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Duke vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-94
41-39 40-55
Position#12
Record26-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#41
Record22-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v North Carolina
07 Mar 2026
DUKE76
NORT61
14 Mar 2025
DUKE74
NORT71
01 Feb 2025
DUKE87
NORT70
09 Mar 2024
DUKE79
NORT84
04 Feb 2023
DUKE63
NORT57
02 Apr 2022
DUKE77
NORT81
05 Mar 2022
DUKE81
NORT94
06 Feb 2021
DUKE87
NORT91
07 Mar 2020
DUKE89
NORT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-14
30-29
39-28
48-39
29-34
39-35
38-27
44-37
37-28
35-33
42-33
34-41
52-41
36-29
30-25
35-36
51-34
46-38
36-19
50-37
141.5Avg total
77.8Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.365.1145.4+15.387%
Season at home (18)82.664.9147.4+17.789%
Season away (12)77.065.3142.3+11.783%
Last 10 (10)77.863.7141.5+14.190%
Last 5 (5)82.466.6149.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (3)77.069.7146.7+7.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.663.9144.5+16.785%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#297
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
67-87
67
87
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
56-31
44-49
36-35
38-39
28-39
39-48
30-25
49-52
62-24
32-50
23-40
44-36
38-30
27-27
36-36
34-27
46-29
38-45
41-36
32-37
155.4Avg total
80.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.172.4150.4+5.773%
Season at home (19)78.269.0147.2+9.279%
Season away (11)77.978.2156.1-0.364%
Last 10 (10)80.475.0155.4+5.480%
Last 5 (5)74.869.8144.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.392.7166.0-19.30%
vs Similar (11)71.669.7141.4+1.964%
vs Weaker (16)83.470.4153.8+13.094%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.3-3.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -3.3-3.3
DukeNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A02/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
38.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.930.470.3+9.587%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.931.672.5+9.478%-
Last 30 away (12)38.228.766.9+9.6100%-
Last 10 (10)38.128.366.4+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.230.472.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)38.732.371.0+6.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.829.769.5+10.185%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#297
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
39.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.870.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.233.171.2+5.163%-
Last 30 away (11)35.335.170.4+0.245%-
Last 10 (10)39.632.572.1+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.271.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.740.070.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (11)33.634.468.0-0.755%-
vs Weaker (16)40.732.272.9+8.469%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Duke wins
2
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22North Carolina v Duke67-87
06/03/21North Carolina v Duke91-73
06/02/21Duke v North Carolina87-91
07/03/20Duke v North Carolina89-76
08/02/20North Carolina v Duke96-98 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/22APittsburgh86-56
26/02/22ASyracuse97-72
24/02/22AVirginia65-61
19/02/22HFlorida State88-70
16/02/22HWake Forest76-74
12/02/22ABoston College72-61
11/02/22AClemson82-64
08/02/22HVirginia68-69
05/02/22ANorth Carolina87-67
01/02/22ANotre Dame57-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/22HSyracuse88-79 OT
26/02/22ANC State84-74
22/02/22HLouisville70-63
19/02/22AVirginia Tech65-57
17/02/22HPittsburgh67-76
12/02/22HFlorida State94-74
08/02/22AClemson79-77
05/02/22HDuke67-87
02/02/22ALouisville90-83 OT
29/01/22HNC State100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %87%89%83%
Points / game80.382.677.0
Allowed / game65.164.965.3
Point differential+15.3+17.7+11.7
Avg total145.4147.4142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%72%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWLWW79%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %73%79%64%
Points / game78.178.277.9
Allowed / game72.469.078.2
Point differential+5.7+9.2-0.3
Avg total150.4147.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%63%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3026487%80.365.1+15.3
2 SMU Mustangs2821775%74.567.4+7.1
3 Wake Forest3123874%79.569.8+9.7
4 North Carolina3022873%78.172.4+5.7
5 Notre Dame3122971%72.366.2+6.1
6 Miami (FL)3122971%74.970.8+4.1
7 Virginia Tech31191261%69.661.3+8.4
8 Virginia30181260%63.660.4+3.2
9 Florida State30171357%71.571.1+0.3
10 Clemson31161552%71.768.4+3.3
11 Stanford30151550%65.868.1-2.4
12 Syracuse31151648%76.775.2+1.5
13 Louisville30121840%67.370.6-3.3
14 California31121939%63.166.1-2.9
15 Boston College30111937%66.468.5-2.1
16 NC State31112035%73.375.8-2.5
17 Georgia Tech31112035%68.170.6-2.5
18 Pittsburgh31112035%62.068.1-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke414081
North Carolina395594
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