77.475.1+2.3
13 Louisville32131941%67.370.1-2.8
14 Boston College33132039%66.968.1-1.2
15 California32122038%63.066.1-3.1
16 NC State32112134%73.075.6-2.6
17 Georgia Tech32112134%68.371.1-2.8
18 Pittsburgh32112134%61.568.1-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Providence3126584%71.666.7+4.9
2 Villanova3326779%72.663.1+9.5
3 Uconn3223972%75.265.2+10.0
4 Seton Hall31211068%72.966.3+6.6
5 Creighton33221167%69.065.9+3.1
6 Marquette31191261%74.470.9+3.5
7 Xavier32181456%73.969.7+4.2
8 St. John's (N.Y.)32171553%79.674.2+5.4
9 DePaul31151648%73.372.2+1.1
10 Butler33141942%63.866.9-3.1
11 Georgetown3262619%70.577.5-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina534295
Marquette253863
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