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NC State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-84
29-46 45-38
Position#297
Record11-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game74.1
NC State
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#41
Record20-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · NC State v North Carolina
15 Dec 2026
NC S v NORT
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
NC S82
NORT58
11 Jan 2025
NC S61
NORT63
10 Jan 2024
NC S54
NORT67
19 Feb 2023
NC S77
NORT69
26 Feb 2022
NC S74
NORT84
22 Dec 2020
NC S79
NORT76
27 Jan 2020
NC S65
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-35
38-27
43-32
34-31
30-30
35-43
31-56
49-44
45-42
37-47
28-33
29-36
28-31
23-38
31-26
38-45
51-25
25-36
31-33
30-36
140.3Avg total
67.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.174.1147.2-1.039%
Season at home (19)72.973.2146.1-0.342%
Season away (9)73.476.0149.4-2.633%
Last 10 (10)67.772.6140.3-4.920%
Last 5 (5)62.867.8130.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.976.2147.1-5.328%
vs Similar (8)75.471.0146.4+4.450%
vs Weaker (3)76.066.7142.7+9.367%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
67-87
67
87
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
41-35
33-31
25-16
56-31
44-49
36-35
38-39
28-39
39-48
30-25
49-52
62-24
32-50
23-40
44-36
38-30
27-27
36-36
34-27
148.0Avg total
76.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.572.1149.6+5.471%
Season at home (18)77.668.4146.1+9.278%
Season away (10)77.378.6155.9-1.360%
Last 10 (10)76.871.2148.0+5.680%
Last 5 (5)75.069.4144.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.392.7166.0-19.30%
vs Similar (13)70.570.8141.3-0.454%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.069.5152.5+13.593%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
NC StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
33.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.668.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.235.169.3-0.937%-
Last 30 away (11)34.333.667.9+0.655%-
Last 10 (10)33.934.368.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.829.663.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.135.768.8-2.639%-
vs Similar (8)36.233.169.4+3.150%-
vs Weaker (3)33.332.766.0+0.733%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H29/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H12/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
37.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.169.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.333.370.5+4.058%-
Last 30 away (11)33.335.668.9-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.470.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.068.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.740.070.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (13)32.234.867.0-2.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.332.272.5+8.164%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
4
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
26/02/20North Carolina v NC State85-79
28/01/20NC State v North Carolina65-75
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HBoston College61-69
16/02/22AGeorgia Tech76-61
12/02/22APittsburgh69-71
10/02/22HWake Forest51-69
05/02/22HNotre Dame57-69
03/02/22HSyracuse82-89
29/01/22ANorth Carolina80-100
27/01/22ANotre Dame65-73
22/01/22HVirginia77-63
20/01/22HVirginia Tech59-62
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/22HLouisville70-63
19/02/22AVirginia Tech65-57
17/02/22HPittsburgh67-76
12/02/22HFlorida State94-74
08/02/22AClemson79-77
05/02/22HDuke67-87
02/02/22ALouisville90-83 OT
29/01/22HNC State100-80
27/01/22HBoston College58-47
25/01/22HVirginia Tech78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %39%42%33%
Points / game73.172.973.4
Allowed / game74.173.276.0
Point differential-1.0-0.3-2.6
Avg total147.2146.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %71%78%60%
Points / game77.577.677.3
Allowed / game72.168.478.6
Point differential+5.4+9.2-1.3
Avg total149.6146.1155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2824486%79.565.1+14.4
2 SMU Mustangs2620677%74.966.9+8.0
3 Wake Forest2921872%78.169.4+8.8
4 North Carolina2820871%77.572.1+5.4
5 Notre Dame2820871%71.566.7+4.8
6 Miami (FL)2820871%74.970.8+4.1
7 Virginia Tech28171161%69.861.5+8.2
8 Virginia28171161%63.460.3+3.1
9 Stanford27151256%67.068.3-1.3
10 Syracuse28151354%77.074.0+3.0
11 Florida State27141352%71.071.3-0.3
12 Clemson28131546%72.269.1+3.1
13 Louisville27121544%68.169.4-1.3
14 Boston College27111641%66.167.4-1.4
15 NC State28111739%73.174.1-1.0
16 California28111739%64.266.0-1.8
17 Pittsburgh29111838%62.567.2-4.7
18 Georgia Tech28101836%68.169.8-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State294574
North Carolina463884
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